Djordje Posted November 1, 2005 Author Share Posted November 1, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System Thanks merlin :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daedalean Posted November 2, 2005 Share Posted November 2, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System 3 - 3 because we like adrenalin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted November 2, 2005 Share Posted November 2, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System Another nice result there young un came home to roost!:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted November 2, 2005 Author Share Posted November 2, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System bet#20 Derby vs Ipswich Draw @3.20 5.1/10 (31.09$) :notworthy stake [$] 666.58 profit [$] 149.77 yield 22.47 starting bank 1000.00$ current bank 1149.77$ strike rate 0.5 average odds 3.06 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted November 2, 2005 Author Share Posted November 2, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System Looks good again ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted November 3, 2005 Share Posted November 3, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System When are you next selections due then Djordie? I look forward with interest.:unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted November 3, 2005 Author Share Posted November 3, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System should be there in few hours I hope ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted November 3, 2005 Author Share Posted November 3, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System 05.11.05. bet#21 Hull vs Watford Away @2.75 4.6/10 (26.44$) bet#22 Leeds vs Preston Draw @3.25 4.8/10 (27.59$) bet#23 Milwall vs Crewe Draw @3.20 6.6/10 (37.94$) 06.11.05. bet#24 Cardiff vs Coventry Draw @3.40 3.3/10 (18.97$) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted November 3, 2005 Author Share Posted November 3, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System Hmm... Three draws :eyes :unsure Friendly weekend expected in Championship, what's the weather there anyway? :lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted November 4, 2005 Share Posted November 4, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System .... wind and rain pretty much all day here in the North East, nothing serious but decidedly damp! What part of the world are you from then? Good luck with the selections, may have a wee dabble with you on these!:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted November 4, 2005 Author Share Posted November 4, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System Nice weather for my draws merlin :ok I'm from Serbia by the way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted November 4, 2005 Share Posted November 4, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System Not so bad selections then, especially living outside the UK. I'm from Durham near Newcastle/Sunderland. The latter are having a nighmare season since winning promotion.:puke Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted November 4, 2005 Author Share Posted November 4, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System This system is based on numbers only, you would have the same selection as me. ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted November 5, 2005 Author Share Posted November 5, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System 05.11.05. bet#21 Hull vs Watford Away @2.75 4.6/10 (26.44$) :D bet#22 Leeds vs Preston Draw @3.25 4.8/10 (27.59$) :D bet#23 Milwall vs Crewe Draw @3.20 6.6/10 (37.94$) :( Record will be updated after tomorrow game. ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted November 5, 2005 Share Posted November 5, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System ..... another two good one's tucked away in the bag Djordje and bet 24 still to come.The rain eased off for today's matches, but I'm told it's back later tonight, so maybe Cardiff v Coventry looks a fair bet.Good luck!:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted November 5, 2005 Author Share Posted November 5, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System Cardiff v Coventry looked as the most realistic one to me, but I always have bad feeling about Sunday games in Championship. Must be superstitious (and it happens since Norwich beaten Ipswich 2-3 years ago; I was confident in Ipswich home win btw). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted November 5, 2005 Share Posted November 5, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System ..... just knocked some Euro ratings up for tomorrow, keep your eye on these:- A C Milan h Juventus h Villarreal h Celta Vigo h Fiorentina a Catch up with you later, be good!:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted November 5, 2005 Author Share Posted November 5, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System Thanks merlin, I might 'do' these games tonight and we'll see are these ratings good ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted November 5, 2005 Author Share Posted November 5, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System I knew it wouldn't work in these leagues. Well, system selection for these games would be Udinese @9.00, 8.3/10 Livorno @12.00, 8.0/10 Ascoli @3.75, 5.2/10 Vigo - draw @3.40 4.3/10 Note - this is not system selection, this is only part of discussion. Juve and Milan are heavy favorites and it's usual that we would never have fair prices for games like these. Although Udinese look really tempting according to their record at San Siro, more quality in their team than during last few seasons, and bad result of Milan at Eindhoven. Livorno have only 2 defeats so far, so it's big underestimating pricing them around 8-10, even more at few places, even against big Juve. Fiorentina and Celta are also too big favorites for opponents they're playing tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted November 5, 2005 Share Posted November 5, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System Don't fancy any of those.Prices can appear better in the form of an acca when prices are low.Most of those above are heavily outgunned in the ratings.One of mine has already come in a winner - Villarreal 1 Valencia 0 How about Rennes and Lille to win, both away coupled with those left above and yet to play,covered with an accumulator(6 timer) 5 fivefolds,15 fourfolds and 20 trebles nice little bet. I had the same bet with British football today,Rangers(draw) knocked me out of the acca, but I still was in profit with the other bets, so second Saturday running the new system has come good. Catch up with you tomorrow, cheers!:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted November 6, 2005 Author Share Posted November 6, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System I knew it wouldn't work in these leagues. Well, system selection for these games would be Udinese @9.00, 8.3/10 Livorno @12.00, 8.0/10 Ascoli @3.75, 5.2/10 Vigo - draw @3.40 4.3/10 Note - this is not system selection, this is only part of discussion. Juve and Milan are heavy favorites and it's usual that we would never have fair prices for games like these. Although Udinese look really tempting according to their record at San Siro, more quality in their team than during last few seasons, and bad result of Milan at Eindhoven. Livorno have only 2 defeats so far, so it's big underestimating pricing them around 8-10, even more at few places, even against big Juve. Fiorentina and Celta are also too big favorites for opponents they're playing tomorrow. Your ratings were good merlin - all games came in. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted November 6, 2005 Author Share Posted November 6, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System 06.11.05. bet#24 Cardiff vs Coventry Draw @3.40 3.3/10 (18.97$) :D stake [$] 777.53 profit [$] 265.73 yield 26.44 starting bank 1000.00$ current bank 1265.73$ strike rate 0.54 average odds 3.08 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted November 6, 2005 Share Posted November 6, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System .... Good evening Djordje and trust you are well. Yep all came in and provided a five timer, so no complaints.Your bet 24 came in well also to provide you with three correct from four, so you must be happy with that.Do you work out your selections by some sort of spreadsheet, or is it done on paper?Whichever way it is carried out it seems quite trustworthy.Keep up the good work!:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted November 6, 2005 Author Share Posted November 6, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System I use Excel for now, but I'll try to develop software soon. But I'll need some more time and JAVA knowledge for that. Cheers mate Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted November 6, 2005 Share Posted November 6, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System So how long does it take for you to run through the fixture list? Must be a bit of a wearisome project.But probably satisfying when the predictions come up trumps.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted November 7, 2005 Author Share Posted November 7, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System You won't believe me, but it takes no more than 1 hour to put bets here. ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted November 7, 2005 Share Posted November 7, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System .... that's pretty good going when you consider just what is involved. Going through a whole coupon has got to take time. Is the info readily available on a site? I know that there is a very good site for information at www.football365.com some great 8 match form there as well as everything you need.Fancy Bolton W to beat Tottenham H tonight!:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Djordje Posted November 7, 2005 Author Share Posted November 7, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System Yes, I made pretty useful spreadsheet in Excel, but when you need 1h for one league, and have other things to do in you life, than you're limited a bit. If/When I develope software for this system it will be much easier to cover all English and Scottish leagues, I think it should work there. Site you mentioned is the one, but I like willhill version of it. With colors in fixtures list ;) P.S. Bolton game is draw by this system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted November 7, 2005 Share Posted November 7, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System I have seen an Excel spreadsheet that goes off automatically on the Internet and downloads all the info that you would want, directly to your spreadsheet.I should imagine you only have to know some basic to be able to write up something similar.Would take out the back breaking exercise of looking this up yourself.It all takes time I suppose, and when you lead a busy life,there are probably more things appealing than digging around for football facts and figures.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted November 7, 2005 Share Posted November 7, 2005 Re: Value Estimations System .... how about that then! Bolton 1 Tottenham 0 !:D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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