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Racing Chat, Sunday 10th January


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Sha Tin Selections
0500 - 8 On Excel Star - unplaced
0530 - 4 City Legend - 2nd
0600 - 5 Treasure Chest - 3rd
0630 - 8 Winning Steed  - unplaced
0700 - 5 Amazing Rocky - unplaced
0735 - 4 Cheerful Days - 2nd
0805 - 3 Tornado Twist - 2nd
0835 - 3 Gunnar - 2nd
0910 - 5 Super Football - WON
0945 - 7 Amazing Chocolate - unplaced

Southwell Selections
1250 - 3 Swinton Noon    4/1 William Hill                  unplaced
1320 - 2 Severus Alexander  4/1 Paddy Power          unplaced
1350 - 3 Young John  7/2 William Hill                       unplaced
1420 - 2 Compass Point  11/2 Paddy Power             unplaced
1450 - 8 Geography Teacher 4/1 Bet365 (Nap)          unplaced
1520 - 9 Tellmeyourstory  11/8 Bet365                      3rd
1550 - 7 Jazz Legend 10/1 Bet365                           unplaced

Exeter Selections
1310 - 2 Sandymount Rose  13/2 Paddy Power  - WON SP 15/8
1340 - 4 Gladiateur Allen  7/4 Bet365                   3rd
1410 - 4 Bear Ghylls  6/4 Bet365                         WON SP 10/11
1440 - 6 Francky Du Berlais  7/1 Bet365             WON SP 6/1
1510 - 3 Ask Me Early  11/2 Bet365 -                   NON RUNNER
1540 - 6 Neetside  11/2 William Hill                      2nd
1610 - 5 Landen Calling  8/1 Bet365                     unplaced

Cagnes Sur Mer - Grade 3 chase
1315 - 3 Enola Gay  10/1 Bet365   unplaced

Edited by ipswich45
results being added
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I will concentrate on my young handicappers system as this performed well in December and is back in profit now for the season.

The profit is 52 points from 1,013 selections with an AE of 1.022.

If I limit the selections to one in a race by using the shortest forecast odds then the profit is 82 points from 467 selections with an AE of 1.13.

There is a selection in the 3.40 at Exeter tomorrow, FELTON BELLEVUE, available at 20/1. 

 

 

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A few outsiders 

1.20 Southwell Tyrell 30/1 3places  :wall

1.50 Southwell bond angel 18/1 3places  :nanaplaced

3.20 Southwell panzer tank 20/1 4places:wall

3.50 Southwell Leo davinci 10/1:wall

1.40 Exeter no drama 45/1 4places :nanaplaced

3.10 Exeter mr clarkson 20/1 4places:wall

2.40 Exeter one more fleurie 25/1 4places:wall

50p e/w singles bet365 ???

Edited by LEE-GRAYS
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10 hours ago, MCLARKE said:

I will concentrate on my young handicappers system as this performed well in December and is back in profit now for the season.

The profit is 52 points from 1,013 selections with an AE of 1.022.

If I limit the selections to one in a race by using the shortest forecast odds then the profit is 82 points from 467 selections with an AE of 1.13.

There is a selection in the 3.40 at Exeter tomorrow, FELTON BELLEVUE, available at 20/1. 

 

 

Looking good already price wise

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Nothing much doing today from my end.  Only 3 qualifying non handicap races. The 3.20 at Southwell is very confusing to me with lots of horses carrying different weights; almost looks like a handicap.  All this brought about because the colts are up against the fillies.  I'll let someone else figure that one out.

I have had £8.30 to win at 5/4 on Karl Philipe in the 1.40 at Exeter.  This is a Fergal O'Brien trained horse that ran very well on debut.  It looks as thought it has one main opponent in the form of Gladiateur Allen.  This horse was showing up at 11/8 last night and it easy to back at 2/1 now.  The David Pipe horse doesn't look anything special so I'll go with the bigger yard over Mrs Jane Williams smaller one.

In the 4.10 at Exeter the claims of Flemenstide are obvious.  It does have live competition though and I will have a small wager of £1.50 at 8/1 on the Fergal O'Brien trained Landen Calling.  It seems to me to be a very difficult task to calculate how much any horse will improve on the basis of just one run so I'll take the better price for a very successful trainer once again.

Total stakes = £9.80 total stakes today.

Good luck to all the diehard's betting today

=============================================================================

Ah well. perhaps one day I will learn.  It was obvious about Gladiateur Allen but I still didn't have an insurance bet which was very possible on the Pipe horse.  Nit brain :wall  I am waiting to see the winning distance as my selection was matched at 1.04 in-running

===============================================================================================================

Not a good day as my even money favourite got beat.  Landen Calling ran a very strange race going all over the track.  Anyway £9.80 loss today. This means that my c/fwd balance is now £523.98 (£500 Bank)

Some interesting non handicap racing tomorrow.  Possibly some opportunities

 

 

 

 

     

Edited by The Equaliser
Results Update
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22 hours ago, Wildgarden said:

1250 southwell woke media 6-1 skybet win wound up early and kept going bravely + won.

250 southwell geography teacher 4-1 ladbrokes bog win nowhere

350 southwell Leo davinci Ew  10-1 nowhere bet365 bog and saver on nick vedder 5-4 Ladbrokes won 6-4

Results good start! Got trebles and a fourfold with mclarkes pick too...

Edited by Wildgarden
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20 hours ago, ipswich45 said:

Sha Tin Selections
0500 - 8 On Excel Star - unplaced
0530 - 4 City Legend - 2nd
0600 - 5 Treasure Chest - 3rd
0630 - 8 Winning Steed  - unplaced
0700 - 5 Amazing Rocky - unplaced
0735 - 4 Cheerful Days - 2nd
0805 - 3 Tornado Twist - 2nd
0835 - 3 Gunnar - 2nd
0910 - 5 Super Football - WON
0945 - 7 Amazing Chocolate - unplaced

Southwell Selections
1250 - 3 Swinton Noon    4/1 William Hill                  unplaced
1320 - 2 Severus Alexander  4/1 Paddy Power          unplaced
1350 - 3 Young John  7/2 William Hill                       unplaced
1420 - 2 Compass Point  11/2 Paddy Power             unplaced
1450 - 8 Geography Teacher 4/1 Bet365 (Nap)          unplaced
1520 - 9 Tellmeyourstory  11/8 Bet365                      3rd
1550 - 7 Jazz Legend 10/1 Bet365                           unplaced

Exeter Selections
1310 - 2 Sandymount Rose  13/2 Paddy Power  - WON SP 15/8
1340 - 4 Gladiateur Allen  7/4 Bet365                   3rd
1410 - 4 Bear Ghylls  6/4 Bet365                         WON SP 10/11
1440 - 6 Francky Du Berlais  7/1 Bet365             WON SP 6/1
1510 - 3 Ask Me Early  11/2 Bet365 -                   NON RUNNER
1540 - 6 Neetside  11/2 William Hill                      2nd
1610 - 5 Landen Calling  8/1 Bet365                     unplaced

Cagnes Sur Mer - Grade 3 chase
1315 - 3 Enola Gay  10/1 Bet365   unplaced

Fairly decent   Sha Tin and Exeter      the less said about Southwell the better and yet again somehow manage to pick 3 winners with 1 at decent price and my nap that really looked good on paper finished unplaced and never looked like winning eughhh    

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16 hours ago, MCLARKE said:

I will concentrate on my young handicappers system as this performed well in December and is back in profit now for the season.

The profit is 52 points from 1,013 selections with an AE of 1.022.

If I limit the selections to one in a race by using the shortest forecast odds then the profit is 82 points from 467 selections with an AE of 1.13.

There is a selection in the 3.40 at Exeter tomorrow, FELTON BELLEVUE, available at 20/1. 

 

 

It's shown to race tomorrow again or maybe will be pulled out? 120 Hereford?

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8 hours ago, LEE-GRAYS said:

A few outsiders 

1.20 Southwell Tyrell 30/1 3places  :wall

1.50 Southwell bond angel 18/1 3places  :nanaplaced

3.20 Southwell panzer tank 20/1 4places:wall

3.50 Southwell Leo davinci 10/1:wall

1.40 Exeter no drama 45/1 4places :nanaplaced

3.10 Exeter mr clarkson 20/1 4places:wall

2.40 Exeter one more fleurie 25/1 4places:wall

50p e/w singles bet365 ???

small profit but thats the way to go 

out £7

in £7.75

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