broughtonblue Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Hello all, been lurking for a few days and doing a lot of reading around here and the Strategies section and I have finally decided to start my own thread. I have been inspired by this http://forum.punterslounge.com/threads/146321-No-Red-Cards and I am going to attempt the same feat in going from £50 to £400 in the hope of having enough to buy me a project car to keep me busy during the summer months. (For anyone interested in cars I am looking at a MK1 Mazda MX5 to be a track toy or even a daily driver first when the weather is nice and track it after the summer ;) ) so I have pulled the stats from here as Stribs did: http://www.transfermarkt.com/en/premier-league/suenderkartei/wettbewerb_GB1.html and will be starting with this Saturdays games. I would advise you don't follow me as this is the first time I've done something like this but we all have to start somewhere eh! I will be having a points limit of 90 (to get this I did the league avg x2 roughly) between the 2 teams playing (will post total points per team in next post) Picks for this weekend: Arsenal v Liverpool (46+33=79) Crystal Palace v WBA (41+46=87) Norwich v Man City (43+45=88) Man Utd v Fulham (54+33=87) Wish me luck! I will also do paper picks for the championship and write them here, if it goes well this week then I will include them next week... but for all I know I may not get past this week :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
froment Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Hi, Broughtonblue, :welcome to the forum, hope you'll enjoy here! :ok I liked Stribs' thread, too, it was exciting! Good luck with your selections, but they look a bit unsafe to me - Stribs' cut off value was 60, and all your selections are far above that mark... :\ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broughtonblue Posted February 6, 2014 Author Share Posted February 6, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Hello Froment, though i would have to explain this, as player pick up more red and yellow cards their total increases, so here are Stribs starting totals back in January, compared to what the stand at now.... Sunderland - 51 Stoke - 55 West Ham - 49 Man Utd - 45 Aston Villa - 46 Swansea - 40 Newcastle - 43 Hull - 42 Tottenham - 42 Chelsea - 34 Evertpn - 37 Arsenal - 38 Southampton - 34 Man City - 36 West Brom - 36 Norwich - 37 C. Palace - 31 Fulham - 27 Liverpool - 24 Cardiff - 23 Whereas they currently stand at: [TABLE=width: 160] [TR] [TD]Club[/TD] [TD]Points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Sunderland[/TD] [TD=align: right]63[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Stoke[/TD] [TD=align: right]62[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]West Ham Utd[/TD] [TD=align: right]61[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Newcastle Utd[/TD] [TD=align: right]54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Man Utd [/TD] [TD=align: right]54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Aston Villa[/TD] [TD=align: right]53[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Spurs[/TD] [TD=align: right]51[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Hull[/TD] [TD=align: right]49[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Arsenal [/TD] [TD=align: right]46[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]WBA[/TD] [TD=align: right]46[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Swansea[/TD] [TD=align: right]46[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Man City[/TD] [TD=align: right]45[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Everton[/TD] [TD=align: right]44[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Norwich[/TD] [TD=align: right]43[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Southampton[/TD] [TD=align: right]41[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Chelsea[/TD] [TD=align: right]41[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Crystal Palace[/TD] [TD=align: right]41[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Fulham[/TD] [TD=align: right]33[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Liverpool[/TD] [TD=align: right]33[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Cardiff [/TD] [TD=align: right]29 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] So if i was to keep the 60 cut off I wouldn't get any selections :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broughtonblue Posted February 6, 2014 Author Share Posted February 6, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Here is the championship totals and what my bets would be 'in-theory' [TABLE=width: 174] [TR] [TD]Club[/TD] [TD]Points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Blackpool[/TD] [TD=align: right]83[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Forest[/TD] [TD=align: right]69[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Sheffield Weds[/TD] [TD=align: right]68[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Watford[/TD] [TD=align: right]67[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Milwall [/TD] [TD=align: right]67[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Blackburn [/TD] [TD=align: right]65[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Middlesborough[/TD] [TD=align: right]64[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Reading[/TD] [TD=align: right]59[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Barnsley[/TD] [TD=align: right]59[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Yeovil[/TD] [TD=align: right]57[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bournemouth[/TD] [TD=align: right]55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Birmingham [/TD] [TD=align: right]55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Brighton[/TD] [TD=align: right]55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Derby[/TD] [TD=align: right]54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Charlton [/TD] [TD=align: right]54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Wigan[/TD] [TD=align: right]52[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Leeds[/TD] [TD=align: right]49[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Huddesfield[/TD] [TD=align: right]49[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bolton[/TD] [TD=align: right]48[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Doncaster [/TD] [TD=align: right]44[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]QPR[/TD] [TD=align: right]41[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ipswich [/TD] [TD=align: right]40[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Leicester[/TD] [TD=align: right]40[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Burnley[/TD] [TD=align: right]38 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] My picks are: Barnsley v Ipswich 59+40=99 Brighton v Doncaster 55+44=99 Derby v QPR 54+41=95 going with 100 for the championship due to increased totals but may reduce depending on what happens this weekend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stribs Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Hey man. I love this thread already. I agree if i carried on for a couple more weeks the 60 mark would be very tough to find but there are still some out there. (Germany and Holland) Really good luck with this. Great to see the "system" continued. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broughtonblue Posted February 6, 2014 Author Share Posted February 6, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards I have took down stats for Bundesliga but I will not make picks this week, just see if they go as expected. Eredivise is one I have yet to look into, if I have the time tomorrow I may pull their stats but I don't want to get too ahead of myself, I can only hope this goes aswell as your attempt! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Are you going to have a bank and odds for the picks when they become available. A 100 point bank and level stake 1 points would be sensible if testing this. Sent from my XT1032 using PL Forum Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
froment Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Hello Froment' date=' though i would have to explain this, as player pick up more red and yellow cards their total increases, so here are Stribs starting totals back in January, compared to what the stand at now....[/quote'] D'oh, silly me... :wall Thanks for explanation, of course you're right! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broughtonblue Posted February 7, 2014 Author Share Posted February 7, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Are you going to have a bank and odds for the picks when they become available. A 100 point bank and level stake 1 points would be sensible if testing this. Sent from my XT1032 using PL Forum That's not a bad idea, although for some reason it will not give me this bet on the championship which is rather annoying, I will try again tomorrow morning see if it needs to be nearer the K.O time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broughtonblue Posted February 8, 2014 Author Share Posted February 8, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards All good so far! Fingers crossed for tomorrow! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Ul with Brighton later in game hope the odds on the others covered the loss Sent from my XT1032 using PL Forum Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broughtonblue Posted February 8, 2014 Author Share Posted February 8, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards That's not a bad idea' date=' although for some reason it will not give me this bet on the championship which is rather annoying, I will try again tomorrow morning see if it needs to be nearer the K.O time.[/quote'] Wouldn't let me put any championship games on. Option wasn't there so I won't be doing any championship luckily! I have out some on Bundesliga with a free bet I got, won't be counting that to this thread but I've yet to check the results Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Try wilhill they have no red cards on a lot good miss today though. Sent from my XT1032 using PL Forum Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broughtonblue Posted February 9, 2014 Author Share Posted February 9, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards nice start to this and i want to start as i mean to go on. bank now £87.45 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broughtonblue Posted February 9, 2014 Author Share Posted February 9, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Picks for tues/weds games: Cardiff v Aston Villa 30+53=83 WBA v chelsea 49+41=90 Everton v crystal Palace 44+41=85 Fulham v Liverpool 33+34=67 i will not be making championship picks for this in order to stick with bet at home. no bundesliga games in the week, i will post updated premier league points in the next post for anyone interested Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broughtonblue Posted February 9, 2014 Author Share Posted February 9, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Club Points Sunderland 69 Stoke 66 West Ham Utd 63 Newcastle Utd 57 Man Utd 54 Aston Villa 53 Spurs 52 Hull 52 WBA 49 Arsenal 48 Swansea 46 Man City 46 Norwich 45 Everton 44 Southampton 41 Chelsea 41 Crystal Palace 41 Liverpool 34 Fulham 33 Cardiff 30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broughtonblue Posted February 9, 2014 Author Share Posted February 9, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Forgot to add odds are around 1.75 staking £84.75 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broughtonblue Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Cardiff v Aston Villa 30+53=83 WBA v chelsea 49+41=90 Everton v crystal Palace 44+41=85 Fulham v Liverpool 33+34=67 3 wins with Everton crystal Palace being called off, New bank £133. i will withdraw £50 and carry on with £83 to cover any potential disaster! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stribs Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards I want some royalties out of this! Good going chief. I'd follow again but spent all my cash on a ps4!!! Lets keep these games clean! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broughtonblue Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards I want some royalties out of this! Good going chief. I'd follow again but spent all my cash on a ps4!!! Lets keep these games clean! its a good system as long as you set sensible targets and limits i think, i did notice you didnt withdraw your starting £50 but im not that brave! :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stribs Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards I started to do a lot of singles and realised £130+ @ 1.15 started making some nice money. I was caught in the headlights and thankfully it worked out. Seeing this continued just makes me think what if i continued.... we'll have a look at the end of the season for trends and nail it next season (pending they don't shut us down) Good luck for the weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards I started to do a lot of singles and realised £130+ @ 1.15 started making some nice money. I was caught in the headlights and thankfully it worked out. Seeing this continued just makes me think what if i continued.... we'll have a look at the end of the season for trends and nail it next season (pending they don't shut us down) Good luck for the weekend. shut down? exchanges are there no shutting down ;-) if you can go meticulously through several data sets you will maybe find an angle. But beware that the angle may diminish if you post and get several people on the same thing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broughtonblue Posted February 13, 2014 Author Share Posted February 13, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Selections for this weekend are: Braunschweig v Hamburger 38+37=75 Augsburg v Nurnburg 44+43=87 First time selecting Eredivise as a paper test and if all goes well i will include them next week. Selections for this weekend would be: FC Twente v Vitesse - 39+40=79 SC Cambuur v PEC Zwolle - 47+36=83 no premier league games this weekend either. total of £83 @1.32 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broughtonblue Posted February 16, 2014 Author Share Posted February 16, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Both games came in, bank is to £109.77 with the £50 held for safety. There was a red cars for vitesse so I will be avoiding Dutch for now and going with premier league and Bundesliga. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broughtonblue Posted February 18, 2014 Author Share Posted February 18, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Picks for the weekend are: Chelsea v Everton 45+44=89 Cardiff v Hull 30+52=82 Nurnburg v Braunschweig 46+44=90 Monchengladbach v Hoffenheim 40+48=88 Hamburger v Dortmund 42+35=77 £109.77 @ 2.01 The system also threw up WBA v Fulham and Liverpool Swansea but unfortunately the bet is not being offered on these 2 games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Good luck Sent from my XT1032 using PL Forum Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulcy Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Hey Broughton. Really like the idea of this. Good luck! What bookie are you using for this? Cheera for commenting on my new thread from the weekend! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Hey Broughton. Really like the idea of this. Good luck! What bookie are you using for this? Cheera for commenting on my new thread from the weekend! That's my worry the bookies blocking me Sent from my XT1032 using PL Forum Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broughtonblue Posted February 18, 2014 Author Share Posted February 18, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards The bookie I'm using is www.bet-at-home.com it's a German bookie as far as I'm aware as you have to deposit in euros (still displays in £) and withdraw in Euros too. All of the Bundesliga have a vast range of selections and it seems the further away from Germany the country is the less markets it has :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stribs Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Re: Starting my first thread - Inspired by Stribs' - No Red Cards Please do correct people when they thank you for YOUR idea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.