BBOTD Thursday 19th September

[Blazing Bailey]

Ayr 4.40 - Clayton 8/1 Bet365 BOG An interesting mix of runners in this race with the completely unexposed stepping up in class lining up against some horses that have been there, done it and bought the tee shirt at this level. I sometimes feel it can pay to find one of the more exposed who is in form because they can be under bet (or rather the others are over bet) and on this occasion that horse is Clayton. The form of his last two Newmarket runs has been franked quite considerably with the 2nd and 4th in the first race showing improved form (3rd flopped) and the 1st, 2nd, 4th and 5th all performing better on their next run in the 2nd race. Im not sure how strong this race really is and this horse has proven himself previously on soft/good to soft ground (joint highest RPR on GS). Good draw for his prominant running style wont do him any harm either.

[Boulder5111]

Re: BBOTD Thursday 19th September A5.10 Kingarrick e/w 40/1 Skybet I'm putting this one up early since the 40/1 won't last I suspect. This is another horse racing off it's optimum conditions and is effectively (with the jockeys claim) racing off the same mark as its last winning one. The jockey is having a great season and is well worth the 5lb claim and there are signs in the last week or so that the trainers horses are running better after a lean spell. All 4 of the horses win and placed efforts have come with give in the ground and it can get pretty bad up at Ayr so hopefully the horse will see out this trip well when others have cried off. Decent e/w price if on a going day.