Cold Trainer Lays

[ExcitableBoy]

I checked my long-list yesterday (under 9.0) and had 18 losers from 20 for 9 pts profit but I'm not really comfortable with the higher odds - two more winners would have put me in debt. Does anyone have a view on this they'd like to share?

Todays selections:

Time	Track	Horse	BF11
12:55:00	Fairyhouse	Rock On Fruity (IRE)	2.6
13:25:00	Fairyhouse	Tomcoole Lad (IRE)	3.2
13:35:00	Warwick	Pure Poteen (IRE)	4.8
14:30:00	Fairyhouse	Crown Of Gold (IRE)	3.6
14:40:00	Warwick	Ballyalton (IRE)	2.68
15:10:00	Warwick	Net Work Rouge (FR)	3.8
16:05:00	Fairyhouse	Misdflight (IRE)	3.3
16:40:00	Kempton	Duchess Of Marmite (IRE)	4.6
17:10:00	Kempton	Qamarain (USA)	1.99
18:40:00	Kempton	Mansfield	2.38
20:10:00	Kempton	Grand Facile	5.3

[devilonline]

i think your system is very good

[ExcitableBoy]

i think your system is very good

LOL, It was at 2.31, and then it went to pieces:

Time	Track	Horse	BFSP	Result	P/L
12:55:00	Fairyhouse	Rock On Fruity (IRE)	3.39	L	0.95
13:25:00	Fairyhouse	Tomcoole Lad (IRE)	4.07	L	0.95
13:35:00	Warwick	Pure Poteen (IRE)	4.7	L	0.95
14:30:00	Fairyhouse	Crown Of Gold (IRE)	5.18	L	Outside Range
14:40:00	Warwick	Ballyalton (IRE)	3.75	L	0.95
15:10:00	Warwick	Net Work Rouge (FR)	3.67	W	-2.67
16:05:00	Fairyhouse	Misdflight (IRE)	2.6	W	-1.6
16:40:00	Kempton	Duchess Of Marmite (IRE)	3.49	W	-2.49
17:10:00	Kempton	Qamarain (USA)	N/R
18:40:00	Kempton	Mansfield	2.54	L	0.95
20:10:00	Kempton	Grand Facile	5.3	L	Outside Range
			Loss on Day:		-2.01
				Bank	107.64

[ExcitableBoy]

Change of tack today. I am appending my long list below. Lay horses which have a BFSP above the 11am price shown but under 9.2. This has worked ridiculously well the last few days (29 winning lays from 30), but I don't know whether this is significant or just a blip.

My standard selections are shown in bold.No bet over 5.0 as usual.

EB

 

Time	Track	Horse	BF11AM
13:05:00	Thurles	He Is Top Class (IRE)	8.20
13:10:00	Market Rasen	Stormin Tom (IRE)	5.70
13:30:00	Musselburgh	My Betty (IRE)	6.80
13:35:00	Thurles	Vic Approach (IRE)	5.00
13:35:00	Thurles	One Fine Morning	5.50
13:35:00	Thurles	Springbelle (IRE)	8.80
14:05:00	Musselburgh	Sacred Square (GER)	5.80
14:10:00	Thurles	Blazing West (IRE)	2.44
14:10:00	Thurles	Hello Sweetie	2.96
14:10:00	Thurles	Cherry West (IRE)	8.00
14:15:00	Market Rasen	Master Neo (FR)	3.55
14:15:00	Market Rasen	Midnight Cataria	6.20
14:25:00	Towcester	Great Choice (IRE)	4.20
14:35:00	Musselburgh	Swing Hard (IRE)	4.30
14:40:00	Thurles	Perfect Woman (IRE)	2.50
14:40:00	Thurles	Boherna Lady (IRE)	8.00
14:55:00	Towcester	Midnight Silver	6.20
15:05:00	Musselburgh	Andhaar	4.60
15:05:00	Musselburgh	Craigdancer (IRE)	5.60
15:05:00	Musselburgh	Solway Prince	6.00
15:20:00	Market Rasen	Larkhall	3.65
15:20:00	Market Rasen	Molko Jack (FR)	6.00
15:30:00	Towcester	Xenophon	6.00
15:30:00	Towcester	Combustible Kate (IRE)	6.20
15:40:00	Musselburgh	Alta Rock (IRE)	6.20
15:45:00	Thurles	Omega Springs (IRE)	6.60
15:55:00	Market Rasen	Template (IRE)	4.40
15:55:00	Market Rasen	Pinotage	5.30
15:55:00	Market Rasen	Samoset	8.60
16:05:00	Towcester	Anne Of Brittany (FR)	7.00
16:35:00	Chelmsford City	Wilsons Ruby (IRE)	2.96
18:50:00	Chelmsford City	Head Space (IRE)	5.60
18:50:00	Chelmsford City	Greyfriarschorista	6.20
19:20:00	Chelmsford City	Seven Clans (IRE)	6.80

[ExcitableBoy]

Another disappointing day for the shorties:

Time	Track	Horse	BF11AM	BFSP	RESULT	P/L
14:10:00	Thurles	Blazing West (IRE)	2.44	1.94	W	-0.94
14:15:00	Market Rasen	Master Neo (FR)	3.55	3.45	L	0.95
14:25:00	Towcester	Great Choice (IRE)	4.20	3.80	L	0.95
14:35:00	Musselburgh	Swing Hard (IRE)	4.30	4.10	L	0.95
14:40:00	Thurles	Perfect Woman (IRE)	2.50	2.10	W	-1.1
15:05:00	Musselburgh	Andhaar	4.60	7.15	L	Outside Range
15:20:00	Market Rasen	Larkhall	3.65	3.65	L	0.95
15:55:00	Market Rasen	Template (IRE)	4.40	11.50	W	Outside Range
16:35:00	Chelmsford City	Wilsons Ruby (IRE)	2.96	3.70	W	-2.70
				Loss on Day:		-0.94

[ExcitableBoy]

Hopefully someone managed to follow the instructions for the long list. If you did this is what you should have got:

Time	Track	Horse	BF11AM	BFSP	Change	RESULT	P/L
13:05:00	Thurles	He Is Top Class (IRE)	8.20	12.30	4.10	W	No Bet(Odds)
13:10:00	Market Rasen	Stormin Tom (IRE)	5.70	5.50	-0.20	L	No Bet (Steamer)
13:30:00	Musselburgh	My Betty (IRE)	6.80	15.70	8.90	L	No Bet(Odds)
13:35:00	Thurles	Vic Approach (IRE)	5.00	N/R			N/R
13:35:00	Thurles	One Fine Morning	5.50	6.00	0.50	L	0.95
13:35:00	Thurles	Springbelle (IRE)	8.80	7.73	-1.07	L	No Bet (Steamer)
14:05:00	Musselburgh	Sacred Square (GER)	5.80	13.50	7.70	L	No Bet(Odds)
14:10:00	Thurles	Blazing West (IRE)	2.44	1.94	-0.50	W	No Bet (Steamer)
14:10:00	Thurles	Hello Sweetie	2.96	3.05	0.09	L	0.95
14:10:00	Thurles	Cherry West (IRE)	8.00	12.70	4.70	L	No Bet(Odds)
14:15:00	Market Rasen	Master Neo (FR)	3.55	3.45	-0.10	L	No Bet (Steamer)
14:15:00	Market Rasen	Midnight Cataria	6.20	7.00	0.80	L	0.95
14:25:00	Towcester	Great Choice (IRE)	4.20	3.80	-0.40	L	No Bet (Steamer)
14:35:00	Musselburgh	Swing Hard (IRE)	4.30	4.10	-0.20	L	No Bet (Steamer)
14:40:00	Thurles	Perfect Woman (IRE)	2.50	2.10	-0.40	W	No Bet (Steamer)
14:40:00	Thurles	Boherna Lady (IRE)	8.00	8.92	0.92	L	0.95
14:55:00	Towcester	Midnight Silver	6.20	7.39	1.19	L	0.95
15:05:00	Musselburgh	Andhaar	4.60	7.15	2.55	L	0.95
15:05:00	Musselburgh	Craigdancer (IRE)	5.60	6.61	1.01	L	0.95
15:05:00	Musselburgh	Solway Prince	6.00	4.90	-1.10	L	No Bet (Steamer)
15:20:00	Market Rasen	Larkhall	3.65	3.65	0.00	L	0.95
15:20:00	Market Rasen	Molko Jack (FR)	6.00	3.45	-2.55	L	No Bet (Steamer)
15:30:00	Towcester	Xenophon	6.00	6.91	0.91	L	0.95
15:30:00	Towcester	Combustible Kate (IRE)	6.20	7.60	1.40	L	0.95
15:40:00	Musselburgh	Alta Rock (IRE)	6.20	6.60	0.40	L	0.95
15:45:00	Thurles	Omega Springs (IRE)	6.60	6.20	-0.40	L	No Bet (Steamer)
15:55:00	Market Rasen	Template (IRE)	4.40	11.50	7.10	W	No Bet(Odds)
15:55:00	Market Rasen	Pinotage	5.30	5.47	0.17	L	0.95
15:55:00	Market Rasen	Samoset	8.60	7.10	-1.50	L	No Bet (Steamer)
16:05:00	Towcester	Anne Of Brittany (FR)	7.00	11.00	4.00	L	No Bet(Odds)
16:35:00	Chelmsford City	Wilsons Ruby (IRE)	2.96	3.70	0.74	W	-2.70
18:50:00	Chelmsford City	Head Space (IRE)	5.60	4.51	-1.09	L	No Bet (Steamer)
18:50:00	Chelmsford City	Greyfriarschorista	6.20	7.40	1.20	L	0.95
19:20:00	Chelmsford City	Seven Clans (IRE)	6.80	6.68	-0.12	L	No Bet (Steamer)
				Profit on Day			9.65