skm2 Posted March 6, 2012 Share Posted March 6, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 275 bets; +14.0% yield Thanks. Have you considered DNB doubles? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 7, 2012 Author Share Posted March 7, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 275 bets; +14.0% yield Nothing for mid-week (Serie A)..... and it's looking a bit thin on the ground for the weekend - only two at the moment :\ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 7, 2012 Author Share Posted March 7, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 275 bets; +14.0% yield skm2;2124890 [FONT=comic sans ms]To be honest, I haven't..... and there is no way to back-test DNBs, unless you know where I can get hold of some historical odds data [/FONT] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snye_sz Posted March 7, 2012 Share Posted March 7, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 267 bets; +14.9% yield [QUOTE=Grex;2120343][FONT=comic sans ms]Too late..... the normal "cut-off" is at least 24 hours before KO :\ A rare occasion when Serie let us down.... so a losing weekend...... [/FONT][/QUOTE] Hi,Grex. I'm following you with interesting for a long time. Thank you for your good work on this and the Overs'. Recently, i got some ideas about building systems with the history results and odds, just like this thread. i am using Bet365 too. but this is one question making me confused. as we known, the data from football-data.co.uk is static, but the real odds on going always change. sometimes changes too much and makes it out of scenario,for example in your system, just like the home's win drop from 1.50 to 1.43, or something like incresing from 1.75 to 1.82. Do you have any idea for solving this problem? or do you know when do the football-data.co.uk to get the odds? could it be the first odds to release? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 7, 2012 Author Share Posted March 7, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 275 bets; +14.0% yield [FONT=comic sans ms]Football-data publishes the weekend's odds at about 17:00 (UK time) on Friday. So I assume it reflects the odds sometime on Friday afternoon. If you develop a system based on football-data historical odds, then you have to base your predictions on Friday afternoon's odds. :ok[/FONT] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snye_sz Posted March 7, 2012 Share Posted March 7, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 275 bets; +14.0% yield And what about mid-week's match? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snye_sz Posted March 7, 2012 Share Posted March 7, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 275 bets; +14.0% yield i think i find the answer finally, as it said in football-data.co.uk: Please note that the odds are collected for the downloadable weekend fixtures on Fridays afternoons not later than 17:00 Britsh Standard Time. Odds for midweek fixtures are collected Tuesdays not later than 15:00 British Standard Time. thanks to the good work! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 8, 2012 Author Share Posted March 8, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 275 bets; +14.0% yield I think BST stands for British Summer Time..... i.e. between 03 August and 04 August :lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 8, 2012 Author Share Posted March 8, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 275 bets; +14.0% yield Serie A has sneaked one in for Friday evening.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poolie Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 275 bets; +14.0% yield Napoli two up within first twenty minutes. Good start! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
panos1 Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 275 bets; +14.0% yield Grex , do you use Macros in your excel spreadsheets?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 10, 2012 Author Share Posted March 10, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 275 bets; +14.0% yield panos1;2126767 Simple answer... no ;) [FONT=comic sans ms] Friday's result, with one for Sunday.....[/FONT] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorro Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 276 bets; +14.1% yield I really manage to only bet on the losing picks ;) Lazio-Bologna 1-3 as we speak, Lazio 2 red cards ... so seems quite hopeless Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Banner Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 276 bets; +14.1% yield Grex how about involving more leagues? Yes the yield maybe less but a profits a profit? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 12, 2012 Author Share Posted March 12, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 276 bets; +14.1% yield Banner;2128154 When I first did the back-testing, EP and IA were the only ones that stood out.... so, I will stick to them. Anyway, in my opinion, yield is more important than the number of bets :ok 9-man Lazio let us down at the weekend. The system selects the Liverpool derby for Tuesday. I hate betting on derbies, but a "no derbies" criteria was not built into the system, so we have to go for it :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 14, 2012 Author Share Posted March 14, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 277 bets; +13.7% yield OK..... I love derbies ;) Looks as though there could be 4 or 5 for the weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 15, 2012 Author Share Posted March 15, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 278 bets; +14.0% yield Posting a bit early...... five for the long weekend..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 19, 2012 Author Share Posted March 19, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 278 bets; +14.0% yield Our old favourites, Roma, bring us back to just about break-even for the weekend..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 23, 2012 Author Share Posted March 23, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 283 bets; +13.7% yield Five selections for the weekend :hope. By the way, I notice the "Serie A Silly Season" has started a bit early this year. There are a couple of suspiciously low draw odds, e.g. Chievo-Sienna @ 2.40 :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ronnieseah Posted March 24, 2012 Share Posted March 24, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 283 bets; +13.7% yield oh no, going against luckystar ROMA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! :hope:eyes:spank:notworthy:moon:gimme:beer:drums:cigar:rollin:D:p:notworthy:\:zzz:poker:bignana:cow [QUOTE=Grex;2134659]Five selections for the weekend :hope. By the way, I notice the "Serie A Silly Season" has started a bit early this year. There are a couple of suspiciously low draw odds, e.g. Chievo-Sienna @ 2.40 :loon [/QUOTE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Banner Posted March 24, 2012 Share Posted March 24, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 283 bets; +13.7% yield These games look like they will be tight this week! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Banner Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 283 bets; +13.7% yield Banner;2135175 Well 3 out of 4 so far Grex and Serie A has had alot of draws which is strange! And the losing bet was Napoli who were 2-0 up! But good weekend so far lets hope Juve can make it better! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thmkrr Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 283 bets; +13.7% yield [QUOTE=Grex;2134659]Five selections for the weekend :hope. By the way, I notice the "Serie A Silly Season" has started a bit early this year. There are a couple of suspiciously low draw odds, e.g. Chievo-Sienna @ 2.40 :loon [/QUOTE] I cant seem to open the image or even see the image with what i think are the selections?? Anyone able to help me out here? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted March 30, 2012 Author Share Posted March 30, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 283 bets; +13.7% yield [FONT=comic sans ms]Hope you sorted it out, thmkrr. A lot for the weekend.... most from Serie A [/FONT]:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Banner Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 288 bets; +14.1% yield Goodluck with your games today and tomorrow Grex! Just wondering what system do you use to pick you games? Thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorro Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 288 bets; +14.1% yield I suggest you just read the topic. It has been explained a million times before ;) (it's not that you have to read the full 26 pages to know it) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted April 4, 2012 Author Share Posted April 4, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 288 bets; +14.1% yield [FONT=comic sans ms]Apologies for the delayed update from last weekend. Followers of this system will know that it ends when we reach the last 6 rounds of matches. So the Easter weekend will see the end of EP selections (I think there will only be one), and Serie A will finish the following weekend.[/FONT] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted April 7, 2012 Author Share Posted April 7, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 293 bets; +14.0% yield Two for today.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
immortal-- Posted April 7, 2012 Share Posted April 7, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 293 bets; +14.0% yield Right now... Udinese - Parma 2.00 3.30 3.75 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted April 7, 2012 Author Share Posted April 7, 2012 Re: Grex's HOMES; 293 bets; +14.0% yield [FONT=comic sans ms]Should have waited 'til the last minute to get better odds ;) The last EPL selection of the season came good (just). Next week will see the last IA selections, before we close down for the season. [/FONT] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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