New Year's Day Trends

[Big Race Trends]

 

Dipper Novices' Chase:

• 17/17 had won a class 3+ race
• 16/16 had run in a G1 &/or G2
• 15/15 had finished 1-3 LTO
• 15/15 had run in the previous 37 days
• 12/12 had run at the course

The 5 trends identified generate a shortlist of 2:

• Champ (4/7)
• Deyrann De Carjac (5/1)

Paddy Power Handicap Chase:

• 10/10 were aged 7-9
• 10/10 had run in an 86k+ race
• 10/10 had run in the previous 160 days
• 10/10 had won over 2m4f+

The 4 trends produce a shortlist of 2:

• Kalashnikov (4/1)
• Ballyhill (16/1)

[richard-westwood]

I don't like kalashnikov....I think he's too high in weights ....ballyhill hasn't shown anything this season so far but has been running over inadequate distance ....bottom weight and incredibly well treated I think it's worth chancing an ew bet at 16/1 .....just looks good value if he's primed after 50 days that's the big if 

5pts ew 16/1