Racing Chat - Thursday April 9th

[BillyHills]

Early morning stuff in Australia at 4 meetings

Main stuff at Gold Coast and Wyong

Gulfstream in the US later on.

 

Nap: 435 W: Zanzidance 10/11 bet365

Nb: 355 W: Red Hot Chillypins 6/4 betvic

Other: 645 GC: Fisticuffs 6/5 betvic

EW Value: 755 GC: Desmons Pride 10/1 bet365

 

[Darran]

An ex UK horse interests me at Pakenham (also known as Racing.com Park) tomorrow morning. Race 7 is due off at 11.30 and Daughter In Law is set to make her 2nd start in Oz. Rather unusually she is a sprinter going Down Under rather than a middle distance type which we are used to. She was trained in Ireland before having a couple of starts for Roger Charlton. She only has a maiden win to her name and only beat 1 home in the Queen Mary, but she ran with credit at both Glorious Goodwood and The Ebor meeting. She was next seen last month when a massive drifter in the betting at Pakenham. She got herself back in the field having been drawn on the outside and didn't get the clearest of runs in the straight. She stayed on in eye-catching style though to finish 5 behind the re-opposing Zimowy. Given the drift connections must have thought she would come on for the run and if she does from a run that was full of promise then she must surely go close. She has a better draw here and stepping up to 1200m looks like it will suit as well. She had a rating of 87 over here and this is only a BM64 Handicap (that means horses that are rated 64 carry 60kg, but horses rated higher can run and the top weight is rated 71 in this contest for example) so you would like to think she can turn out to be better than this level.

The main danger is Rapidora who has been running in higher classes than this and ran a good race at this level last time at Bendigo back in February. That race hasn't worked out too badly either with the winner winning a Listed Race and the 3rd winning next time out. The problem with here though is she only has a maiden win to here name in 13 starts and has finished 2nd 5 times. She has the form good enough to win this, but I think Daughter In Law can build on that first Australian run and has more progression in her.

Daughter In Law @ 7/2 with Betfred