Total goals think tank

[Rob]

With the football season coming to an end I thought I'd open up a discussion thread. Not sure this is in the right place but it seems as good a place as any. Now this thread might die on it's arse for a number of reasons: 1) People might not have any views on the subject, but I know Christianu follows this market so I want at least one reply! 2) People might feel that they lose thier competative edge by giving away 'secrets' on a public forum. 3) People may prefer a statistical approach to systems which may not lend itself to this kind of discussion. but what I'm after is peoples opinions on what factors affect the number of goals in a football match. I'll kick things off with what I call a 'Desperation Fixture'. Towards the end of the season you get games between 2 sides at the bottom of the league which are absolutely must win games for both sides. This may not mean that the teams play any better or worse, but if one team goes behind then the other will switch to a very attacking style as they now need to score 2. This seems to be more apparent in the premier league where the concequences of relegation are massive. I perfect example of this was the 4-3 between Norwich and Southampton last weekend. It also helps if both defences are crap (S'ton and Norwich again). discuss

[kiko1983]

Re: Total goals think tank One i have found is similar to yours but i find it more in general no matter of the teams position. i find that when the away team score the first goal and very early on. This then leads to the home fans getting on home teams back and forcing them into all out attack which then leads to holes for the away team to exploit and hit on the counter attack! Not sure if this is the kind of idea you mean? There are many others, i will have a think about it.