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2018 BetVictor Gold Cup/ Greatwood Hurdle - Tips & Trends


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Two big betting handicaps this weekend, first we have the BetVictor Gold Cup on Saturday, this used to be the Paddy Power and is still known by that name in many places.
On Sunday we have the Greatwood Hurdle which has seen some top class winner over the years.

Sat 2.25

2m4f (2m4f44y) (Old) BetVictor Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Screen Shot 2018-11-12 at 17.37.21.png

Trends:

8/10 Aged 7 or over
8/10 Carried 11st 7lbs or less
7/10 Rated over 143
15/21 Placed in first 4 last time (8 won)
10 previous winners had won over this trip
17/21 Had won over further than 2m4f
 

Sunday 3.00
2m½f (2m87y) (Old) Unibet Greatwood Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Screen Shot 2018-11-12 at 17.38.07.png

Trends
9/10 Aged 6 or less
8/10 Rated 135 or more
7/10 Carried 10st 10lbs or more
16/21 Finished first 4 last time (9 won)
17/21 Had ran less than twice that season.

 

 

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25 minutes ago, richard-westwood said:

Already rated gold cup top 24 runners ......I'd guess around 20 to 22 will run ...

Baron alco 377

Benatar 375 

These 2 are 11 pts clear of the fav rather be...... and both are trained by Gary Moore...interesting ....any thoughts ??

 

ON Timeform site.....

Gary Moore is hopeful that Benatar will return to winning ways in next month's BetVictor Gold Cup at Cheltenham.
 

The BetVictor Gold Cup is ran over a trip of two miles four and a half furlongs, and is recognised as a traditional early-season highlight over the jumps.

Speaking on Monday, trainer Gary Moore said: "He was another horse that was too fresh at Newton Abbot.

"Everything that could go wrong went wrong. Nothing was run to suit him that day.

"He is fine now, and all being well he will probably go to Cheltenham next for the BetVictor Gold Cup."

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Certainly interesting With the forecast paying around 150/1 currently And benatar 14/1 it's beginning to look a lot like Xmas..hmmmm.....I'm thinking 10pt ew....5pt rev forecast ...about 850 pts if 1st and 2nd .....Xmas all paid for ???....gotta be worth a shot and a few big races get same trainer 1st and 2nds ...

Edited by richard-westwood
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Greatwood Hurdle - Sunday

Trends
9/10 Aged 6 or less
We lose Old Guard, Caius Marcius, Irish Roe, Mad Jack Mytton, Man Of Plenty.


8/10 Rated 135 or more
We lose Equs Amadeus and below


7/10 Carried 10st 10lbs or more
We lose Nube Negra


16/21 Finished first 4 last time (9 won)
We lose Western Ryder, 


17/21 Had ran less than twice that season.
We lose Verdana Blue, Silver Streak, Le Patriote, Storm Rising

Tie breaker: Not won beyond 2m Charlie Parcs, Midnight Shadow

Selection:

1pt EW Mohaayed 20/1 BetVictor

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2.25 – BetVictor Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f110y
16/16 – Had run at Cheltenham before   (20)
15/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before   (9,12,13,14)
15/16 – Won by a UK-based trainer   
12/16 – Had won at Cheltenham before   (3,4,5,7,11,16,18,19)
11/16 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old   (8,10,17)
11/16 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before   (1,2,15)

Rather Be @ 11\2 Betfair

Kalondra @ 6\1 Ladbrokes

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On 12/11/2018 at 7:28 PM, richard-westwood said:

Already rated gold cup top 24 runners ......I'd guess around 20 to 22 will run ...

Baron alco 377

Benatar 375 

These 2 are 11 pts clear of the fav rather be...... and both are trained by Gary Moore...interesting ....any thoughts ??

 

Nice doing business .....shame about non runner but fab run 

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On 16/11/2018 at 9:49 AM, richard-westwood said:

Greatwood hurdle 

Charlie parkes  377

Midnight shadow 367

Ballymoy     365 

Seeems an easy choice ....Henderson...10pts clear and 12/1 ??.....roll the dice 

Charlie parkes 10pts ew 12/1 betfred

Western Ryder 364 

Cauis marcius  364 

Those are 4th and 5th rated .......any one of top 5 could win this but I think caius marcius is vastly overpriced at 50/1 based on that....and could sneak a place if gives his best 

Caius Marcius 1pt ew 50/1 bet365 

Edited by richard-westwood
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Cant pick my nose at the minute so a  couple of cagey picks for me in the greatwood hurdle. CHARLI PARCS im on 12/1 6place 1/5  from a very strong yar top jock on top  has some good form and fair mark fair price my other selection  needs to jump better than when last seen over hurdles has had a recent run on the flat should be ready for this and is on a good mark with 7lb  claiimer on top  decent e/w price  &  NIETZSCHE 16/1 e/w  6 place. 

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2 hours ago, Tedthewolf said:

Cant pick my nose at the minute so a  couple of cagey picks for me in the greatwood hurdle. CHARLI PARCS im on 12/1 6place 1/5  from a very strong yar top jock on top  has some good form and fair mark fair price my other selection  needs to jump better than when last seen over hurdles has had a recent run on the flat should be ready for this and is on a good mark with 7lb  claiimer on top  decent e/w price  &  NIETZSCHE 16/1 e/w  6 place. 

There is a god after all!!

A Winner at last SP 20/1......needed that.

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On 11/16/2018 at 10:20 AM, Valiant Thor said:

My 2 top rated for the Gold cup would be 20pts staked

image.png.71162aaaba2cf0e7218063708315a661.png

 

 

21 hours ago, Valiant Thor said:

Greatwood Hurdle - Sunday

EW is not my bag but at these prices its money back+  if placed 20pts staked

image.png.88baf94fc60492bdb2b1492fcfd3d77d.png

 

A nice winner Saturday with Barron Alco :cigar

No joy on Sunday, Vado Forte tried to win from the front but faded after the last :\

and I think @BillyHills jinxed my other selection as he picked it as well  :lol :lol  ;)

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