NFL Week 12 - Predictions

[harry_rag]

Week 12. Give thanks for some Thursday and Friday action; makes for a less frenetic Sunday at least!

[PercyP]

Week 11 Results

The week 11 bet was over when Joe Burrow picked up a season ending injury when giving the Bengals a 10-7 lead against the Ravens. Without Burrow in the second half the Ravens were able to win at their leisure. Cowboys and Browns win but the Lions lost ATS and the Titans played like a team that has given up for the season.

Picks 5 Won 2 Lost 3, Staked 30 points, Returned Nil points for a loss of 30.00 points.

ATS YTD record

Picks 55 = W28 D4 L23 – staked 330.00 points – returned 780.09 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +450.09 points

49Ers, Dolphins, Bills, Commanders and Chargers all appear nailed on this week according to the pundits. However this is the NFL and surprises do and will happen. I would not be surprised to see 2+ upsets ATS, so I have purposefully avoided these games. I was happy to avoid the three upsets involving the Dolphins, Commanders and Chargers.

1. Bengals to win ATS +3.5 points @ 10/11 – THURSDAY NIGHT = Burrow injury scuppers bet. Ravens win 34-20, - LOST

Defeat against the Texans last week, makes this a must win game for the Bengals. Injuries to key players in the Ravens line up helps the Bengals cause. Injury to Joe Burrow puts paid to the Bengals chances.

2. Titans to win ATS +7.0 points @ 10/11 = Titans poor losing 34-14 - LOST

The Titans are an extremely physical team. Just the type of team Trevor Lawrence hates to play. It is time for Derrick Henry to show his talent. What shocking performance from the Titans. Derrick Henry is a mere shadow of his former self. Are they losing to get a top draft pick?

3. Dallas Cowboys to win ATS -10.5 points @ 10/11 = Cowboys easy win 33-10 - WON

Dallas has a habit of beating up on bad teams and the Panthers are bad (1-8).  Dallas should win big. They did, the Panthers are bad.

4. Browns to win ATS -1.0 points @ 10/11 = Browns win 13-10 - WON

Despite winning for me last week, the Steelers are by far the luckiest team in the NFl.  However their best form comes at home. The Browns also excel at home (4-1), with their one loss coming against the Ravens when their QB was injured. The Steelers luck will run out this week. Browns win an ugly game.

5. Lions to win ATS -7.5 points @ 10/11 = Lions won by 5 (31-26) - LOST

Even with Justin Fields back, I cannot see how the Bears keep this close. The Lions are better in all positions. Jared Goff the Lions QB is usually “Mr reliable” but was terrible for most of the game giving away 3 turnovers. But in the final four minutes he was able to lead the Lions to victory taking the Lions down the field to score two touchdowns. Pure class by Goff.