MCLARKE Posted August 21, 2023 Share Posted August 21, 2023 The Ebor festival is one of the major meetings of the flat season and features the Ebor Handicap, the most valuable flat handicap in Europe. The key statistics from the last 9 years are :- 1. Horses that have had a win in the last 37 days have recorded 91 wins from 746 runs with a profit of 98 points. The AE is 1.22. 2. Horses running over the same distance have 147 wins from 1,594 runs with a profit of 165 points and an AE of 1.13. 3. As mentioned elsewhere the draw is a significant factor. Those drawn in stall 2 have recorded 34 wins from 217 runs with a profit of 134 points. The AE is 1.74. 4. Good recent form is beneficial. Those that had a good run last time have recorded 164 wins from 1,481 runs with a profit of 156 points and an AE of 1.09. 5. On a similar theme, horses that finished 1st or 2nd last time have 146 runs from 1,265 runs with a profit of 61 points and an AE of 1.09. Yalwen, richard-westwood and MinellaWorksop 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted September 15, 2023 Author Share Posted September 15, 2023 Results for York Ebor festival. On the face of it a disappointing result with a level stakes loss of 47 points. Hoever the AE was 1.08 which means a profit would have been made using proportional stakes. 1. Horses that have had a win in the last 37 days. 9 wins from 74 runs, loss -17. AE 1.01. 2. Horses running over the same distance. 20 from 207, profit 0. AE 1.19. The high AE relative to the breakeven indicates a 19% profit using proportional stakes. 3. As mentioned elsewhere the draw is a significant factor. 3 from 27, loss -8. AE 1.03. There were 4 seconds, including Range of Bamby at 50. 4. Good recent form is beneficial. Those that had a good run last time. 22 from 182, profit 14. AE 1.14. 5. On a similar theme, horses that finished 1st or 2nd. 15 from 138, -36 loss, AE 0.93. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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