36908 Posted April 15, 2005 Share Posted April 15, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) I'm only banking on a single line today ie R Federer :clap Won a triple past 2 days :dude Yeepee Kaiyeh ! :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edtkh Posted April 15, 2005 Author Share Posted April 15, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) After a less-than-impressive Thursday(thanks in no small part to Puerta's antics :@ ), here's hoping a more profitable Friday awaits... 20pts Ferrero-Coria-Nadal (2.54 @ Ladbrokes) :D Having played each other 4 times on clay, Coria leads Ferrer 3-1 on h2h having won the last 3 meetings in straight sets. Enough said, the duo are just miles apart. I have said all along Ferrero is one of the finest sights in claycourt tennis in the modern game when he's fit and he showed just why against Safin yesterday even though he's still admittedly nowhere near peak fitness(he's getting there bit by bit though). Having said that, he should have little trouble sending Volandri packing given the gulf in class between the pair, which his superior 2-0 h2h should back up. It may sound stupid suggesting backing Nadal against Gaudio considering he's lost all 3 meetings(and all on clay as well) with Gaudio to date. No doubt Gaudio has done well having won 2 claycourt tournaments so far this year, but it's imperative to note Nadal has also won two claycourt events this year in Bahia and Acapulco. I personally think Nadal has really matured a great deal over the last 6 months(started at the tail-end of Spain's victorious Davis Cup campaign last year), taking his game to a whole new level in the process. On the back of his performance against Federer in the Nasdaq-100 final, it's clear he'd be a top 5 player in the foreseeable future and it's only a matter of time before he begins reversing his inferior h2h against Gaudio. Quite simply, this is one of those events where there's no value(at least, when you view it stats-wise) in the favourite, but you just have to fancy the chap who happens to be in better form at the moment - who, no doubt, will be Nadal. :D Cheers & Good Luck! :ok Starting Bank : 100pts Current Balance : 141.25pts Profit/Loss : +41.25pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcgills Posted April 15, 2005 Share Posted April 15, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) Just a thought on the Coria v Ferrer match. Coria was very unhappy yesterday with the quality of the court, and for a while in the first set it seemed to affect his game. Today he's been put on the same court (Court des Princes). Personally I have no idea whether the court was of poor quality or not, but Coria certainly thought it was. Could that act as a kind of leveller between the two players? Ferrer +6 is available at evens, and although Ferrer has lost by more than 6 games in his last three meetings with Coria, I think this time he could get close enough to win on the handicap. Any thoughts? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
36908 Posted April 15, 2005 Share Posted April 15, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) My $'s on Coria. Leads 3-1 H2H :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edtkh Posted April 15, 2005 Author Share Posted April 15, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) Just a thought on the Coria v Ferrer match. Coria was very unhappy yesterday with the quality of the court, and for a while in the first set it seemed to affect his game. Today he's been put on the same court (Court des Princes). Personally I have no idea whether the court was of poor quality or not, but Coria certainly thought it was. Could that act as a kind of leveller between the two players? Ferrer +6 is available at evens, and although Ferrer has lost by more than 6 games in his last three meetings with Coria, I think this time he could get close enough to win on the handicap. Any thoughts? Don't let me put you off backing Ferrer +6, but putting things in perspective, I'd say don't make too much of what happened with Coria's match against Martin yesterday. I watched the match and it's true the clay was in horrendous condition(it just seems to crack up whenever Coria glides on it) and that affected Coria more than Martin simply because Coria's game is more movement-oriented than Martin's. Having said that, such problems will never mask the gulf in class IMO - and for a very good reason. Coria has been known to struggle at times because he can't hold serve - in Ferrer, however, he's up against another player who is equally horrendous, if not worse, when it comes to holding serve. Now, if you were to throw in the other factors, it's pretty obvious Coria will have the edge there. Secondly, another reason which I think you might want to consider before backing Ferrer +6 is to remember Ferrer is not an incredibly tough competitor mentally - he's well capable of falling to pieces when things are going against him. In fact, I was convinced he wouldn't have beaten Zabaleta had the latter not retired. The risk you encounter here is Ferrer might just fall apart in the 2nd set should he lose the first one and as you might have seen in the Coria-Martin match, the Ferrer +6 is very much a touch-and-go affair - personally, I just don't think Ferrer has what it takes to win with a +6 handicap. Just my view though. Cheers & Good Luck! :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcgills Posted April 15, 2005 Share Posted April 15, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) Ok, thanks for those views, edtkh. Have gone with the bet anyway, but only very small stakes for a bit of interest while I wait for this evening's football. Good luck with your treble, here's hoping for a 6-4 6-4 for Coria, or something similar :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edtkh Posted April 15, 2005 Author Share Posted April 15, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) Ok' date=' thanks for those views, edtkh. Have gone with the bet anyway, but only very small stakes for a bit of interest while I wait for this evening's football. Good luck with your treble, here's hoping for a 6-4 6-4 for Coria, or something similar :hope[/quote'] Good shout there, rcgills! Looks like your bet's won now, with Ferrer having taken the first set... :clap PS : That's a reason why I hate touching these cnuts on set betting... :rollin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saminwigton Posted April 15, 2005 Share Posted April 15, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) Yeah, Coria isn't off to a favourable start Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edtkh Posted April 15, 2005 Author Share Posted April 15, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) On a sidenote, it might be worth looking at Ferrero for the French Open. I've been saying for ages he's the finest claycourt player - yes, even better than Coria at his peak IMO - amongst those on the current tour when he's at peak fitness and he's clearly regaining the sort of form which made him great to begin with. As his first few tournaments threw up a couple of highly inconsistent results, I had my doubts on whether he'd be ready for the Roland Garros in time - however, having watched his performance all week, I think the next few weeks(basically, the Rome and Hamburg Masters events) could go a long way towards telling if he indeed will have the mettle to mount a serious challenge at the French Open. In the meantime, however, backing Ferrero on the exchanges might be worth a shot as there'd only be one way his prices could go if he does indeed maintain his current form... ;) He was still available at 10/1 at Ladbrokes a week ago... :tongue2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saminwigton Posted April 15, 2005 Share Posted April 15, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) He's just finished off Volandri 6-2 6-3 aswell. Coria playing a bit better in his 2nd set. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
staffy Posted April 15, 2005 Share Posted April 15, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) Currently 9/1 on laddies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcgills Posted April 15, 2005 Share Posted April 15, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) Well, with Ferrer now 4-5 down in the 2nd set, I make it that the bet's a winner, even if he doesn't win another game, he'd still only be 5 games down on the handicap. Hope Coria comes through now for those of you on him :ok. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saminwigton Posted April 15, 2005 Share Posted April 15, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) Well done rcgills. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saminwigton Posted April 15, 2005 Share Posted April 15, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) And Coria has taken the 2nd set:) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saminwigton Posted April 15, 2005 Share Posted April 15, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) And Coria wins. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edtkh Posted April 15, 2005 Author Share Posted April 15, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) In addition to the treble I suggested earlier, there're 2 more matches in the Family Circle Cup(on the WTA Tour) that provide outstanding value IMO. :tongue2 10pts Henin-Hardenne to beat Davenport (2.25 @ Ladbrokes) :D This is really making me laugh. While Henin-Hardenne is still making her comeback from a long-term injury, I thought her performances over the last few weeks ought to have dispelled the myth she's a has-been. Henin-Hardenne is just more athletic, technically more gifted and mentally that much stronger than Davenport and it's certainly no coincidence she has had the better of Davenport in their last 3 meetings(although she trails Davenport 5-3, Davenport hasn't beaten Henin-Hardenne since October 2002 when Henin-Hardenne began to stamp her authority on the WTA tour). This is a 50-50 match at the very worst - Justine's just available at too good a price to be given a miss IMO. ;) 10pts Vaidisova to beat Schnyder (2.25 @ Ladbrokes) :( The 15-year-old Czech wonderkid has been setting the arena alight with her performances over the last few weeks, most notably at the recently-concluded Nasdaq-100. I have little doubt she will very much be a Top 10 player in years to come so long as she continues to progress at her current rate and remain injury-free. Coming into this match on a run that has seen her beat Myskina and Asagoe, I'd certainly take something massive to be convinced she shouldn't start this as a slight favourite. This is a steal, IMO. :loon Cheers & Good Luck! :ok Starting Bank : 100pts Current Balance : 141.25pts Profit/Loss : +41.25pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saminwigton Posted April 15, 2005 Share Posted April 15, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) Anyone got an idea why there is a hold up on the Nadal game? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edtkh Posted April 15, 2005 Author Share Posted April 15, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) With Vaidisova as yet unknown, Friday has certainly brought about much better rewards with more predictable results. ;) Here's something I feel may be worth a shot before the odds plummet any further... 8pts : Ferrero to beat Coria (2.90 @ Betfair) :( 10pts : Ferrero to win Monte Carlo Masters (7.00 @ Betfair) :( Ferrero will play Coria in the semis, setting up an epic clash between two claycourt specialists in the process. You just can't help but feel the winner of this tournament will come from this semi-final considering they've both been there and done it(as opposed to Nadal and Gasquet who have little or next-to-nothing on their CV's). As demonstrated by today's match and some of his other performances earlier in the week, Coria is clearly nowhere remotely close to playing at his best and honestly, had he been up against some of the more resilient opponents(which I'm sure Ferrero will be), he'd have been sent packing long ago. Let's not use the seemingly horrendous state of the Court des Princes to justify Coria's sub-standard performances - you just can't defend the indefensible and quite clearly, I'm not convinced playing on Court Central tomorrow will help him much in terms of improving on his form which has seen him have his serve broken at least 3 times in his last 2 matches. Having said that, Ferrero will no doubt give Coria the match of the tournament and should he get a result here, who's to say that won't help set him on the road to glory at Roland Garros? Afterall, he made 4 successive semi-final appearance there prior to his injury-plagued campaign last year... Cheers & Good Luck! :ok Starting Bank : 100pts Current Balance : 184.55pts Profit/Loss : +84.55pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
36908 Posted April 16, 2005 Share Posted April 16, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) Lost all winnings so far for this tournament yesterday due to Fedex (R Federer) :cry Anyway, the semis : Am backing : R Gasquet (after he demolished the Federer Express) & JC Ferrero Both are against odds by the bookies ! :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edtkh Posted April 16, 2005 Author Share Posted April 16, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) While waitng for the snooker and football to start, thought I'd just throw in another double to kill my boredom... :lol 10pts Ferrero-Nadal (3.25 @ Ladbrokes) :( Thought there's certainly massive value in this double. In Nadal, Gasquet will be playing his first claycourt specialist of the week and much as he has done well to inflict a second defeat on Federer dating back to last year's US Open, I can't help but feel he'd be put in place by the more experienced Nadal here. Similarly, Ferrero holds a 2-1 lead over Coria on h2h, having beaten him twice on clay court in straight sets. Enough said! ;) Cheers & Good Luck! :ok Starting Bank : 100pts Current Balance : 174.55pts Profit/Loss : +74.55pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
36908 Posted April 16, 2005 Share Posted April 16, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) Lost all winnings so far for this tournament yesterday due to Fedex (R Federer) :cry Anyway, the semis : Am backing : R Gasquet (after he demolished the Federer Express) & JC Ferrero Both are against odds by the bookies ! :hope Almost everyone is banking on Nadal. But don't forget Gasquet beat the World's #1 player !!! :tongue2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
36908 Posted April 16, 2005 Share Posted April 16, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) Can't seem to figure out why the bookies are placing G Coria as favourite over JC Ferrero Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edtkh Posted April 16, 2005 Author Share Posted April 16, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) Ferrero's demise has brought about a 28pt deficit for Saturday, unfortunately. :eyes Evidently, it might still take him a few tournaments to get match fitness under his belt against the top dogs which will be so vital towards his mounting a serious bid at Roland Garros. Nevertheless, here's hoping some action from the WTA tour in the Family Circle Cup will cut that deficit somewhat. 10pts Henin-Hardenne to win 2-0 (2.00 @ Ladbrokes) 50pts Henin-Hardenne to beat Golovin (1.40 @ Ladbrokes) Let's face it : Henin-Hardenne at 1.40 to beat Golovin? These days have surely got to be numbered given the way Henin-Hardenne's comeback is coming along. The pair are just poles apart and there really isn't anything going for Golovin in this clash at all besides - the somewhat unjustified - concern surrounding Henin-Hardenne's fitness. It's worth every bit the 50pts I'm staking here, I must add. ;) Cheers & Good Luck! :ok Starting Bank : 100pts Current Balance : 146.55pts Profit/Loss : +46.55pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rasher Posted April 16, 2005 Share Posted April 16, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) Don't worry about it Ed. You have more than made up with it with your other selections. Rasher Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saminwigton Posted April 16, 2005 Share Posted April 16, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) edtkh> What do you think about the Dementieva match? I fancy a Henin-Hardenne/Dementieva double... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edtkh Posted April 16, 2005 Author Share Posted April 16, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) edtkh> What do you think about the Dementieva match? I fancy a Henin-Hardenne/Dementieva double... Dementieva should win - Schnyder has been rather lucky with her previous rounds IMO. ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saminwigton Posted April 16, 2005 Share Posted April 16, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) May go a single on it. Thanks. Henin 7-6 3-2 at the moment aswell. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edtkh Posted April 16, 2005 Author Share Posted April 16, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) May go a single on it. Thanks. Henin 7-6 3-2 at the moment aswell. I know - she was trailing 0-2 at the start of the second set before she broke back to lead 3-2. Thanks for the updates anyway. ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edtkh Posted April 16, 2005 Author Share Posted April 16, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) Henin-Hardenne has beaten Golovin 7-6(4), 7-5! :clap Good luck to those who're riding on the Dementieva-Schnyder match... ;) Starting Bank : 100pts Current Balance : 176.55pts Profit/Loss : +76.55pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
36908 Posted April 17, 2005 Share Posted April 17, 2005 Re: Tennis Masters Series : Monte Carlo (11th April - 17th April) Can't seem to figure out why the bookies are placing G Coria as favourite over JC Ferrero Yet again, Coria's the favourite against Nadal H2H, Coria leads 1-0 (same tourney !!!) :rollin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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