Racing chat -tuesday 20th October

[richard-westwood]

340 fairy 

Enter the red 288

Pretty smart  285 

These 2 are quite a bit clear of next horse ....pretty smart won last time but is penalised 5lb and has to go a furlong further so I'll side with enter the red who will love the soft going 

Enter the red 10pt win 100/30 skyb

[Bathtime For Rupert]

All prices Bet365:

12.25 Yarmouth - 1pt e/w Diamond And Gold @ 9/1

Backed this one last time when running terribly at Doncaster but the fact he's been given time off since suggests he wasn't right that day. Promising debut over 7f in a hot race and has a nice pedigree too. The extra emphasis on stamina will suit and this one has a soft ground pedigree on his dam's side so that shouldn't inconvenience either. Couple of promising types at the top of the betting but 9/1 represents a good each-way price so long as last time was simply a blip.

12.40 Exeter - 1pt e/w Sweeping Rock @ 10/1

Has bounced back to form the last twice under similar conditions and looks capable of going close again here. The stiff nature of the track will suit as he comes home strongly in his races and the climb to the line is of benefit here. Has an experienced jockey on board which can be crucial in these amateur races and looks a big price each-way in this contest.

12.55 Yarmouth - 1pt e/w Enchanted Night @ 10/1

James Tate's runner has an appealing pedigree and makes each-way appeal on debut. Dam is an unraced daughter of a speedy 2 year old who regressed and is also related to some good sprinters. Both sides of its pedigree suggest she'll make a good 2yo and also that she'll relish soft conditions so at a double figure price, looks to hold sound claims with hopefully the market to move in our favour.

1.40 Exeter - 1pt e/w Simple Words @ 20/1

Favourite will take a bit of beating but at an each way price, quite tempted by Jimmy Frost's hurdling debutant. Raced twice for Joseph O'Brien on the flat in Ireland - showing a modicum of ability without threatening but comes from a good family and both half siblings are good horses on the level. This one's dam enjoyed top of the ground which he didn't get in his career in Ireland and looks interesting on hurdling debut today if fit enough to do himself justice. There's jumps horses in his family and will stay okay so has hopes for a yard who had a winner yesterday.

2.35 Yarmouth - 1pt e/w Enchantee @ 20/1

Not too concerned about the drift of this one as he's gone off at huge prices on all starts so far and shaped with promise the last twice over trips that have appeared insufficient. Gets an extra furlong and a half today having stayed on over a mile and 1m2f recently and that move looks to make sense, especially as a couple of this one's half siblings stay that far. Not a strong race and could get involved at a price again. 

2.50 Exeter - 1pt e/w Winter Getaway @ 10/1

Competitive little race but I think Richard Hobbs' runner represents a bit of value assuming his most recent outing was a blip. Never going with much fluency that day despite being sent off at 5/2 and it's possible it came too soon after his seasonal reappearance - which was a promising staying on third over 2m4f. Certainly wants a trip to the testing 3 miles here will help and has had three weeks off since to hopefully freshen him up and get him back on song. Has form in hurdles and points over three miles so conditions suit and if bouncing back to the form of his seasonal reappearance, has hopes if jumping holds up.

5.40 Newcastle - 1pt e/w Magnificia @ 33/1

Looks a bit overpriced given it has form under these conditions and shaped better than the result here two starts back - never able to get involved from the rear despite moving well for a long way. Stays further so would like to see a handier ride today as was outspeeded there and actually ran better than the bare result on turf last time when racing in a small group. Big price if this race pans out better.