Betfair Hurdle

[richard-westwood]

just looking at the ante post for this ultra competitive and open race .....might be a waste but with prices on offer im prepared to take the chance at a big payout 

sternrubin       99.33

charmix          99.31 

war sound    99.25 

interesting results   .........hobbs seems to be going all out to win this holding the current 1st and 3rd rated horses ...one of which is fav ...sternrubin looks a horse to follow ...has destroyed most of his opposition so far and looks well up to taking this if in the same good heart .....war sound is a very good horse also but sternrubin has the potential factor and at 14/1 he looks a very good value bet at this time .....a more speculative choice is charmix who has some decent form last but one when running away with a class 4 ....didnt perform as planned when stepped up to top class lto but he was running well and ground was atrocious that day so could be forgiven that blip.....no guarntees that he will run in this as trainer has suggested a step up might be needed but i really donr think thats the case .....he was travelling beautifully at 2 miles previously and looks perfectly weighted to take a huge part in this if he stands his ground ........currently hes being offered at 55.0!!!on betfair (generally 20/1 shot ) and at that price its worth taking the risk he runs because if he does that price would be spectacular !!!!

sternrubin   5pts win 14/1 lads

charmix   5 pts win 55.0 betfair 

[richard-westwood]

On 2/3/2016, 10:48:02, richard-westwood said:

just looking at the ante post for this ultra competitive and open race .....might be a waste but with prices on offer im prepared to take the chance at a big payout 

sternrubin       99.33

charmix          99.31 

war sound    99.25 

interesting results   .........hobbs seems to be going all out to win this holding the current 1st and 3rd rated horses ...one of which is fav ...sternrubin looks a horse to follow ...has destroyed most of his opposition so far and looks well up to taking this if in the same good heart .....war sound is a very good horse also but sternrubin has the potential factor and at 14/1 he looks a very good value bet at this time .....a more speculative choice is charmix who has some decent form last but one when running away with a class 4 ....didnt perform as planned when stepped up to top class lto but he was running well and ground was atrocious that day so could be forgiven that blip.....no guarntees that he will run in this as trainer has suggested a step up might be needed but i really donr think thats the case .....he was travelling beautifully at 2 miles previously and looks perfectly weighted to take a huge part in this if he stands his ground ........currently hes being offered at 55.0!!!on betfair (generally 20/1 shot ) and at that price its worth taking the risk he runs because if he does that price would be spectacular !!!!

sternrubin   5pts win 14/1 lads

charmix   5 pts win 55.0 betfair 

ran the race back through at current weights .....charmix is a non runner but sternrubin is looking a likely starter now .....current ratings show 

sterrubin     99.36

john constable    99.33

war sound    99.27

 

so its looking very likely that the outcome of this race could hinge on the race that sternrubin last ran ....he beat john constable by 4 lengths but that one has a huge weight pull this time and has to have a good chance of reversing form .....couple that with last 10 winners having finished top 2 recently and the fact that they have a distinct class advantage in grd 3 and they look very good bets ......18.0 available on john constable on betfair .....thats a fab price ......ill go extra 5 pts on sterrubin at 12/1   and 10 ts  on john constable for a big payout at 18.0

sterrubin 5 pts win 12/1 generally  (already backed 5 pts at 14/1)

10 pts win john constable 18.0 betfair