DoublesForDough's Darting Diary

[DoublesForDough]

Wasn’t sure whether to post this in the Darts Forum or the Systems and Strategy Forum … but as most of my selections will be based on my own player ratings, I plumped for this area of the forum.

I’m a keen follower of the darts, but I’m guilty of having too many stupid bets and accas; by recording all my bets on here I will hopefully reduce the number of bets I have, and only post the one’s where I see the greatest value. My ratings are based on current form, and I’ll be seeking out the best odds for each selection I put up.

I’ll be looking to cover all the PDC tournaments throughout the year (both televised and non-televised) with a starting bank of 1000 points.

My tournament outright picks with be between 0.5pts and 3pts, and singles will be 5pts or 10pts depending on how strongly I fancy the selection. I’ll also chuck in the odd 1pt acca in the early rounds of the big tournaments.

 

The Darts World Championship gets underway on Tuesday evening, and I’m putting up a couple of outright selections to get started.

Damon Heta to win Quarter Two

1 pt @ 11.00 (Various)

There are question marks about a few of Heta’s rivals in this section of the draw. Gary Anderson is suffering from a leg injury and Glen Durrant is recovering after a bout of Covid-19. Rob Cross has been out of form for much of this year, and whilst Devon Petersen has been brilliant for much of the year, his results in the last couple of weeks of the season haven’t been great. Michael Smith is a big danger, but Heta has finished the season in great form. He picked up a ProTour title during the Winter Series, and has kept his arm in by picking up the Home Tour III title a few days ago. Enthusiasm is slightly tempered by a pretty tough looking draw – Danny Baggish in the first round and then Adrian Lewis in the second isn’t ideal – so I’ll just stick to a 1 point bet here.

 

Jose De Sousa most tournament 180s

1pt @ 13.00 (Bet365 / Betfred)

Most bookies have Van Gerwen as the favourite to win this market which doesn’t feel right, he’s by no means one of the highest 180 hitters on tour, so for me he has to be opposed. I might be letting my heart rule my head a little with this one, De Sousa is rapidly becoming one of my favourite players on tour, and he’s won me a fair few quid over the last season. ‘The Special One’ still may be a little underestimated by the bookies, he has been in fine form recently, and has been consistently hitting 180’s for some time, not least when he won the Grand Slam title a few weeks ago. To win this market we need someone who is going to reach at least the semi-finals, and although De Sousa finds himself in the same quarter as Gerwyn Price and Nathan Aspinall, he looks sure to go well in the biggest event of the year. He’s a best price 5/1 to reach the last four, so I think 12/1 on hitting the most 180s in the tournament looks like a good play.

 

Damon Heta most tournament 180s

0.5pts @ 67.00 (various)

Based on the fact I think Heta will go well, this price looks too good to miss. If Heta does win his quarter he’ll have played an extra match compared to most of his rivals in this market, due to not being in the World’s top 32. He’s a pretty big 180 hitter, so a small interest for me.

Edited December 13, 2020 by DoublesForDough

[DoublesForDough]

A couple of singles, one for Tuesday evening and one for Wednesday afternoon:

 

Steve West to beat Amit Gilitwala 3-0

10points @ 10/11 (Skybet)

There aren't many statistics out there on the Indian qualifier, but from what I have seen he could be the weakest player in the whole tournament. There was some odds against the whitewash when the draw initially made, but the 10/11 being offered by Skybet still rates as a value bet.

 

Karel Sedlacek to beat Ryan Joyce

10points @ 15/8 (SpreadEx)

I have this game down as a much more even contest, Sedlacek has been playing well recently, including a win over Krzysztof Ratajski at the Players Championship Finals, and he beat Joyce in their only previous meeting in September.