The state of being in equilibrium

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium

Hidden Asset 19.30 Wolverhampton 1.5 Pts (8) Win @ 5.0 (BOG) Winner over C&D in September. 11/4, respectable 7th of 14 in handicap at Kempton (10f) 23 days ago, very slowly away. Has good chance on form.

3rd in touch, headway to track leader over 2f out, led over 1f out, ridden and headed inside final furlong Balkinstown 14.10 Punchestown 1.5 Pts (9) Win @ 5.0 (BOG) Lightly-raced maiden. 20/1, very good 3¼ lengths 2nd of 16 to Ronava in handicap hurdle at Galway (16f, good) 19 days ago, staying on strongly. Has good chance on form.

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium

Balkinstown 14.10 Punchestown 1.5 Pts (9) Win @ 5.0 (BOG) Lightly-raced maiden. 20/1, very good 3¼ lengths 2nd of 16 to Ronava in handicap hurdle at Galway (16f, good) 19 days ago, staying on strongly. Has good chance on form.

5th held up, 9th at 3rd, closed 6th, moderate 5th when mistake 2 out, no impression and one pace straight Bets 404 Wins 88 Total Bet 744.5 Total Won 775.24 Profit 30.74 SR 21.53% ROI 4.13%

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium Howlongisafoot 13.00 Cheltenham 1 Pt (10) Win @ 7.0 (BOG) Point/bumper winner who got off the mark in this sphere at Newton Abbot (19f) in April. Good return at Exeter (3m) last month, finishing well (young rider lost iron). One of the likely sorts.

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium

Howlongisafoot 13.00 Cheltenham 1 Pt (10) Win @ 7.0 (BOG) Point/bumper winner who got off the mark in this sphere at Newton Abbot (19f) in April. Good return at Exeter (3m) last month, finishing well (young rider lost iron). One of the likely sorts.

5th mid-division, headway after 4th, went 2nd from 6th, edged left flat, no extra towards finish Bets 405 Wins 88 Total Bet 745.5 Total Won 775.24 Profit 29.74 SR 21.48% ROI 3.99%

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium Ya Hafed 15.00 Plumpton 1 Pt (11) Win @ 7.0 (BOG) Has struggled since finishing second in an 8-runner handicap chase at Huntingdon (3m, good to soft) last December, but he's been given a chance by the assessor and sports first-time cheekpieces here.

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium

Ya Hafed 15.00 Plumpton 1 Pt (11) Win @ 7.0 (BOG) Has struggled since finishing second in an 8-runner handicap chase at Huntingdon (3m, good to soft) last December, but he's been given a chance by the assessor and sports first-time cheekpieces here.

3rd prominent, led 3rd until ridden 7th, tracked leaders, kept on same pace from 2 out Bets 406 Wins 88 Total Bet 746.5 Total Won 775.24 Profit 28.74 SR 21.43% ROI 3.85%

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium Toofeeq 14.10 Southwell 3 Pts (12) Win @ 3.0 (BOG) Promising sort. Runner-up in a 5-runner maiden at Brighton (1m, heavy, 12/1) 42 days ago. Now tried in cheekpieces and very much the one to beat here.

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium

Toofeeq 14.10 Southwell 3 Pts (12) Win @ 3.0 (BOG) Promising sort. Runner-up in a 5-runner maiden at Brighton (1m, heavy, 12/1) 42 days ago. Now tried in cheekpieces and very much the one to beat here.

3rd led until swerved sharply right, rider lost iron and was nearly unseated, tracked leaders, ridden over 3f out, driven over 2f out, weakened over 1f out Bets 407 Wins 88 Total Bet 749.5 Total Won 775.24 Profit 25.74 SR 21.38% ROI 3.43%

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium Bonfire Heart 12.30 Lingfield 3 Pts (13) Win @ 3.0 (BOG) Lightly-raced filly. Good 2nd of 7 in nursery at Wolverhampton (6f, 5/1) 13 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Obvious claims.

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium Marvellous Moment 13.25 Thurles 1.5 Pts (10) Win @ 5.0 (BOG) Once-raced maiden. 4¾ lengths 2nd of 8 to Couleur France in novice hurdle at this course (22f, soft, 4/1) on NH debut 14 days ago, not knocked about. Should improve.

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium

Bonfire Heart 12.30 Lingfield 3 Pts (13) Win @ 3.0 (BOG) Lightly-raced filly. Good 2nd of 7 in nursery at Wolverhampton (6f, 5/1) 13 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Obvious claims.

1st @ 4.0 took keen hold tracking leaders, ridden to lead inside final furlong, soon hard pressed, held on gamely

Marvellous Moment 13.25 Thurles 1.5 Pts (10) Win @ 5.0 (BOG) Once-raced maiden. 4¾ lengths 2nd of 8 to Couleur France in novice hurdle at this course (22f, soft, 4/1) on NH debut 14 days ago, not knocked about. Should improve.

4th chased leader in 2nd, 3rd 3 out, ridden and no extra before 2 out, weakened (poor visibility) Bets 409 Wins 89 Total Bet 754 Total Won 787.24 Profit 33.74 SR 21.52% ROI 4.47%

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium Footprint 18.40 Dundalk 1.5 Pts (11) Win @ 5.0 (bog) Course winner. Latest win at Sligo in August. Creditable 5th of 19 in handicap (16/1) at Leopardstown (8f, good to soft) 27 days ago, making effort earlier than ideal. Sets a high standard.

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium Bennys Well 12.45 Haydock 1 Pt (12) Win @ 6.5 (BOG) Course winner who took significant step forward on reappearance run to land Carlisle handicap a fortnight ago, making all on heavy ground. Holds his form well and longer trip will suit. Big shout.

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium

Footprint 18.40 Dundalk 1.5 Pts (11) Win @ 5.0 (bog) Course winner. Latest win at Sligo in August. Creditable 5th of 19 in handicap (16/1) at Leopardstown (8f, good to soft) 27 days ago, making effort earlier than ideal. Sets a high standard.

6th chased leaders, 6th halfway, ridden and no impression over 1f out, kept on one pace

Bennys Well 12.45 Haydock 1 Pt (12) Win @ 6.5 (BOG) Course winner who took significant step forward on reappearance run to land Carlisle handicap a fortnight ago, making all on heavy ground. Holds his form well and longer trip will suit. Big shout.

PU led to 6th, poor 3rd 5 out, ridden before next, mistake 3 out, pulled up before 2 out Bets 411 Wins 89 Total Bet 756.5 Total Won 787.24 Profit 30.74 SR 21.41% ROI 4.06%

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium Jigsaw Financial 16.05 Exeter 1 Pt (13) Win @ 6.0 (BOG) Added to his tally at Southwell last month and better than ever when just touched off by Thundering Home here (19f) since. Up another 5 lb, but remains one for the shortlist.

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium

Jigsaw Financial 16.05 Exeter 1 Pt (13) Win @ 6.0 (BOG) Added to his tally at Southwell last month and better than ever when just touched off by Thundering Home here (19f) since. Up another 5 lb, but remains one for the shortlist.

5th tracked leader, lost place before 3 out, kept on same pace, no impression from next Bets 412 Wins 89 Total Bet 757.5 Total Won 787.24 Profit 29.74 SR 21.36% ROI 3.93%

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium Sky Steps 16.05 Wolverhampton 3 Pts (14) Win @ 3.0 (BOG) Good 2nd of 9 in nursery at this course (6f, 5/2) 18 days ago. Looks competitive on form.

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium

Sky Steps 16.05 Wolverhampton 3 Pts (14) Win @ 3.0 (BOG) Good 2nd of 9 in nursery at this course (6f, 5/2) 18 days ago. Looks competitive on form.

6th raced wide headway 5f out, close up, ridden 2f out, no impression final furlong Bets 413 Wins 89 Total Bet 760.5 Total Won 787.24 Profit 26.74 SR 21.31% ROI 3.52%

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium Master Dan 14.40 Southwell 3 Pts (15) Win @ 3.0 (BOG) Maiden from 12 flat runs in GB. 5/2, 2nd of 5 in maiden at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 22 days ago, flattered by proximity. Proven on this surface and got to be considered.

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium

Master Dan 14.40 Southwell 3 Pts (15) Win @ 3.0 (BOG) Maiden from 12 flat runs in GB. 5/2, 2nd of 5 in maiden at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 22 days ago, flattered by proximity. Proven on this surface and got to be considered.

1st @ 3.0 tracked leader, ridden to lead 2f out, edged left and right final furlong, ridden out Bets 414 Wins 90 Total Bet 763.5 Total Won 796.24 Profit 32.74 SR 21.50% ROI 4.29%

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium Doc Holliday 19.30 Dundalk 1.5 Pts (13) Win @ 5.0 (bog) C&D winner. Latest win at the Curragh in August. 12/1, creditable 4th of 16 in handicap at the Curragh (8f, good to firm) 59 days ago, having to pick way through.

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium

Doc Holliday 19.30 Dundalk 1.5 Pts (13) Win @ 5.0 (bog) C&D winner. Latest win at the Curragh in August. 12/1, creditable 4th of 16 in handicap at the Curragh (8f, good to firm) 59 days ago, having to pick way through.

3rd tracked leaders, 4th approaching straight, ridden and no impression in 3rd 1f out, kept on one pace Bets 415 Wins 90 Total Bet 765 Total Won 796.24 Profit 31.24 SR 21.45% ROI 4.08%

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium Shadarpour 18.55 Kempton 1.5 Pts (14) Win @ 5.0 (BOG) Fair winner at 19f over hurdles. 7/2, 6th of 10 in handicap hurdle at Wetherby (20f, good) 26 days ago. Fair on the flat, very good on last start in this sphere. One to consider in refitted blinkers.

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium Olympian Boy 12.55 Newbury 1 Pt (15) Win @ 6.5 (bog) Respectable effort after a break when a keeping-on third from a poor position at Ffos Las recently. Well-treated and big player if building on that.

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium Exitas 13.50 Newbury 1 pt ( 16 ) Win @ 7.0 ( bog )

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium One for the Boss 14.50 Leicester 3 Pts (17) Win @ 3.0 (BOG) Back on the up when registering second chase win with a bit to spare over this C&D recently. 9 lb rise makes life tougher, but likely to go well all the same.

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium

Shadarpour 18.55 Kempton 1.5 Pts (14) Win @ 5.0 (BOG) Fair winner at 19f over hurdles. 7/2, 6th of 10 in handicap hurdle at Wetherby (20f, good) 26 days ago. Fair on the flat, very good on last start in this sphere. One to consider in refitted blinkers.

3rd held up in touch, headway over 2f out, stayed on towards finish

Olympian Boy 12.55 Newbury 1 Pt (15) Win @ 6.5 (bog) Respectable effort after a break when a keeping-on third from a poor position at Ffos Las recently. Well-treated and big player if building on that.

4th chased leaders, went 2nd approaching 6th until 9th, ridden and outpaced before 4 out, plugged on into modest 4th 2 out

Exitas 13.50 Newbury 1 pt ( 16 ) Win @ 7.0 ( bog )

10th chased leaders, weakening when blundered 3 out, tailed off

One for the Boss 14.50 Leicester 3 Pts (17) Win @ 3.0 (BOG) Back on the up when registering second chase win with a bit to spare over this C&D recently. 9 lb rise makes life tougher, but likely to go well all the same.

1st @ 3.5 tracked leaders, hampered 3rd, led and jumped right 4 out, soon clear, jumped left 2 out and last, eased final 100 yards Bets 419 Wins 90 Total Bet 771.5 Total Won 806.74 Profit 35.24 SR 21.48% ROI 4.57%

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium Fast Scat 13.55 Wolverhampton 3 Pts (14) Win @ 3.25 (BOG) 16/1 and visored for 1st time, excellent 1½ lengths 3rd of 10 to Celestine Abbey in nursery at this C&D 7 days ago, not clear run. Should make presence felt now.

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium Overall we stand 3 Pts ... 34.37% Strike rate 1.5 Pts ... 16.47% Strike rate 1 Pt ... 13.6% Strike rate Yield 11 of 16 months with profit. Biggest Loss -62.55% (February 2014) Highest Yield 33.73% (September 2013) Strike rate Lowest 8.33% (February 2014) Highest 26.92 % (October 2013/January 2014) For November Bets 30 Wins 6 Total Bet 55 Total Won 63.25 Profit 8.25 SR 20.00% ROI 15.00% 3 Pts ... 50% Strike rate 1.5 Pts ... 0% Strike rate 1 Pt ... 10.00% Strike rate Terrible return from the 1.5 Pts (4\1) runners not a winner in sight.

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Re: The state of being in equilibrium

Fast Scat 13.55 Wolverhampton 3 Pts (14) Win @ 3.25 (BOG) 16/1 and visored for 1st time, excellent 1½ lengths 3rd of 10 to Celestine Abbey in nursery at this C&D 7 days ago, not clear run. Should make presence felt now.

3rd close up, ridden over 2f out, no impression final furlong Bets 420 Wins 90 Total Bet 774.5 Total Won 806.74 Profit 32.24 SR 21.43% ROI 4.16%