Farmers Insurance Open > February 5th - 8th

[Aidymac]

:ok

[Tedthewolf]

Re: Farmers Insurance Open > February 5th - 8th Fowler is the one i want to be on here can be got at 28/1 5 places or 22/1 6 places which is decent odds IMO. He is too good a player not to win a lot more tournaments and i do think he is overpriced again here.

[Aidymac]

Re: Farmers Insurance Open > February 5th - 8th Gary Woodland - 5 Points each-way @ 40/1 Paddy Power - 6 Places I quite like the chances of Woodland this week. Even though he was a no show in the Phoenix Open last weekend, prior to that he looked a man at the peak of his game with some highly impressive displays. He was in a tie for second place at the CIMB Classic before Christmas and after the break he was tied 5th in the Franklin Templeton, with a three round total of -28. He then went on to Hawaii and put in another great week to finish T3. He is -39 for his last three tournaments and his length has to be an advantage this week. This is a tough course so if he can drive it long and straight this week he has a good shout. He was T10 in this last season. Brendan Steele - 4 Points each-way @ 80/1 Paddy Power - 6 Places I think Brendan is far too big a price to ignore this week. He went very close at the Humana only a couple of weeks ago, finishing T2 with a four round total of -21. He had a final round 64 that day, a sign of a player in very good heart. He backed that up with a solid display in the Phoenix Open last weekend to finish T26. He is yet to miss a cut this season which is good so hopefully he can get into contention this Sunday. He had a very poor first round in this last year, with a round of 76, but he battled back with rounds of 67, 74 and 69 to get a T28 finish. If he had a good first round it could have been much different. He is worth a go at this price. Jamie Donaldson - 3.5 Points each-way @ 80/1 Paddy Power - 6 Places Although he doesn't have much proven form around the PGA Tour circuit, I will take a chance on the Welshman this week. He did OK in Phoenix at the weekend, making the cut and finished -3 to be in the Top 50, but he was still some way off his best. He had a brilliant year last year, winning the Czech Masters which sealed his place in the Ryder Cup team, and he then went on to play the winning shot at the Ryder Cup. He played in Abu Dhabi a couple of weeks ago and finished T9, a very solid display and for all it is a risk backing him in America, I think he will want to put in a good showing to try ready himself for the Masters.

[Crouch Potato]

Re: Farmers Insurance Open > February 5th - 8th Bad luck last week Aidy. Hopefully you can land the big one soon! Dustin Johnson @ 41 BetEasy I'm sure a lot will be put off by the fact he's had a six month "break" but I'm game to take DJ this week. In terms of course set up, this event is made for bombers, with Stallings, Watney, Mickelson x2 and Woods x6 on the honour roll. Big hitting Kyle Stanley should have won too... like, really, really, really should have. Johnson wasn't off injured and by all reports his game has been in good shape and he's determined to do well. Obviously the lack of competitive golf could count against him but it didn't seem to affect Bill Haas and for mine DJ has such a big advantage on this type of course compared to what Haas had. Gary Woodland @ 44 Betfair I mentioned last week how Woodland plays well in patches and with a 2nd to close 2014 and a 3rd to open up 2015 I feel he's still in a good run despite the missed cut last week. Woodland actually held the 54 hole lead in this event last year and is also monster long off the tee, so I feel that he too will have a good advantage over the rest of the field. Woodland also does well in mixed course events (lost Humana in a play off) and given that the winner will have to score well on the North course I'm optimistic about Woodland's chances.

[Aidymac]

Re: Farmers Insurance Open > February 5th - 8th Cheers Crouchy, let's hope Woodland puts us in the winners enclosure, his performances of late have been eye-catching if you forgive last week.

[Bamford]

Re: Farmers Insurance Open > February 5th - 8th I'm following the trend and going with Woodland at 40/1. Look at his record and Gary has never delivered back-to-back Top 5s so last week was almost inevitable (one for the notebooks). However he should have won here last year and with Jordan Spieth as short as 12/1, Woodland represents some value in a very poor market this week. Interesting to note that the last 6 winners here have all played the immediate week before and only Snedeker in 2012 finished in the Top 10 the previous week.

[kevshat]

Re: Farmers Insurance Open > February 5th - 8th Tournament preview: 1pt ew J.Thomas to win Farmers Insurance Open 33/1 BetVictor (1/4 1-5) It is clear we are looking for someone who can get it out there off the tee this week and someone who can take care of the par 5s so the man I like is Justin Thomas. Thomas is in the top 20 in driving distance on the PGA Tour and sits fourth in par 5 scoring so he should be able to take care of the key holes this week. He played a lot of golf around here as a youngster so course knowledge could be vital and having finished in the top 10 a few weeks after turning pro last year he already has a performance to build on. The American has been in the mix on every start this season and he can convert that form into a title this week. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/farmers-insurance-open-betting-justin-thomas-can-pound-his-way-to-glory

[kevshat]

Re: Farmers Insurance Open > February 5th - 8th Top player previews: 1pt ew M.Leishman Top Rest of the World Player 10/1 Bet365 (1/4 1-4) One man who does have form that appeals here is Marc Leishman. He has twice been a runner up here and has another top 10 around this track to his name so he and Torrey Pines clearly go together. He shot a 62 in the Sony Open last month so he is capable of going low and taking care of the par 5s and that is a vital commodity this week. He seems in good touch and at 10/1 looks a bit of value in this market. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/farmers-insurance-open-betting-marc-leishman-looks-a-good-bet-in-the-rest-of-the-world-market 2pts P.Casey Top Englishman 11/2 Bet365 Paul Casey goes into the week in a tie for sixth in par 5 scoring on the PGA Tour and I really do think that will be something that comes into play this week. That is a pretty significant advantage he enjoys over the other five men in this field and gives us plenty of confidence in him here. Not only can he take care of the par 5s but he is aggressive enough in all areas to go low when the chance arises and at 11/2 he’s my idea of the Top Englishman this week. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/farmers-insurance-open-betting-paul-casey-looks-good-to-lead-the-english-charge

[jackierubberleg]

Re: Farmers Insurance Open > February 5th - 8th Top European; Russel Knox 11/1. EW 1,2,3 Bet Victor. Russel Knox is currently 22nd in the Fed-Ex cup race and with six cuts made from 8 starts this season his game is in relatively good shape. From the beginning of the year he has recorded two top twenty finishes from three starts on the PGA tour. Knox is not the longest hitter on tour but creeps inside the top 50 on accuracy and that is majorly beneficial on this rather short course. He put it to good effect last year, finishing three shots off the lead with a tie for tenth, and thus top European in the field. European golfers have not fared well at Torrey Pines in recent times. Knox's tenth place last year was the best European effort by far in the last four years. Based on that and his recent form I believe he has a great chance in this market. GL with your wagers.

[clubgowi]

Re: Farmers Insurance Open > February 5th - 8th There is a very interesting three ball on North today, featuring three of the biggest young talents in golf in Brooks Koepka, Hideki Matsuyama and Jordan Spieth, we discussed two of them last week at the Phoenix Open, Koepka won, Matsuyama should have won. Spieth finished like a train after a slow start. Koepka should be suited by the South course, but we are playing the North today, he is making his debut appearance at Torrey Pines, so it will be a learning curve this week and he has had to deal with the media circus following his first win on US soil and being the latest to carry the mantle of the "next big thing", so it will be tough for him today. Matsuyama as discussed last week has almost limitless potential, but it is hard to compete two weeks running, he surely feels he let a good chance slip on Sunday and he underperformed at the Sony, after going close the week before at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and might not be as fine tuned today. This is a terrific trio and all are going to have huge careers and bank a LOT of money, but Spieth looks the complete package and is likely to go to the top of the game. I am not sure that this is the best tournament for him, he implied a dislike for poa annua greens earlier in his career, but did say that was down to a lack of experience of playing on them. However, he led here after two rounds last year and went ultra low on the North course, shooting nine birdies in a 63 which no one else even came close to over the two days. He "only" bidied two of the four Par 5's so could arguably have gone even lower and it was a magical display and was NINE strokes lower than Matsuyama shot on the same day. Now we can bet Jordan Spieth @ 1.97 with Pinnacle to beat Matsuyama over the same 18 holes today, win lose or draw and we get money back with the tie (!) how can that be possible ? I will suggest 1.25 units, it would have been much higher if more freely available, my own odds would be sub 1.75, but I do not personally bet below 1.90, but that information is there, if you do not have a problem doing so. All companies price up the three ball, which, of course, includes Koepka, odds for Spieth are an OK 2.40- 2.50, so that is an alternative, but I prefer the former. There is something which has been "worrying" me for the last 24 hours and like an itch, it is probably better to just scratch it and be done with it. Keegan Bradley has gone off the boil a bit, but caught the eye with an opening round 65 in Phoenix last week. He is a very good early round player and has improved in those stats year on year #43 in scoring average before the cut in 2011, #30 in 2012, #12 in 2013 and ranked #4 on Tour for Round 1 scoring last year. Given that and his 65 just 7 days ago and with a decent enough record here and starting on the North today he could go really well. Plenty of bookmakers are quoting the first round leader on North course today link, Keegan Bradley is circa 25-1 (26.0) and we could try something small (0.5 units) an alternative is to bet him to win the tournament outright on Betfair at circa 50.0 and look to trade out if he goes low today. I don't know why exactly, but I am being drawn to Bradley today like a moth to a flame !

[Aidymac]

Re: Farmers Insurance Open > February 5th - 8th

Gary Woodland - 5 Points each-way @ 40/1 Paddy Power - 6 Places I quite like the chances of Woodland this week. Even though he was a no show in the Phoenix Open last weekend, prior to that he looked a man at the peak of his game with some highly impressive displays. He was in a tie for second place at the CIMB Classic before Christmas and after the break he was tied 5th in the Franklin Templeton, with a three round total of -28. He then went on to Hawaii and put in another great week to finish T3. He is -39 for his last three tournaments and his length has to be an advantage this week. This is a tough course so if he can drive it long and straight this week he has a good shout. He was T10 in this last season. Brendan Steele - 4 Points each-way @ 80/1 Paddy Power - 6 Places I think Brendan is far too big a price to ignore this week. He went very close at the Humana only a couple of weeks ago, finishing T2 with a four round total of -21. He had a final round 64 that day, a sign of a player in very good heart. He backed that up with a solid display in the Phoenix Open last weekend to finish T26. He is yet to miss a cut this season which is good so hopefully he can get into contention this Sunday. He had a very poor first round in this last year, with a round of 76, but he battled back with rounds of 67, 74 and 69 to get a T28 finish. If he had a good first round it could have been much different. He is worth a go at this price. Jamie Donaldson - 3.5 Points each-way @ 80/1 Paddy Power - 6 Places Although he doesn't have much proven form around the PGA Tour circuit, I will take a chance on the Welshman this week. He did OK in Phoenix at the weekend, making the cut and finished -3 to be in the Top 50, but he was still some way off his best. He had a brilliant year last year, winning the Czech Masters which sealed his place in the Ryder Cup team, and he then went on to play the winning shot at the Ryder Cup. He played in Abu Dhabi a couple of weeks ago and finished T9, a very solid display and for all it is a risk backing him in America, I think he will want to put in a good showing to try ready himself for the Masters.

Useless this week! Season Total Stake - 125 Points Season Total Returns - 120.05 Points Season Total Profit = -4.95 Points

[Tedthewolf]

Re: Farmers Insurance Open > February 5th - 8th Poor effort from Fowler but one to take out of this could be Shane Lowry who ended up T7 on his first outing of the year could be well worth following this year.

[Aidymac]

Re: Farmers Insurance Open > February 5th - 8th

Poor effort from Fowler but one to take out of this could be Shane Lowry who ended up T7 on his first outing of the year could be well worth following this year.

He loves tough courses Ted, the harder the better. He could be a decent bet at a huge price for the US Open if he participates.