NFL Week 1 Bets

[harry_rag]

Week 1 prices up nice and early. Any early thoughts welcome. Not much value I can add until closer to bully off time, or whatever they call it! 

[PercyP]

Betting in the first few weeks of the NFL season is always dangerous. In the last three seasons, the week 1 & 2 games have resulted in the under dog (per the spread) winning 56 times whilst the favourite has only triumphed 35 times, there have also been 4 drawn games. The reason for this is everyone believes the pre-season hype and the spreads reflect this. In practice in week one all 32 teams have a chance of reaching the Superbowl and will be trying their hardest with their best squads. Be warned, last year three of the bottom six teams in the Superbowl market (totally unfancied before the start of the season) went through to the play-offs.

Home advantage is usually worth three points according to the bookies. This is true later in the season but last year only 6 home teams won in week one (10 lost). This maybe because there is extra pressure on the home team to do well. 

I shall give you my tips next week as I try to emulate my 2023/24 record.

Edited August 30 by PercyP
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