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Fleet's UK Footie Trebles


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REMINDER: THE PERMING PART OF THE FIRST PAGE OR SO OF THIS THREAD NO LONGER APPLIES! ***TREBLE SYSTEM*** For the last few weeks, I have been using a method to compile ratings for home teams based on the following criteria: Different in league position compared to opponents Home record of home team Away record of away team Current form of home team (past 6 games) - rewarding rating with more for bigger winning margins, punishing home defeats. For performance records, we shall assume that I have £100 to play with at the start. Edited: scraped the perming as of 11th Feb bets - straight trebles will be the play. On a winning week, we bank half and use half as the following week's stake. ***AND FROM THE END OF FEBRUARY - 7-FOLD SYSTEM*** LEVEL 1: A £10 stake, aiming for 7 teams rating 20 or higher to win at home, taking the ones with better odds. A win here should return around £700, of which we would bank half. We move forward to LEVEL 2. LEVEL 2: The win from level 1, after banking half, gives us £350 to play with. Divided into 10 stakes of £35. We now have 10 attempts at a 7-fold to return £2450. Succeed - we bank half and we move forward to LEVEL 3. Fail and we return to LEVEL 1 We will have banked £350 from level 1 to carry on again with a fresh £10 start. LEVEL 3: The win from level 2, after banking half, gives us £1225 to play with. Divided into 10 stakes of £122.50. We now have 10 attempts at a 7-fold to return £8575. Succeed - we bank half and we move forward to LEVEL 4. Fail and we return to LEVEL 1 We will have banked £1575 from levels 1 & 2 to carry on again with a fresh £10 start. LEVEL 4: The win from level 3, after banking half, gives us £4287.50 to play with. Divided into 10 stakes of £428.75. We now have 10 attempts at a 7-fold to return £30012.50. Succeed - we bank half and we move forward to LEVEL 5. Fail and we return to LEVEL 1 We will have banked £5862.50 from levels 1, 2 & 3 to carry on again with a fresh £10 start. LEVEL 5: The win from level 4, after banking half, gives us £15006.25 to play with. Divided into 10 stakes of £1500.625. We now have 10 attempts at a 7-fold to return £105043.75. Succeed - we bank half and we move forward to LEVEL 6. Fail and we return to LEVEL 1 We will have banked £20868.75 from levels 1, 2, 3 & 4 to carry on again with a fresh £10 start. LEVEL 6:THE RETIREMENT ATTEMPT The win from level 5, after banking half, gives us £52521.875 to play with. Divided into 10 stakes of £5252.1875. We now have 10 attempts at a 7-fold to return £367653.12. Succeed - we bank THE LOT & RETIRE - TOTAL POT WOULD BE £441043.74. Fail and we return to LEVEL 1 We will have banked £73390.625 from levels 1, 2, 3, 4 & 5 to carry on again with a fresh £10 start. The figures are based on only winning on the 10th and final attempt at each level. An earlier win in any level would lead to the profit banked and stakes at the next level both being slightly higher as a result of the surplus stakes not used. All calculations assume a return of 70/1 on the 7-fold and can be expected to be more likely to be a slight under-estimation (this weekend's, for example, was just over 72/1). A win at any level & we get 10 attempts to progress further.

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Re: Football: System: 2 or 3 bankers permed with correct scores. Possible picks so far: odds from bet365 (early preferences in bold) LEEDS to win RATED 40 4/6 SHEFF UTD to win RATED 45 2/5 COLCHESTER to win RATED 33 8/11 ACCRINGTON to win RATED 38 8/13 STEVENAGE to win RATED 41 2/7 Will confirm later in week after checking odds and league / conference ratings. (Just one game left in league 2 on wednesday before picks confirmed.) In case you were wondering the maximum rating is currently 90. This would be if the team in 1st played the team in 24th, with the team in 1st having won every home game whilst the away team had lost every away game. In addition, the home team would have won the last 6 by 3 goals or more every time! That isn't going to be the case and so far EVERY team rated 30 or more has done the business. As more games get played the maximum rating increasing slightly to account for more home games being played & possibly won / away games played and possibly lost.

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