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Monthly Naps Comp, ''Monday'' 1st Feb 2016


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New month, new competition, good luck everyone !

Kemp 3.25 - Maverik - EW at 20/1 bog wm hill

Mile handicap, class 5

Going for one of the outsiders here who hasn't won for a while but has been falling down the handicap. I've got a hunch he might put in a better performance today. He was fairly well beaten last time out finishing last of 10 but let's list some positives -

last time was his first run after a break and over a trip too short at a track he's not won at. Returns to his proper trip today and is a dual CD winner

drops into class 5 for the first time since Sept 2011 having come down another 3lbs to 75 which gets him in this 0-75

gets all the gear.......first time blinkers, first time tongue strap

was beaten 10 lengths last time but the runs immediately prior to his last 3 wins he was beaten 15, 9 and 39 lengths so he's quite capable of bouncing back from a poor run

Think the short price favourite here is poor value despite a good win last time.......that was a shocking race and even at class 5 this is much better

 

Main problem........dead 8 runners. I'll have to think about scrapping this selection if there's a non runner and I couldn't put money down without knowing if I had 3 places........:hope

 

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5.00 Kempton

Sonnythenavigator was well backed when winning a seller at Lingfield in really good style, it was a very eye catching run given he wasnt favoured by the weights that day. The penny really seems to have dropped now when winning last time out over this CD on first try over this trip. He did that in really good style given his poor start and a 6lb penalty is likely to have little effect. Remains unexposed and on an upward curve, probably last chance to race in a class 6 race.

 

1pt win Sonnythenavigator 11/8 betfred

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210 Plumpton: Like Sully 7/2 Boylesports

A bit of money for this one this morning which gives me a bit more confidence. Only had 2 starts over fences and not really troubled the judges as yet. Had a sighter at Sandown and then ran quite well at Towcester but didn't get home up that hill. Drops back in trip and on a  track he won at as a hurdler (heavy going). On a really nice handicap mark now so should start to show improved form pretty soon.

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Just now, BillyHills said:

210 Plumpton: Like Sully 7/2 Boylesports

A bit of money for this one this morning which gives me a bit more confidence. Only had 2 starts over fences and not really troubled the judges as yet. Had a sighter at Sandown and then ran quite well at Towcester but didn't get home up that hill. Drops back in trip and on a  track he won at as a hurdler (heavy going). On a really nice handicap mark now so should start to show improved form pretty soon.

7/2 went a minute before i posted, i'll take 3/1 with Betfred/PP:ok

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12 hours ago, Trotter said:

Kemp 3.25 - Maverik - EW at 20/1 bog wm hill

snip.......

Main problem........dead 8 runners. I'll have to think about scrapping this selection if there's a non runner and I couldn't put money down without knowing if I had 3 places........:hope

 

Oh damn.........how annoying !

Not only is there a NR but it's the poor value short priced favourite that was making the market for everything else

So I'm scrapping that one (watch Maverik sluice up now !)

I'll go with this one instead..........though the price has come in since i posted it last night in the AW Racing thread

 

4.30 Kemp - Brazen Spirit - win at 15/2 bog PP

7 runners for the 6f sprint handicap

I don't think there's anything here which looks well handicapped on current form, nothing looks particularly unexposed or an improving type

I've put a line through 4 of them because this doesn't appear to be their ideal trip........Doctor Parkes better over 5F, Bouclier, Cool Strutter and Saint Pois (Saint Peas ?) maybe better over further. If there are horses that I think the Official Assessor has about right then really I want them to at least have ideal conditions as to track, trip, going

Yeeoow would appear to have a chance......back to last winning mark and won a claimer last time. Has won over this CD a couple of times. He'd been pretty well beaten in his 3 runs in handicaps before dropping into claiming company and winning and I'm worried that retruning to handicaps will find him out again

Head space is on his last winning mark and is also a CD winner. He's finished 2nd the last twice but has crept up 4lbs for not winning. Also up in class as his two decent runs have been in class 5 races

Which leaves my selection........also on his last winning mark and a CD winner. Having his second run back from a break and ran over 7F last time, he was close up until fading in the final furlong. Return to 6F should suit, hopefully improve a bit for the run and gets the first time visor. Drawn wide but there doesn't appear to be much pace so i think he'll get across and sit behind the leaders

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Looking forward to getting stuck into this competition. 

Gonna start with a nice easy one, hopefully to get an intial win under the belt. At some point I'll be chucking in an acca or two to destroy the competition (or my points balance!). 

13:35 - Plumpton - Generous Jack -  2.75 with Boyle at the moment. Good luck all!

Edited by pJarmas
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1 hour ago, pJarmas said:

Looking forward to getting stuck into this competition. 

Gonna start with a nice easy one, hopefully to get an intial win under the belt. At some point I'll be chucking in an acca or two to destroy the competition (or my points balance!). 

13:35 - Plumpton - Generous Jack -  2.75 with Boyle at the moment. Good luck all!

Welcome to the site and welcome to the Monthly Competition 

I'll stick a wee link below of the guidelines and Rules,  the Quick version is.................... 1 Bet per day, 1 point win bet, or 0.5 E/w :ok

Please feel free to join in with the other threads the site has and the Very best of luck to you.

https://forum.punterslounge.com/topic/146075-new-racing-competition-~-rules-information/

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20 hours ago, chris34 said:

5.00 Kempton

Sonnythenavigator was well backed when winning a seller at Lingfield in really good style, it was a very eye catching run given he wasnt favoured by the weights that day. The penny really seems to have dropped now when winning last time out over this CD on first try over this trip. He did that in really good style given his poor start and a 6lb penalty is likely to have little effect. Remains unexposed and on an upward curve, probably last chance to race in a class 6 race.

 

 

1pt win Sonnythenavigator 11/8 betfred

Cracking write up Chris, as Per :ok

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