Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe ''2015''

[Jimmy2shoes]

Give us the facts & Stats ...................Who Wins ?

 

[richard-westwood]

yeah ....be good to take this race apart and find a decent bet .....here are some interesting stats .....

only 2 winners out of last 12 were drawn higher than nine (treve being one of those) ...... (so 80% of winners are drawn 9 or lower )  ...... good starting point 

 

15 of last 27 arc winners were actually drawn 2  4   6  or  7 ....thats 55% !!.....suggesting very strongly theres a draw bias in the arc ....

 

14 of last 28  arcs won by lightly raced .up and coming french horse  ... .younger horses dominate as they are better weighted under the rules ..   

 

food for thought ...... ill run the race through the computer when I get chance and see if theres anything in the low draws lurking 

 

but would be  interesting to hear peoples thoughts on race 

 

dont know draw yet but obviuosly treve is on everyone lips ..... initial speed ratings and stats suggest ...new bay is the one possibly ....arc is normally won by horse speed rated around 102 ... .and new bay achieved that on the bit last time out and recieves all 3 yr old allowances in big race  .. if allocated draw 2 4 6 7 ...?      ....id say serious danger to treve ....

Edited September 28, 2015 by richard-westwood