RussP - Handicap Distance Winners

[RussP]

Another new system for you based on handicaps with 11+ declared runners. All selections will have won over the distance, and there will be some other select criteria such as position last time out, handicap mark and days since last run. Again, I won't be posting full criteria at this stage. Be aware that there could be more than 1 qualifier in each race - I have not tested for long enough to decide how to filter these races but generally it is still profitable to back all selections so I am including races with multiple selections. Will be backing all selections 5pts EW unless under 5/1 (then it will be 10pts win). First selection is:-

Event	215 Folkestone
Selection	Enjoy The Buzz
Strength	10/10
Date	12/06/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Premierbet @ SP (Back)
Reasoning	Dual C&D winner so clearly enjoys it round here. On a winning mark and looks to be coming to hand judged on last weeks 3rd to Boanerges. Both its wins last year came in June so this is clearly its time of year.

[THE % MAN]

Re: RussP - Handicap Distance Winners About the most consistant horse in any handicap race today and as every chance but the odds decided me to give it a miss.

[RussP]

Re: RussP - Handicap Distance Winners Unplaced. I think you're right, % Man. Price wasn't great. In future, as EW bets are my norm, I will be sticking to horses a min of RPF 5/1. 1 for tonight to hopefully get us underway:

Event	835 Windsor
Selection	First Show (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	12/06/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Stan James @ 7.50 (Back)
Reasoning	Well drawn and back on fav course/distance having won & 2nd on last 2 starts here. Poor run last time out but in a 5 runner muddling event. This is much more its scene.

[RussP]

Re: RussP - Handicap Distance Winners No joy yet but I'll try this one.

Event	415 Salisbury
Selection	Velvet Waters (Each-Way)
Strength	3/10
Date	13/06/2006
Bookmaker/Price	BetDirect @ 11.00 (Back)
Reasoning	Ticks all the boxes today. Back to fav 1m4f distance, has a liking for the track, on favoured GF going. 1lb lower than lto when failed by 1L to hold on. Placed twice over C&D

[kevsul]

Re: RussP - Handicap Distance Winners :clap :clap well done :ok And aaarrrrrrrggggggggggggghhhhh Only beaten a head:sad

[RussP]

Re: RussP - Handicap Distance Winners

No joy yet but I'll try this one.

Event	415 Salisbury
Selection	Velvet Waters (Each-Way)
Strength	3/10
Date	13/06/2006
Bookmaker/Price	BetDirect @ 11.00 (Back)
Reasoning	Ticks all the boxes today. Back to fav 1m4f distance, has a liking for the track, on favoured GF going. 1lb lower than lto when failed by 1L to hold on. Placed twice over C&D

2nd ;) but pipped on the line:wall

[RussP]

Re: RussP - Handicap Distance Winners A likely big priced runner tomorrow:-

Event	340 Beverley
Selection	Kalani Star (Each-Way)
Strength	2/10
Date	14/06/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ SP (Back)
Reasoning	2lb out of the handicap and hard to win with. Likely outsider of the 15 runner field BUT ony once out of first 3 when it has got its ideal conditions - 7f on good ground or better, which it has got tomorrow. Competitive field but don't be surprised if this horses springs a shock from decent draw.

[RussP]

Re: RussP - Handicap Distance Winners Kalani Star unpl. 1 for tonight:

Event	905 Kempton
Selection	Desert Dreamer (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	14/06/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Sportingodds @ 8.00 (Back)
Reasoning	Has been on the same mark for its last 3 runs which have included 2 2nds. Hold up horses and needs luck in running but goes well for this jockey and finished in front on tonights fav on last visit here.

[Aykay1]

Re: RussP - Handicap Distance Winners Good luck with this Russ, you've certainly been in form recently ;)

[mowgli77]

Re: RussP - Handicap Distance Winners

Kalani Star unpl. 1 for tonight:

Event	905 Kempton
Selection	Desert Dreamer (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	14/06/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Sportingodds @ 8.00 (Back)
Reasoning	Has been on the same mark for its last 3 runs which have included 2 2nds. Hold up horses and needs luck in running but goes well for this jockey and finished in front on tonights fav on last visit here.

I've got this as one of mine in the daily competition and think it has a good chance. :hope

[RussP]

Re: RussP - Handicap Distance Winners

Event	900 Goodwood
Selection	Hypocrisy (Each-Way)
Strength	3/10
Date	16/06/2006
Bookmaker/Price	BetDirect @ 11.00 (Back)
Reasoning	Goes well for this jockey and its only poor run came in slow run, small field. 1lb lower than creditable 4th lto against very progessive type, when maybe the softer going transpired against it. Has won twice from 4 starts over this trip

[RussP]

Re: RussP - Handicap Distance Winners 3rd @ 13/2 but took EP 10/1.:tongue2 Still no winners but 2 placed selections, both at 10/1, from 5 runners. Overall Runners = 5 Wins = 0 Places = 2 Unpl = 3 Stake = 50pts Returns = 30pts P/L = -20pts

[RussP]

Re: RussP - Handicap Distance Winners 4 for tonight, all at Leicester:-

Event	7.45 Leicester
Selection	Moorhouse Lad (Each-Way)
Strength	3/10
Date	17/06/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Sportingodds @ 13.00 (Back)
Reasoning	Ran well lto when failing to stay 6f. Drop to 5f will suit and good jockey booking (1st, 2nd and 4th from 3 runs)

Event	8.15 Leicester
Selection	Silverhay (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	17/06/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Blue Square @ 8.00 (Back)
Reasoning	Collared late on by good sort earlier this week and on same mark so interesting dropped in class. This looks easier.

Event	8.45 Leicester
Selection	Balearic Star (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	17/06/2006
Bookmaker/Price	>William Hill @ 7.50 (Back)
Reasoning	Very well handicapped today in a poor race. Good run 1st time out this season when 2L 4th. Should come for that with stable hitting form.

Event	9.15 Leicester
Selection	Lavenham (Each-Way)
Strength	5/10
Date	17/06/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Skybet @ 7.00 (Back)
Reasoning	Impressive form so far this season. Maiden win followed by good 3rd in competitive affair at HQ last time out. This looks easier and expected to go close.