Racing Chat - Thursday 1st July

[Darran]

If you were able to get 4 places on Master Sunrise then you got something back on him and he's run a solid enough race again. He's actually stayed on well after being headed and looking like he would be well beaten. As for Royal Chance that was just really frustrating. He was just starting to get into contention when he was hindered at the 4th last. Not only have we done our money yesterday, but we also don't even know if the wind op has worked or not. He might well have found little, but at least if he stays up we know that for future races. It's almost certain he will be a bet next time and hopefully he can find just as weak a contest as that one was.

 

More Buck's was due to run at Cartmel last Friday have been well backed and then had a bruised foot before the meeting was called off. Clearly it's not kept him out for long as he runs in the 4.15 at Perth today and he looks potentially thrown in. A year ago he was 4th in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen off 124 and although he lost his way after that it does mean he is very well handicapped now off a mark of 99. What you have to factor in is the fact the Bowen yard were in dreadful form last year and they are now having winners again. This horse has also found his form again pointing. He was impressive in making most of the running in his first 3 victories this year and was then 2nd last time to Risk And Roll. That one currently has a mark of 122 so even though he was 15L behind him that still puts him on a decent mark. That race was over 2m4f as well and he has clearly thrived for going over 3m in points. I think his jockey will blast him off in front and play catch me if you can.

 

For Jim is in good in form and likes good ground, but he hasn't won off a mark this high before. He is the main danger though. Hitman Thread has won twice over course and distance in his last 3 starts so he clearly has to be respected although is up to 105 in the handicap now. Istimraar won over course and distance last summer beating a horse I put up. He looked well handicapped that day, but hasn't actually won since. Clearly though he does have it in him off this mark. 

 

Ultimately though More Buck's has around 15lbs in hand of the handicapper based on his pointing efforts over this trip and if he repeats those efforts it is hard to see him being beaten although there will be weaker class 5 contests than this. I also wouldn't want to go much shorter than 9/4 either because of that, but there is still some juice in that price.

 

More Bucks @ 9/4 with Bet365

[cannotbebeat]

2.10 Haydock Side Shot 4/1

2.30 Perth Golden Taipan 11/8

Good luck all CNBB.