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Been looking at a few systems (out of interest rather than thinking they'll work) and quite a few suggest looking at past 5 matches to look for potential bets. As an example, O 2.5 goals. Look at home teams last 5 home matches in the same competition they're playing in next weekend, if they've scored more than 2.5 in 4 of last 5, do likewise for the away team etc etc etc - not asking for comments on the system as it's one I've made up as an example.

The whole "last 5 matches" thing really annoys me though. Surely it's no where near enough of a sample - you need to look at the quality of the teams they've played in the last 5 matches for starters.

Is there any merit of looking at only the last 5 matches (or 5 samples of anything in any walks of life), whether it's football, stocks and shares etc etc?

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