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Key Eider Chase Betting Trends -14:08 Newcastle Saturday 24 February 2024


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16/16 – Had won over at least 3m before
14/16 – Aged 10 or younger
13/16 – Carried 10-13 or more
13/16 – Priced 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Irish-bred
11/16 – Winners came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
11/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/16 – Officially rated between 131-140
10/16 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/16 – Placed favourites
5/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Won over 3m4f or further before
3/16 – Carried 11-12 in weight
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Irish-trained winners
Crosspark (12/1) won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1

14 of the last 16 winners were aged 10 or younger, while 11 of the last 16 successful horses were Irish bred.

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On 2/20/2024 at 8:29 AM, White Feather said:

16/16 – Had won over at least 3m before
14/16 – Aged 10 or younger
13/16 – Carried 10-13 or more
13/16 – Priced 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Irish-bred
11/16 – Winners came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
11/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/16 – Officially rated between 131-140
10/16 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/16 – Placed favourites
5/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Won over 3m4f or further before
3/16 – Carried 11-12 in weight
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Irish-trained winners
Crosspark (12/1) won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1

14 of the last 16 winners were aged 10 or younger, while 11 of the last 16 successful horses were Irish bred.

Weight - 10-13 or more, racecard numbers 1-9 -  Officially rated between 131-140 - racecard 1-4 - 11 of the last 16 successful horses were Irish bred - 4 qualify racecard 1-9. TOMMIE BEAU ticks a few boxes and current odds 10/1 - 11/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out.

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My analysis of the stats

Nice and easy this one !

6 of the last 9 winners (from 25 runners) hasve carried 9st 13lb to 11st 1lb with a profit of 48 points.

The record of the remainder is 3 from 118 with a loss of 77 points

Only contender is the favourite ANGLERS CRAG at 4/1 (4 places)

Also passes the 2nd stat (9 year olds, 6 from 40, LSP 51 points) 

 

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