Grand National 10th April 2021

[FleetFanatic]

Well, I pass by here from time to time. Those that know me from previous years will know I back anything that rates 90+ in my little trends calculation. Now the 'peak previous run period' has been & gone, I have rated the first 40 in the declarations for now - will up date if any more withdraw etc. Currently dealing with the death of a brother at the age of 45, so will do my best...)2017: 1st, 2nd, 4th, 5th (had shortlist of 10)
2018: 1st, 4th, 5th (had shortlist of 6)
2019: 3rd, 4th, 5th (had shortlist of 10)
2021: (currently shortlist of 9 - 7 plus an additional 2)

1 Bristol de Mai (FR) 10 11 10 167 Mr Simon Munir & Mr Isaac Souede Nigel Twiston-Davies	74
2 The Storyteller (IRE) 10 11 8 165 Mrs Pat Sloan Gordon Elliott IRE	WITHDRAWN
3 Chris's Dream (IRE) 9 11 7 164 Robcour Henry de Bromhead IRE	54
4 Yala Enki (FR) 11 11 3 160 Hills of Ledbury Ltd Paul Nicholls	76
5 Ballyoptic (IRE) 11 11 1 158 Mills & Mason Partnership Nigel Twiston-Davies	83
6 Definitly Red (IRE) 12 11 1 158 Phil & Julie Martin Brian Ellison	63
7 Lake View Lad (IRE) 11 11 0 157 Mr Trevor Hemmings N. W. Alexander	92
8 Burrows Saint (FR) 8 10 13 156 Mrs S. Ricci W. P. Mullins IRE	90
9 Magic of Light (IRE) 10 10 13 156 Ann & Alan Potts Limited Mrs J. Harrington IRE	74
10 Acapella Bourgeois (FR) 11 10 12 155 Slaneyville Syndicate W. P. Mullins IRE	83
11 Talkischeap (IRE) 9 10 12 155 Mr Charles Dingwall Alan King	90
12 Tout Est Permis (FR) 8 10 12 155 Gigginstown House Stud Noel Meade	65
13 Anibale Fly (FR) 11 10 12 155 Mr John P. McManus A. J. Martin IRE	90
14 Mister Malarky (GB) 8 10 12 155 Wendy & Malcolm Hezel Colin Tizzard	81
15 Kimberlite Candy (IRE) 9 10 10 153 Mr John P. McManus Tom Lacey	83
16 Any Second Now (IRE) 9 10 9 152 Mr John P. McManus T. M. Walsh IRE	92
17 Balko des Flos (FR) 10 10 9 152 Gigginstown House Stud Henry de Bromhead IRE	56
18 Alpha des Obeaux (FR) 11 10 9 152 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE	56
19 Ok Corral (IRE) 11 10 8 151 Mr John P. McManus Nicky Henderson	72
20 Takingrisks (IRE) 12 10 7 150 Mr Frank Bird Nicky Richards	65
21 Shattered Love (IRE) 10 10 7 150 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE	63
22 Jett (IRE) 10 10 7 150 Mr Robert Waley-Cohen Mrs J. Harrington IRE	49
23 Lord du Mesnil (FR) 8 10 6 149 Mr Paul Porter & Mike & Mandy Smith Richard Hobson	92
24 Potters Corner (IRE) 11 10 6 149 All Stars Sports Racing & J Davies Christian Williams	76
25 Class Conti (FR) 9 10 6 149 Mr Simon Munir/Mr Isaac Souede W. P. Mullins IRE	74
26 Milan Native (IRE) 8 10 6 149 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE	81
27 Discorama (FR) 8 10 6 149 Thomas Friel/Andrew Gemmell Paul Nolan IRE	83
28 Vieux Lion Rouge (FR) 12 10 5 148 Prof Caroline Tisdall & Mr John Gent David Pipe	72
29 Cloth Cap (IRE) 9 10 5 148 Mr Trevor Hemmings Jonjo O'Neill	90
30 Cabaret Queen (GB) 9 10 5 148 Syndicates.Racing W. P. Mullins IRE	56
31 Minellacelebration (IRE) 11 10 5 148 Mr Nick Elliott Katy Price00	58
32 Canelo (IRE) 8 10 4 147 Mr John P. McManus Alan King	81
33 The Long Mile (GB) 7 10 4 147 Mr John P. McManus J.P.Dempsey IRE	52
34 Give Me A Copper (IRE) 11 10 4 147 Done, Ferguson, Mason, Nicholls & Wood Paul Nicholls	76
35 Farclas (FR) 7 10 3 146 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE	70
36 Minella Times (IRE) 8 10 3 146 Mr John P. McManus Henry de Bromhead IRE	74
37 Sub Lieutenant (IRE) 12 10 3 146 Ms G. Howell Georgie Howell	79
38 Hogan's Height (IRE) 10 10 3 146 Foxtrot Racing: Hogan's Height Jamie Snowden	81
39 Double Shuffle (IRE) 11 10 2 145 Crossed Fingers Partnership Tom George	63
40 Ami Desbois (FR) 11 10 2 145 The Reserved Judgment Partnership Graeme McPherson	54

Blacklion 74
Some Neck 70
Secret Reprieve 63

So my current crop against the field are:
 

8 Lake View Lad (IRE)	33/1	92
9 Burrows Saint (FR)	14/1	90
12 Talkischeap (IRE)	66/1	90
14 Anibale Fly (FR)	33/1	90
19 Any Second Now (IRE)	10/1	92
28 Lord du Mesnil (FR)	33/1	92
34 Cloth Cap (IRE)	4/1	90

Also shortlisted: Mister Malarkey, Canelo

Not worried about ante-post - on the day there's normally some sort of back 1, back another free type offer, so here's hoping...

Edited April 8, 2021 by FleetFanatic
Updating declarations due to non-runners

[Hotspur88]

2 minutes ago, FleetFanatic said:

Well, I pass by here from time to time. Those that know me from previous years will know I back anything that rates 90+ in my little trends calculation. Now the 'peak previous run period' has been & gone, I have rated the first 40 in the declarations for now - will up date if any more withdraw etc. Currently dealing with the death of a brother at the age of 45, so will do my best...)

2017: 1st, 2nd, 4th, 5th (had shortlist of 10)
2018: 1st, 4th, 5th (had shortlist of 6)
2019: 3rd, 4th, 5th (had shortlist of 10)
2021: (currently shortlist of ?
 

1 Santini (GB) 9 11 10 167 Mr & Mrs R. Kelvin-Hughes Nicky Henderson	72
2 Bristol de Mai (FR) 10 11 10 167 Mr Simon Munir & Mr Isaac Souede Nigel Twiston-Davies	74
3 The Storyteller (IRE) 10 11 8 165 Mrs Pat Sloan Gordon Elliott IRE	56
4 Chris's Dream (IRE) 9 11 7 164 Robcour Henry de Bromhead IRE	54
5 Yala Enki (FR) 11 11 3 160 Hills of Ledbury Ltd Paul Nicholls	76
6 Ballyoptic (IRE) 11 11 1 158 Mills & Mason Partnership Nigel Twiston-Davies	83
7 Definitly Red (IRE) 12 11 1 158 Phil & Julie Martin Brian Ellison	63
8 Lake View Lad (IRE) 11 11 0 157 Mr Trevor Hemmings N. W. Alexander	92
9 Burrows Saint (FR) 8 10 13 156 Mrs S. Ricci W. P. Mullins IRE	90
10 Magic of Light (IRE) 10 10 13 156 Ann & Alan Potts Limited Mrs J. Harrington IRE	74
11 Acapella Bourgeois (FR) 11 10 12 155 Slaneyville Syndicate W. P. Mullins IRE	83
12 Talkischeap (IRE) 9 10 12 155 Mr Charles Dingwall Alan King	90
13 Tout Est Permis (FR) 8 10 12 155 Gigginstown House Stud Noel Meade	65
14 Anibale Fly (FR) 11 10 12 155 Mr John P. McManus A. J. Martin IRE	90
15 Mister Malarky (GB) 8 10 12 155 Wendy & Malcolm Hezel Colin Tizzard	81
16 Kimberlite Candy (IRE) 9 10 10 153 Mr John P. McManus Tom Lacey	83
17 Beware The Bear (IRE) 11 10 10 153 Mr G. B. Barlow Nicky Henderson	99
18 Pym (IRE) 8 10 10 153 Mrs Patricia Pugh Nicky Henderson	72
19 Any Second Now (IRE) 9 10 9 152 Mr John P. McManus T. M. Walsh IRE	92
20 Balko des Flos (FR) 10 10 9 152 Gigginstown House Stud Henry de Bromhead IRE	56
21 Alpha des Obeaux (FR) 11 10 9 152 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE	56
22 Brahma Bull (IRE) 10 10 8 151 Mrs S. Ricci W. P. Mullins IRE	67
23 Ok Corral (IRE) 11 10 8 151 Mr John P. McManus Nicky Henderson	72
24 Takingrisks (IRE) 12 10 7 150 Mr Frank Bird Nicky Richards	65
25 Shattered Love (IRE) 10 10 7 150 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE	63
26 Jett (IRE) 10 10 7 150 Mr Robert Waley-Cohen Mrs J. Harrington IRE	49
27 The Jam Man (IRE) 8 10 7 150 Ronan M. P. McNally Ronan M. P. McNally IRE	76
28 Lord du Mesnil (FR) 8 10 6 149 Mr Paul Porter & Mike & Mandy Smith Richard Hobson	92
29 Potters Corner (IRE) 11 10 6 149 All Stars Sports Racing & J Davies Christian Williams	76
30 Class Conti (FR) 9 10 6 149 Mr Simon Munir/Mr Isaac Souede W. P. Mullins IRE	74
31 Milan Native (IRE) 8 10 6 149 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE	81
32 Discorama (FR) 8 10 6 149 Thomas Friel/Andrew Gemmell Paul Nolan IRE	83
33 Vieux Lion Rouge (FR) 12 10 5 148 Prof Caroline Tisdall & Mr John Gent David Pipe	72
34 Cloth Cap (IRE) 9 10 5 148 Mr Trevor Hemmings Jonjo O'Neill	90
35 Cabaret Queen (GB) 9 10 5 148 Syndicates.Racing W. P. Mullins IRE	56
36 Minellacelebration (IRE) 11 10 5 148 Mr Nick Elliott Katy Price00	58
37 Canelo (IRE) 8 10 4 147 Mr John P. McManus Alan King	81
38 The Long Mile (GB) 7 10 4 147 Mr John P. McManus J.P.Dempsey IRE	52
39 Give Me A Copper (IRE) 11 10 4 147 Done, Ferguson, Mason, Nicholls & Wood Paul Nicholls	76
40 Farclas (FR) 7 10 3 146 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE	70

So my current crop against the field are:
 

8 Lake View Lad (IRE)	33/1	92
9 Burrows Saint (FR)	14/1	90
12 Talkischeap (IRE)	66/1	90
14 Anibale Fly (FR)	33/1	90
17 Beware The Bear (IRE)	66/1	99
19 Any Second Now (IRE)	10/1	92
28 Lord du Mesnil (FR)	33/1	92
34 Cloth Cap (IRE)	4/1	90

 

Not worried about ante-post - on the day there's normally some sort of back 1, back another free type offer, so here's hoping...

Great work mate and extremely sorry to hear the sad news regarding your loss, sending my best wishes. 

I have been doing some work on the National and will keep working on it until I have a shortlist of three but Anibale Fly cropped up for me as well. 

Keep up the good work, look forward to reading it.