Daily Analysis Of Horses To Lay Between The Prices Of 1.70 & 4.2

[The Equaliser]

Hi Guys,

I am just wonderring if anyone is interested in helping me with daily analysis to find decent "lay" bets at short odds between 1.7 - 4.0 for lay betting purposes.

The night before racing I can list about between 20 - 30 horses for usual racing days and of course there are more on a Saturday.  I use Betfair and cross check with Oddschecker making a note of the lowest and highest price bearing in mind that the Bookies don't like to offer generous odds about anything at that time of night.

Anyway, the analysis involves cheking out track suitability, weight, draw (if applicable) mark, pace, distance, going and class.  There also has to be at least two other horses in the race who are considered to be live contenders whose individual odds do not exceed 10.0.

This is not rocket science and at this time of year "form book" analysts quite often get slaughtered in trying to either find winners or losers until the flat form truly sorts itself out.

I must admit that one has to be bold sometimes e.g. I laid Ten Sovereigns in teh 2,000 guineas because it was well known about its stamina problems but its price was short because a lot of people thought that its calss would see it though to win.  I also found it intersting that Istimraar was running for Dan Skelton last night in teh 6.10 at Worcester; it was 4/5 favourite and even teh commentators were expressing doubts about it winning this handicap chase.  But just because it was a Skelton horse the short price remained even in-running for a very long while during the race.

There are very many horses that run at cramped odds that are poor value for money where when the basic criteria above is applied they do not represent a good bet but instead a good opportunity to "lay" and make some money.

I could possibly analyse one meeting and come up with suggestions of good "lay" bets whilst others could analyse other meetings.  Obviously the horse(s) with the least going for them at the shortest prices are the ones to "Lay".

If anyone is interested in carrying out a bit of the work and sharing thenm please let me know?

Regards,

The Equaliser

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited October 10, 2022 by The Equaliser

[BillyHills]

Welcome to PL @The Equaliser

Not sure if we have many layers on the forum but feel free to post any possible pre-race selections in the daily Racing Chat thread. Be interested to see the strike rate you can achieve