Serie B Predictions > Apr 9th-10th

[dejann]

Lecce -1 @1.95 / stake 1.25 units

Min price to bet: -1 @1.88

Model +value: yes

Significant team news: SPAL with some very bad team news, some important players are not available, including dm Viviani, who was oft inj in last couple of months but is by far their best rated player this season; first choice rb Dickman (their 2nd best rated player), first choice cb Capadrosi and rotation cf Melchiorri (their 3rd best scorer), all of whom were available for last 10 games; except Viviani who has played in last 2.

Note: Lecce have featured in our notes few days ago as well, also a couple of more times this season - in our view they are the best Ita B team, and on a mission to prevent last season's fiasco when they fell apart in final rounds of the season, missed direct promotion and then lost in the playoffs. Fine 4-1 win in Ternana on Tue, deserved but way too high, they were very clinical. SPAL with huge inj time goal for 2-2 v Cosenza, which kept them 9 pts ahead of Cosenza but also ensured tie-breaker in case they are level on points. Just above the red zone, but with 8 pts ahead of Alessandria, SPAL are not safe yet but are v close to that and have very winnable game v Crotone next week. Lecce are aware that 5 wins in last 5 games means guaranteed automatic promotion, they have quite an easy schedule in the remaining part of the season, with promotion candidates Pisa as the only top 10 opponent in last 4 games, they really should not mess this up! The hosts would be 66%+ for us here with neutral team news, this way it can easily go to 68.5++, and while -1 hcap is big for Ita B we def like it in this one, so much that small extra 25% to standard stake is suggested as well, for 1.25 units bet. Fine weather.