Algorithm Tennis Predictor

[Smiles Tennis]

Right guys, I'm back again. I have a bit more time on my hand, I'm always doing some thinking and some learning so here is my next go at finding something that works. As always it's tennis, and I want it to be set and forget as I don't have time to sit and trade matches all day and night. 

This new way is using an algorithm to predict the match odds for tennis matches. Currently, some are fairly close, and some are a long way off. This is just the testing and trying from day one so adjustments will no doubt be made but let's see how it goes from the start.

The following are taken into account and weighted differently:

W/L for last year

W/L for last 2 years

W/L all time before that

Same three as above but just for the surface of the current match.

H2H games

H2H matches

Results from playing in current matches country in the past

Matches against the same nationality as opponent

Current form (10 matches)

Tiredness (matches in last 20 days)

Any recent retirements

Previous at this tournament. 

(Edit: Ranking as well)

Because it's throwing up odds that are obviously not bang on current Betfair odds, there should be lots of selections. I will try to do as many matches as I can but early in the week sometimes might be hard with lots of matches to go through. 

Currently paper trading, will use fictional £10 stakes for the purposes of the spreadsheet, and also just using the "what if" on Betfair so they will have 5% commission taken off as well. 

Let's hope it's interesting and something to continue working on. 

Wish me luck

 

 

 

Edited April 21, 2023 by Smiles Tennis
Adding ranking to criteria used

[Smiles Tennis]

First picks, one starting this evening, the rest for tomorrow. Will check again in the morning for more.