True Thailand Classic > February 12th - 15th

[Aidymac]

:ok

[SyndicatedVice]

Re: True Thailand Classic > February 12th - 15th Event Wrap: A tough tournament and one we are taking fairly lightly due to it being an inaugural event on the European Tour. In saying that we feel there is an opportunity to pick a few ‘diamonds in the rough’, given this course has been played on the Asian tour, and as we learnt last week, the greens suit the Asian players greatly. It is worth mentioning that this tournament heavily favours players who have played the course and there are a number of guys who are sponsored or live on the course itself, giving these guys a huge advantage over the field. The course was also rated by the players as the best in Asia last year. Key indicators for an event with no readily stats available will be Greens in Regulation and Putting, with a reliance on previous course form given the past winners. Top Picks: Thongchai Jaidee ($16.5) The obvious pick in a tournament with a weaker field and on home turf. Jaidee is also sponsored by the course and has performed well at the event on the Asian tour, with a 5^th and a 7^th. Greens in regulation will be important this week and Jaidee hits 70.8% but more importantly is 18^th for putts per GIR and 29^th for putts per round, which puts him top 5 for this tournament’s field. Alexander Noren ($14) Can choose to leave out until his odds drift – Probably under odds at $14. Will be interesting to see how he goes after a week off but had great form prior to that. Noren has played the course before with an 8^th in 2010 and displayed great form on the Asian tour before jumping ship the European Tour. Having a super year ranking 12^th for GIR at 77.8%, 23^rd for putts per GIR and 26^th for putts per round. Best E/W: Scott Hend ($32) I have been watching this guy all year ever since I first saw his European Tour stats, he has a monster drive and his Asian Tour stats are excellent, ranking 18^th for GIR, 2^nd for distance and 35^th for putting. Has been on the rise and also has solid course form in the previous events played here. Definite top 5 chance. Alejandro Canizares ($34) Cracking form last week, with a faultless display until the final day. Seemed to adjust to the greens well and is ranked 4^th for putts per GIR and 8^th for putts per round. Will need to hit as many greens as he did last week in Malaysia but should be a top hope for a tournament like this. Speculative Basket: (Top 10 / 20 bets) Paul Waring ($60) Challenged well last week after draining a hole in one early in the tournament, and finished an admirable 3^rd at 13 under. This shows he adjusted well to the greens ranking 15^th for putting and top 15 for all other stats. His year to date stats all show he is on the improve and one to watch out for this week. Paul Peterson ($80) A new one to us, but we noticed this guy last week when he started to tear the course a new one late in the tournament, ending up finishing 5^th. He is unbelievably accurate off the tee (83.9%), hits 72% of GIR, and ranks 11^th and 9^th for putting stats. Further helping are his Asian stats where he is also top 50 in all key indicators and 29^th for putting. Nathan Holman ($120) Crazy putting stats last week ranking 1^st for putts per GIR with 1.581 and 3^rd for putts for round with 26.5. Was down on accuracy and GIR but Asian tour stats rank him top 40 for both indicators. Also drives the ball over 300 yards so seems an obvious pick for a roughie. Rikard Karlberg ($60) Sponsored by the course and plays it regularly. All his stats indicate that he is a good chance here besides his putting which has been letting him down. Asian tour form explains he likes the greens over here more, dropping a putt per round and ranking top 10 for GIR. Also has solid results in the events he has played on course, coming 2^nd last year. Prom Meesawat ($50) Has insane putting stats and seems to adapt well to Euro / Asian greens well. Has solid course form and will no doubt be inside the top 20 for the tournament. Prayad Marksaeng ($65) Basically picked for being a course specialist. He came 2^nd here in 2009 with 15 under, 8^th in 2010 with 11 under (3 off the lead), 1^st in the Kings Cup of Golf last year with 12 under and 18^th with 7 under in the Thailand Golf Championship in a strong field. Un-back able: (Monitor Market) Anirban Lahiri ($21) Ridiculous odds for someone going back to back, has very solid course form and probably the best stats screen of anyone in the field. He could come out and shoot 10 under again like last week but I feel he is un-back able at those low odds. Will monitor market and look at backing him to win in Delhi next week. Kiradech Aphibarnrat ($32) A regular tour leader on the Asian tour and a solid second round last week not helped by a blowout day one. Shouldn’t be those odds even given his status after that first round last week, so will sit on him for now.

[kevshat]

Re: True Thailand Classic > February 12th - 15th Tournament preview: 1pt ew S.Hend to win True Thailand Classic 30/1 Betfred (1/4 1-5) I think Thongchai Jaidee has a great chance this week but at double the price Scott Hend is my pick once again. He has a third and a seventh placed finish around this golf course but is probably playing a lot better now than he was back then. He hits the ball a long way which should help him here and his record in Asia but Thailand in particular is very strong so I’m expecting another big week from the Australian who landed a place for me at the Thailand Golf Championship in a much stronger field at the end of last year. Hopefully he can go a few places better here. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/true-thailand-classic-betting-scott-hend-can-overpower-the-field-in-thailand

[kevshat]

Re: True Thailand Classic > February 12th - 15th Top player previews: 1pt ew P.Marksaeng Top Thai 8/1 Ladbrokes (1/5 1-4) One man with a very good record around here is Prayad Marksaeng. He may be getting no younger but that shouldn’t put us off at a nice price. Marksaeng has won around here when the course last held a tournament and he was second to Johan Edfors on another occasion with a top 10 in the other tournament he’s played here so there is something about this track which clearly appeals to the veteran and at 8/1 he could be the value to oppose Jaidee with. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/true-thailand-classic-betting-prayad-marksaeng-could-be-the-best-of-the-home-hopefuls 2pts ew R.Karlberg Top Scandinavian 7/1 BetVictor (1/5 1-3) Rikard Karlberg is another who uses this as his home course and having won twice in Asia he knows how to get it done. Life is good for the Swede at the minute and he gets married the week after this event so he’ll have plenty of friends and future family in the galleries watching him. He was in the top 15 in the Nordea Masters last year and belts it a good way off the tee so with that and the knowledge he has of the course he’s the Scandinavian to beat this week. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/true-thailand-classic-betting-course-knowledge-can-serve-rikard-karlberg-well

[Crouch Potato]

Re: True Thailand Classic > February 12th - 15th Rikard Karlberg @ 61 Bet365 is my main pick for the week. Kev pretty much summed it up, it is his home course and with so many close people around him ahead of his wedding I think we'll see him put his local knowledge to good use and contend. The other pick for me is Michaey Hoey @ 141 Bet365. For a man who has saluted 4 times in the last 6 years in a field without any of the Tour's big names this price is too big. Granted, his form is not spectacular, but if you delve into his form prior to his career wins you'll see a bunch of events where he's made the cut without ever coming close to challenging. That is also how his current form reads so for me this is purely a value play on a man who needs not good form to produce a win.

[Tedthewolf]

Re: True Thailand Classic > February 12th - 15th A few coppers e/w on Tom Lewis for me a long shot as the 175/1 odds at Corals would suggest has played on all four days last two comp's and i just feel he can go really well in one or two of these euro tours this year and he should be at a stage now in his career where he should be in with chances on the last day on some of these tounaments. Good Luck All

[Aidymac]

Re: True Thailand Classic > February 12th - 15th

Rikard Karlberg @ 61 Bet365 is my main pick for the week. Kev pretty much summed it up, it is his home course and with so many close people around him ahead of his wedding I think we'll see him put his local knowledge to good use and contend. The other pick for me is Michaey Hoey @ 141 Bet365. For a man who has saluted 4 times in the last 6 years in a field without any of the Tour's big names this price is too big. Granted, his form is not spectacular, but if you delve into his form prior to his career wins you'll see a bunch of events where he's made the cut without ever coming close to challenging. That is also how his current form reads so for me this is purely a value play on a man who needs not good form to produce a win.

Great start from Hoey mate, another good round tomorrow and you'll be getting the cold sweats. :lol

[jackierubberleg]

Re: True Thailand Classic > February 12th - 15th I'll second that Crouchy. Must have been a good price to be first round leader. More of the same. GL

[Tedthewolf]

Re: True Thailand Classic > February 12th - 15th .... he was 100/1 to be first round leader.

[Aidymac]

Re: True Thailand Classic > February 12th - 15th

A few coppers e/w on Tom Lewis for me a long shot as the 175/1 odds at Corals would suggest has played on all four days last two comp's and i just feel he can go really well in one or two of these euro tours this year and he should be at a stage now in his career where he should be in with chances on the last day on some of these tounaments. Good Luck All

Lewis is bang in contention. Good luck Ted. :ok

[jackierubberleg]

Re: True Thailand Classic > February 12th - 15th

Tournament preview: 1pt ew S.Hend to win True Thailand Classic 30/1 Betfred (1/4 1-5) I think Thongchai Jaidee has a great chance this week but at double the price Scott Hend is my pick once again. He has a third and a seventh placed finish around this golf course but is probably playing a lot better now than he was back then. He hits the ball a long way which should help him here and his record in Asia but Thailand in particular is very strong so I’m expecting another big week from the Australian who landed a place for me at the Thailand Golf Championship in a much stronger field at the end of last year. Hopefully he can go a few places better here. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/true-thailand-classic-betting-scott-hend-can-overpower-the-field-in-thailand

Commiserations Kev. Massively frustrating to watch when you know the guy should have won the tournament. However 7.5 for the place is welcome

[Tedthewolf]

Re: True Thailand Classic > February 12th - 15th Unlucky Kev nice place though.

[Crouch Potato]

Re: True Thailand Classic > February 12th - 15th Tough luck Kev. That bunker shot on 17 was awful and the follow up as well. I'm sure you'll be back in the winner's circle soon enough.

[kevshat]

Re: True Thailand Classic > February 12th - 15th Cheers guys. That one was seriously annoying. 3 times in the last 12 holes Hend had chip shots for his second into par 4s and he could reach the last 2 par 5s in two and played the 5 holes in +2 :wall. Even level for that stretch would have won the tournament :eyes.