Daedalean Posted August 29, 2005 Share Posted August 29, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system Hello and congratulations. :clap :clap :clap :notworthy This system is superb till now and i hope it will continue. I see you use steady stakes. Although i believe that on betting you have to be very careful, i wonder if another money management with a low increase of stakes gives better results. I will follow you and Good Luck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted August 29, 2005 Author Share Posted August 29, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system Starting Bank - 100 pts Bets - 11 Strike Rate - 8/11 Non-Lose Bets - 9/11 Profit - + 48.10 Yield - 43.7% Current Bank - +148.10. Cheers DAEDALEAN :ok , I am hoping that IF i can double the bank then i intend to double my stake.It seems to be going the right way so far so fingers crossed:hope . If any one has a different idea please feel free to post it. Unfortunatly there are no selections today :sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soccer-systems Posted August 29, 2005 Share Posted August 29, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system Jtw1, This is going very well indeed, congratulations! :clap Regarding staking and money management... These are complex subjects, so without the benefit of going into great detail here, I would recommend the following simplified approach. I noticed from the previous season your record was about 68% strike rate and 4% profit. Would this be correct? If so, your maximum stake should be 8% (= edge/odds = 4%/(1/2)). My recommendation for actual stake size would be half that or 4% to account for the uncertainty in your actual edge this year. Betting 4% on each match when you have a 4% edge will increase your bank by 0.16% per game on the average. If you have 500 bets for the season, your bank will be expected to increase by 122% by the end of the season (= 1.0016^500 - 1). Now you actually started out betting a fixed 10% of your initial bank, which will lead to a quicker increase but could also mean losing your entire bank after a series of 10 unlucky bets. To me this is very risky. Whatever stake size you decide on, you can do the above calculation to see how quickly your bank is expected to increase. Then decide on how much growth you are planning on, and remove the excess from time to time. In the above example, let's say you wanted a growth of 50% per year. If this growth is spread over 10 months, it translates into a 4% monthly growth rate. Anything above the 4% increase you can remove after the first month, which will be your banked profit. Typically this will be 4% (i.e. your expected growth will be 8% per month). Stake size calculation can be redone at that time, too. Then repeat this procedure after each month to keep removing excess funds. At the end of the year your banked profit should be about 72% while your betting bank also saw a 50% increase. The advantage of managing your money this way is two-fold: (1) controlled growth rate, allowing yourself to psychologically adjust to higher stakes, and (2) periodical removal of excess profits, providing you with a constant stream of income while at the same time growing your bank, too. Like I said, staking and money management are intricate subjects, the proper treatment of which would require several pages of discussion. The above summary, however, should give you a simple but effective approach for both. Cheers, Peter Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted September 9, 2005 Author Share Posted September 9, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system Many thanks for your reply Soccer-Systems , i think i'll stick to the 10 pt staking plan just now and see what happens :ok Tonight in HOLLAND - RKC WAALWIJK v RODA Home H2H - 4-1-0 Scores - 3-2,3-0,3-1,1-1,1-0. Odds on Betfair - 0,-0.5 @ 1.96 Stake 10pts - RKC Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted September 9, 2005 Author Share Posted September 9, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system R.K.C 2-0 :clap Starting Bank = 100 pts Bets = 12 Strike Rate = 9/12 Non-Lose Bets = 10/12 Profit = +57.10 Yield = 47.50 % Current Bank = +157.10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cains Posted September 9, 2005 Share Posted September 9, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system This is just amazing.. :notworthy:notworthy:notworthy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brael Posted September 9, 2005 Share Posted September 9, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system ah... the sweet smell of more cash in my Betfair account! :dude Lapping this up jtw1... thanks for sharing it on here!! :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted September 9, 2005 Author Share Posted September 9, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system I do my best :beer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted September 10, 2005 Author Share Posted September 10, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system DEPORTIVO v ATH MADRID Home h2h - 4-0-0 Scores - 4-1,3-2,5-1,2-0. Odds - 0,-0.5 @ 1.99 on Betfair , 1.925 on Bet 365. We'll wait a few hours and see what happens as i think we might just get over the even money on Betfair. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bamse81 Posted September 10, 2005 Share Posted September 10, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system Gamebookers offer Deportivo @ 2.20 and Betandwin have them @ 2.15... just a tip. GL today! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasperbs Posted September 10, 2005 Share Posted September 10, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system do you have to use betfairs asian handicap, can u just bet these teams to win with any bookie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted September 10, 2005 Share Posted September 10, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system Looking good still. Nice to see Deportivo a bet. New system Im trialling (IE euro system) has A.Madrid down as a lay so hopefully we'll both be celebrating a little later. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted September 10, 2005 Author Share Posted September 10, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system Stake 10 pts @2.0 Betfair. You can use any bookie mate , i just happen to use Betfair. Will take a look at gamebookers though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted September 10, 2005 Author Share Posted September 10, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system One Last Corner, One Last Kick , One Goal - Deportivo , Full-time , Phew. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
favs Posted September 10, 2005 Share Posted September 10, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system Nail Biter jtw1, Well Done though :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted September 10, 2005 Author Share Posted September 10, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system DEPORTIVO 1-0 :clap Starting Bank = 100 pts Bets = 13 Strike Rate = 10/13 Non-lose bets = 11/13 Profit = 67.10 Yeild = 51.61 % Current Bank = 167.10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cains Posted September 10, 2005 Share Posted September 10, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system :notworthy:notworthy:notworthy:notworthy:notworthy Feared i jinxed you, when i took it for my thread... :lol:lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brael Posted September 11, 2005 Share Posted September 11, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system One Last Corner' date=' One Last Kick , One Goal - Deportivo , Full-time , Phew.[/quote'] no matter... they all count! :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted September 11, 2005 Author Share Posted September 11, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system Sunday - FRENCH LEAGUE. SOCHAUX v MARSEILLE Home H2H - 4-0-0 Scores - 3-0,3-0,2-1,2-0. Odds - 0 @ 1.75 on Betfair Stake 10pts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cains Posted September 11, 2005 Share Posted September 11, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system If you want -0,25 instead, pinnacle has that.. Sun 9/11 401 Sochaux pk and -0.5 2.190 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted September 11, 2005 Author Share Posted September 11, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system 0-1 after 65 mins , come on SOCHAUX Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brael Posted September 11, 2005 Share Posted September 11, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system unlucky jtw1... can't win them all! keep 'em coming!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted September 11, 2005 Author Share Posted September 11, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system Sochaux 0-1 :cry Starting Bank = 100 pts Bets = 14 Strike Rate = 10/14 Non-Lose Bets = 11/14 Profit = +57.10 Yield = 40.80% Current Bank = +157.10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted September 12, 2005 Author Share Posted September 12, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system An interesting one in the German div2 tonight BOCHUM v HANSA ROSTOCK Away H2H - 0-1-5 Scores - 1-3,2-3,1-2,0-1,0-0,0-1. Odds - Rostock +1 @ 1.78 , Stake 10pts. For the more adventurous +0.5,+1 is available at 2.08 , +0.5 is 2.37. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted September 12, 2005 Author Share Posted September 12, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system 93rd min winner for BOCHUM :cry F-T 1-0. However with the H'cap of +1 we get the cash back :notworthy Starting Bank = 100pts Bets = 15 Strike rate = 10/15 Non-lose bets = 12/15 Profit = +57.10 Yield = 38% Curent Bank = +157.10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted September 16, 2005 Author Share Posted September 16, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system CHELTENHAM v CARLISLE 4-0-0 Home H2H - 3-1,1-0,2-0,-,2-1,-. Odds - 0,-0.5 @ 1.925 at bet 365. Stake 10 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted September 17, 2005 Author Share Posted September 17, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system 1-3 :puke Back with a winner tomorrow :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted September 18, 2005 Author Share Posted September 18, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system Will update the totals after todays game - OSASUNA V SEVILLE Home H2H = 5-1-0 Scores - 3-0,2-1,-,-,1-0,2-1,1-1,4-1. Odds - 0 @ 1.85 at Bet 365 Stake 10 pts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtw1 Posted September 18, 2005 Author Share Posted September 18, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system Promised a winner and in it came :dude OSASUNA 1-0 Starting Bank = 100 pts Bets = 17 Strike rate = 11/ 17 Non-lose bets = 12/17 Profit = 55.60 Yield = 32.70% Current Bank = 155.60. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cains Posted September 18, 2005 Share Posted September 18, 2005 Re: JTW 1's previous results system MY 500th post should be to something good.. I hope it to be on my own system thread.. But dont look to good atm. :o But here is for you. :notworthy :notworthy :notworthy :notworthy :notworthy :notworthy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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