Mr Intensity Posted April 9, 2006 Share Posted April 9, 2006 Valencia: DAVYDENKO Nikolay vs HERNYCH Jan GARCIA LOPEZ, Guilermo vs LOPEZ Feliciano STARACE Potito vs DLOUHY Lukas MARTIN Alberto vs VERDASCO Fernando FERRER David vs Q RAMIREZ-HIDALGO Ruben vs SEPPI Andreas SIMON Giles vs VIK Robin SANGUINETTI Davide vs TURSUNOV Dmitry VOLANDRI Fillippo vs Q ZIB Tomas vs PAVEL Andrey Q vs PHAU Bjorn Q vs FERRERO Juan Carlos ANDREEV Igor vs SAFIN Marat COSTA Albert vs PASHANSKI Boris MAYER Florian vs BURNIOL Guilern SLUITER Raemon vs GAUDIO Gaston Houston: (1)RODDICK, Andy USA vs CAPDEVILLE, Paul CHI MARACH, Oliver AUT vs MARIN, Juan Antonio CRC WASKE, Alexander GER vs VANEK, Jiri CZE HERNANDEZ, Oscar ESP vs (5)HAAS, Tommy GER (4-WC)BAGHDATIS, Marcos CYP vs (WC)WITTEN, Jesse USA SPADEA, Vincent USA vs BERLOCQ, Carlos ARG SCHUETTLER, Rainer GER vs QUALIFIER (WC)FISH, Mardy USA vs (8)MONACO, Juan ARG (7)GOLDSTEIN, Paul USA vs TIPSAREVIC, Janko SCG QUALIFIER vs QUALIFIER SABAU, Razvan ROM vs BEHREND, Tomas GER MONTANES, Albert ESP vs (3)GINEPRI, Robby USA (6)HORNA, Luis PER vs DANIEL, Marcos BRA MELZER, Jurgen AUT vs MINAR, Ivo CZE REYNOLDS, Bobby USA vs VICENTE, Fernando ESP QUALIFIER vs (2)BLAKE, James USA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted April 10, 2006 Author Share Posted April 10, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April SportTennis EventATP Valencia SelectionVERDASCO v Martin Strength10/10 Date10/04/2006 Bookmaker/Price>Betfair @ 1.83 (Back) ReasoningI've been thinking about this one for ages, and now I've decided to go for it. Martin had a good week on clay earlier this year reaching the final in Costa do Sauipe but apart from that has had some tame losses. He reached the final of a challenger on hard but let's not read anything into that. Verdasco has struggled so far this year but a couple of losses to Roddick in the MAsters events aren't that bad. Now he comes into a tournament he clearly loves, having won here in 2004 and reaching the quarters last year before losing to Costa. Costa was so inspired that day to win in 3, but before that Verdasco had lost 4 games in 2 matches. Back in 04 when he won he beat Ljubicic 6-4 6-4, Ferrer 6-2 6-3 and Ferrero 6-2 6-1. I think this is a great chance for him to get his season going. H2H is 2-0 to Verdasco but both on hard so not too interested in that stat. Books close at 12pm I think but it'll start quite a bit after that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted April 10, 2006 Author Share Posted April 10, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Shooting from the hip Verdasco wins 6-3 6-4:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
christiano Posted April 11, 2006 Share Posted April 11, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Tip Detail SportTennis EventFish - Monaco SelectionMonaco Strength10/10 Date11/04/2006 Bookmaker/PricePinnacle Sports @ 1.47 (Back) ReasoningMonaco played in Houston last week in exhibition tournament.He won doubles game and he losed in single game final against Hanescu in 3 set match.He knows how to play here and he likes this surface better as Fish is rather hard courts player than clay.Of course this surface is a bit faster than european clay but still it's clay :) Tip Detail SportTennis EventAndreev - Safin SelectionAndreev Strength10/10 Date11/04/2006 Bookmaker/PricePinnacle Sports @ 1.84 (Back) ReasoningI'm on Andreev here.He won this tournament in previous year defeating such great players as Nadal and Ferrer.Safin will probably focuse on next week Monte Carlo as he prefers to play in big tournaments.He played in Davis Cup on fast surface so it will be hard for him to play now on clay.I'm giving Andreev greater chance here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted April 11, 2006 Share Posted April 11, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Nice start Mr I. Interesting to note that Derek McGovern in todays Mirror has Mardy Fish as his bet of the day to beat Monaco. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
christiano Posted April 11, 2006 Share Posted April 11, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Tip Detail SportTennis EventDominguez Lino - Brandi SelectionDominguez Lino Strength10/10 Date11/04/2006 Bookmaker/PricePinnacle Sports @ 1.42 (Back) ReasoningBrandi is awfull this year.She is losing everything she can in first rounds.At Amelia Island she losed 1:6 0:6 to poor Peer.Ok she won here against Arvidsson but yhis don't impress me at all.Dominguez won bogota tournament this year which was played on clay.clay is her favourite surface and I just can't see her losing this one.It should be quick two set match. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
christiano Posted April 11, 2006 Share Posted April 11, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Nice start Mr I. Interesting to note that Derek McGovern in todays Mirror has Mardy Fish as his bet of the day to beat Monaco. I don't know the guy :) Bet of the day was Hernych so....nahhh maybe because Mardy is playing in USA???I can't find any more reasons to back him ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted April 11, 2006 Author Share Posted April 11, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Nice start Mr I. Interesting to note that Derek McGovern in todays Mirror has Mardy Fish as his bet of the day to beat Monaco. Is he mental?:lol :lol :lol :lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted April 11, 2006 Author Share Posted April 11, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April I like the play on Andreev:ok SportTennis EventATP Valencia SelectionANDREEV v Safin Strength10/10 Date11/04/2006 Bookmaker/PriceBetDirect @ 1.90 (Back) ReasoningI really like Andreev in this situation. He's the defending champion and will surely be pumped up for this. He's impressed me this year with an improvement on hardcourts and I think he'll be able to take that and translate it into an improvement into his clay game which was already very good. Safin had an incredibly tough match against Gasquet on Friday and a mentally pretty tough weekend with Russia in the DC so may not be totally focused on this one. Also Andreev might want to prove after being left out of the latest Davis Cup squad despite some decent performances in the past year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stereoman Posted April 11, 2006 Share Posted April 11, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Hmmm. I'd be wary when two Russians collide in the tennis. Betfair narrowly put Andreev as a favourite at 1.85 aheaad of Safin 2.16 so that shows you where the money's possibly going but there isn't much of a difference really. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted April 11, 2006 Author Share Posted April 11, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Just noticed Fish won a challenger last week on hard beating some decent players and is actually 8-2:eek in his last 10 matches. Monaco is a twat sometimes so I'm going to leave that one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stereoman Posted April 11, 2006 Share Posted April 11, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Andreev's gifting it to Safin, the ****. :eyes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted April 11, 2006 Author Share Posted April 11, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Andreev's gifting it to Safin, the ****. :eyes Yeah, he was totally dominating in the 1st set, great way to defend your title:sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
christiano Posted April 12, 2006 Share Posted April 12, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Tip Detail SportTennis EventPashanski - Safin SelectionPashanski Strength10/10 Date13/04/2006 Bookmaker/Price>10bet @ 5.00 (Back) ReasoningI'm still against Safin.I will risk here and bet on Pashanski.Safin likes to make surprises :)And when odds for his opponent are so big I'm sure it's worth a shot.We all know Russian players.This is his first clay tournament and before that he was playing on much faster courts.Pashanski knows how to play on this kind of courts.This is his 6 clay tournament this year so he will for sure be more confident on this surface.At the beginning of the year he won Santiago Challenger and had few more good tournaments.Pashanski has 8-4 record on clay this year which is pretty good.It should be a tight match and I think it's worth a shot.Betting on Safin at those odds would be ridiculous. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shedboy Posted April 12, 2006 Share Posted April 12, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Sorry Randall, Can't go with your tip at all. Pashanski is actually 12-4 on clay this year however as always I take these stats with a pinch of salt : 12 wins against Hormazabal, Aguilera, Traver, Ramirez-Hidalgo, Capedaville, Saretta, Di Mauro, Brzezicki, Martin, Behrend, Mello and Minar. Not exactly wins to set the heather on fire. Anyone with a little talent has won comfortable against him (fernando Gonzales 6-4, 6-3 and Filipo Voliandri 6-4, 6-3) Safin, clay or not, is a completely different proposition to any of the above that he's beaten. I agree that the odds on Safin are not worth taking, although I think he'll win comfortably, but afraid I won't bet on a match simply becase his opponent is 4/1! Personally there's nothing I can see worth betting on in Valencia tomorrow however do have a sneaky suspicion that Mayer may take out Gaudio, I'll have a look at that one later. Shedboy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
christiano Posted April 12, 2006 Share Posted April 12, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Tip Detail SportTennis EventShaughnessy - Kuznetsova SelectionShaughnessy Strength10/10 Date12/04/2006 Bookmaker/PriceLadbrokes @ 4.00 (Back) ReasoningSveta ended previous tournament by retirement.She was in real pain as I was watching that match against Schiavone.I don't know if she had enough time to cure.We have already seen Shaughnessy winning against Henin this season when Belgian was after injury.Meghann is playing at home and it seems that she is in pretty good form now.Last week she made it to the 3rd round of Ameli Island.I'm playing it in Ladbrokes because here match must be only started not completed if one player retires.Odds are way too high in my opinion and I will give it a try. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
christiano Posted April 12, 2006 Share Posted April 12, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Sorry Randall, Can't go with your tip at all. You don't have to :) I'm taking a risk.We've seen what Davydenko did yesterday.But I must say that he probably had injury and Safin seems to be better than him now.It's risky bet as I said. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
netadmin Posted April 12, 2006 Share Posted April 12, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Tip Detail SportTennis EventShaughnessy - Kuznetsova SelectionShaughnessy Strength10/10 Date12/04/2006 Bookmaker/PriceLadbrokes @ 4.00 (Back) ReasoningSveta ended previous tournament by retirement.She was in real pain as I was watching that match against Schiavone.I don't know if she had enough time to cure.We have already seen Shaughnessy winning against Henin this season when Belgian was after injury.Meghann is playing at home and it seems that she is in pretty good form now.Last week she made it to the 3rd round of Ameli Island.I'm playing it in Ladbrokes because here match must be only started not completed if one player retires.Odds are way too high in my opinion and I will give it a try. First set 6-0 kuznetsova... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
christiano Posted April 13, 2006 Share Posted April 13, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Tip Detail SportTennis EventMayer - Gaudio SelectionMayer Strength10/10 Date13/04/2006 Bookmaker/Price>Bet365 @ 3.25 (Back) ReasoningStill in search of a surprise :) Gaudio is nothing special this year.He played few clay tournaments this year but he was rather average.He was beaten by such players as Horna, Patience and Ramirez-Hidalgo so just an average players.Here in Valencia he played in 1st round against poor Sluiter and he needed two tie breaks to win 7:6 7:6.this is first clay tournament for Mayer but this is his favourite surface and he knows how to play on it.In 1st round he easilly won against poor Spaniard Burniol-Teixido.This should be a close match.H2H is 1:0 for Mayer who won in 2004 in Estoril 6:3 6:4. :) It seems that Kuznetsova don't have any injury. :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted April 13, 2006 Author Share Posted April 13, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April SportTennis EventATP Houston SelectionMELZER Outright E/W (1/3 1,2) (Each-Way) Strength2/10 Date16/04/2006 Bookmaker/PriceSkybet @ 21.00 (Back) ReasoningWell the bottom half of this draw has really fell apart with defeats for Blake, Ginepri and Horna making it look very poor. Of the 8 guys left my choice is Melzer, who got through well after a tough first set against Minar. Melzer has had an awful year so far, but this is a great chance to get going. he has a great record here; in the past 3 years he's reached 1 quarter and 2 semis losing to Roddick twice and Agassi. That's a very solid record and with the lack of quality in the bottom half he's got a great chance. The main problem looks like Vicente, who beat Melzer in the exhibition tournament last week, but he's so in and out, I think a week later Melzer will be in great shape to get revenge. If he makes it there'll be little chance in the final, but still a decent EW shot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted April 13, 2006 Author Share Posted April 13, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April SportTennis EventATP Valencia SelectionLAY MAYER v Gaudio (Lay) Strength10/10 Date13/04/2006 Bookmaker/Price>Betfair @ 3.15 (Lay) ReasoningI think this is a good price to lay Mayer. Gaudio struggled a little against Sluiter in the first round but that was his first match in Europe and I think he'll be better today. He finished on the clay in South America pretty well and after some 1st round lossed on hard in USA should be able to get some wins together. I'm never sure about Mayer on clay, his 13-13 record in the past 12 months shows a lot of averageness, especially when you compare it to Gaudios 37-9. Mayer won the only meeting, which was on clay, a couple of years ago, but that was as a qualifier, and we know how well they perform. £265 available at 3.15. Very good price to lay at considering the best price to back him is 3.25 at BlueSq and Skybet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted April 13, 2006 Author Share Posted April 13, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Should have waited, £420 available at 3.1, and it looks like dropping further:sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
christiano Posted April 13, 2006 Share Posted April 13, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Tip Detail SportTennis EventCastano - Bartoli SelectionCastano Strength10/10 Date13/04/2006 Bookmaker/PricePinnacle Sports @ 1.76 (Back) ReasoningI'm on Castano here.She simply looks better for me.She went throught two first rounds very easy winning against Harkleroad and Vaidisova.Clay is her favourite surface.Bartoli won against Peng and Fedak.She had one awesome tournament at the beginning of the season but after that she played rather poor.Last week she losed in 1st round of Amelia Island to Shaughnessy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted April 13, 2006 Author Share Posted April 13, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Gaudio takes care of business 6-4 6-2:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted April 13, 2006 Author Share Posted April 13, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April SportTennis EventATP Valencia SelectionSAFIN v Gaudio Strength10/10 Date14/04/2006 Bookmaker/PricePinnacle Sports @ 1.77 (Back) ReasoningI was wrong at the start of the week, Safin is looking really strong. He started poorly against Andreev (3 doubles in the first game) but once he got going he was in control. Then he cruised past Pashanski without any problems and looked focused. Gaudio did well for me against Mayer, but he has the tempament to fall apart, so we can't be sure of Gaudios form. I'll probably always take Safin over Gaudio, just because of there difference in styles. Safin to blast him off the court for me tomorrow. H2H is 2-2 but all were a long time ago so take no notice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FootballTennis Posted April 14, 2006 Share Posted April 14, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Here is a bet you simply cannot miss: Haas bt Roddick @ 10/11 with Willhill Man Utd bt Sunderland @ 1/10 with Willhill This Willhill double gives you the exact odds of 11/10, what a bargain! Haas should beat Roddick as he is the far surpior player at this time, played on a slow court which should favour Haas'smovement. i don't think I need to mention the 2nd half of the double bet, its just to make the odds into a more round figure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted April 14, 2006 Author Share Posted April 14, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April SportTennis EventATP Houston SelectionMONTANES v Goldstein Strength10/10 Date14/04/2006 Bookmaker/PricePinnacle Sports @ 1.57 (Back) ReasoningI don't rate Goldstein at all on the clay, and I'd fancy almost any clay courter to take him out. He's never got past this stage in several attempts and has had a very easy draw beating Tipsarevic and Jenkins. Montanes looks to be finding some form, after taking out the name Ginepri backed it up taking care of Behrend very comfortably. Nothing else to say about this one really, the clay court man should win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted April 14, 2006 Author Share Posted April 14, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Very impressive from Safin, taking care of Gaudio easily:ok Perhaps I'm going to like clay this year:unsure :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted April 14, 2006 Author Share Posted April 14, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April SportTennis EventATP Houston SelectionHAAS v Roddick Strength10/10 Date14/04/2006 Bookmaker/PriceExpekt @ 1.87 (Back) ReasoningYou must favour Haas in this match. He's shown some great form this year especially compared to Roddick who has had some awful losses and just looks mediocre a lot of the time. Both these guys love this tournament with Roddick winning it 3 times and Haas once (starting his comeback a couple of years ago and beating Roddick in the final). Roddick is 25-2 in this event and Haas is 10-2 which are both great records. H2H is 4-4 but Haas has won all 3 meetings on clay. Both have come through so far in straight sets, it should be a good match, but I have to favour Haas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted April 14, 2006 Author Share Posted April 14, 2006 Re: ATP Valencia / Houston 10th-16th April Montanes loses in straight sets, strange result, I hate tennis again:wall :wall ....well at least Melzer makes it to the semis, and should start favourite against ****ing Goldstein:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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