Scottish Grand National - Ayr, Saturday

[BillyHills]

The jump season is fast approaching the finishing line but the big races keep coming.

This week we have the Ayr Scottish Grand National meeting and then its on to Punchestown next week and then we have the  final day at Sandown on the 29th.

 

Scottish National

A tough race to weight up and if you look at the past winners you will soon notice a couple of things. Firstly the price of the winner, although we have had the odd surprise (66/1 and 40/1) the majority have in fact come from the first half dozen in the betting.

Another interesting point is that only 3 horses have won in the last dozen years with a rating over 140 and only 2 have carried more than 11st since the great Grey Abbey lumped 11st 12lbs around here in 2004.

 

Previous Winners this century;

 

Key trends

10/10 Winners previously won over 3m+.
9/10 Winners ran within 45 days.
8/10 Winners either Irish or French bred.
8/10 Winners carried less than 11st.
8/10 Winners rated 143 or lower.
7/10 Winners aged between 7-9
6/10 Winners placed last time out.

 

[Tedthewolf]

Really very strongly fancy VICENTE to retain his crown i had him well backed to win the English national where he fell at the first backed him for this at 14/1  e/w when betting first opened will probably be the only one i  back in the race if he doesnt tip up must  surely go very close. There has been plenty money for it and would be no big surprize if goes off Fav on the day of the race. STD takes over as pilot the winners enclosure awaits!!!  

Good Luck All