harry_rag Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 Soon comes round again doesn't it! Next up in the Super League and NRL we have this lot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 24 Author Share Posted April 24 3 NRL games tomorrow morning and a few tryscorer bets in the first two of them. Nicoll-Klokstad 2/1 and Khan-Pereira 5/4 in the first one. Lomax 21/10, Sloan 31/20 and Suaali'i at 9/5 in the next. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 25 Author Share Posted April 25 17 hours ago, harry_rag said: 3 NRL games tomorrow morning and a few tryscorer bets in the first two of them. Nicoll-Klokstad 2/1 and Khan-Pereira 5/4 in the first one. Lomax 21/10, Sloan 31/20 and Suaali'i at 9/5 in the next. 3 out of 5 for a reasonable profit. 3 in tonight's Super League game. Blake 15/8, Percival 2/1 and Swift 8/5 Current real money ROI is just shy of 18.75% from 162 bets. Blindly backing all the players in the data set would return 10% anyway but that feels like an over-performance compared to last season's data. For goalscorer bets the equivalent numbers would be 9.6% from the actual bets and -3.59% from blindly backing every player. Simplistic view would be it's easier to make money from RL tryscorers than the goalscorers but there's a lot more data for the latter so I'm less confident in the RL returns staying at the current level. At least both systems are generating a better return than blindly backing every selection! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 25 Author Share Posted April 25 11/10 Trbojevic and 5/4 Sivo in tomorrow's NRL game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 26 Author Share Posted April 26 Both obliged earlier on. Miski 5/4 for Wigan Hall 15/8 for Castleford Charnley 5/4 for Leeds Miski and Marshall 9/2 Field and French 13/2 L Senior and I Senior at 11/4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 27 Author Share Posted April 27 To'o evens, Tago 13/8 and May 15/8 in the NRL game that's about to start. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 27 Author Share Posted April 27 22 hours ago, harry_rag said: Miski 5/4 for Wigan Hall 15/8 for Castleford Charnley 5/4 for Leeds Leigh Miski and Marshall 9/2 Field and French 13/2 L Senior and I Senior at 11/4 2 hours ago, harry_rag said: To'o evens, Tago 13/8 and May 15/8 in the NRL game that's about to start. Dufty 7/4 a system pick for Warrington. Nofoaluma 2/1 and Brierley 3/1 for Salford. Just shy of system qualifiers (spread price a point too low) but hit the metrics, especially the latter. Caught my eye and decided to "rate" them anyway. Tuala 6/4 in tomorrow's early NRL game and Schiller 7/5 in the later one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted Sunday at 12:06 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 12:06 PM On 4/27/2024 at 12:56 PM, harry_rag said: Dufty 7/4 a system pick for Warrington. Nofoaluma 2/1 and Brierley 3/1 for Salford. Just shy of system qualifiers (spread price a point too low) but hit the metrics, especially the latter. Caught my eye and decided to "rate" them anyway. Tuala 6/4 in tomorrow's early NRL game and Schiller 7/5 in the later one. A break even there courtesy of 3/1 Brierley. I must break my own "rules" more often. A final Leeds foursome before the month end totting up. Miller 5/4, Momirovski 6/4, McCormack 15/8 and Rhyse Martin 2/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted Sunday at 04:45 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 04:45 PM 4 hours ago, harry_rag said: Miller 5/4, Momirovski 6/4, McCormack 15/8 and Rhyse Martin 2/1 A bit of a drop off in results this weekend, this is how the figures look at month end. Current Bets P/L ROI Best 409 £28.58 6.99% Fair 409 -£2.39 -0.58% Back 409 £14.71 3.60% Best > Back 229 £35.65 15.57% No odds on 195 £31.17 15.99% UK 94 £33.03 35.13% NRL 101 -£1.85 -1.83% Figures dropping off a bit but still decent enough if they hold up. Hardly any gap now between all system qualifiers and filtering out the odds on shots. Still a huge gap between UK and NRL. See how it develops as the sample keeps growing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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