Xtc12 Posted April 22, 2014 Author Share Posted April 22, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Shimba Hills 17.25 Yarmouth 1.5 Pts Win @ 5.00 (BOG) ?Front runner who landed a Nottingham maiden last November and has run well when placed in handicaps both starts this year, ridden to aggressively when third over 1m at Nottingham last time. 3rd tracked leaders, ridden over 1f out, kept on towards finish Bets 228 Wins 50 Total bet 418 Total Won 439.24 Profit 21.24 Current Bank 121.24 Strike Rate 21.93% ROI 5.08% Above bet was actually a 1 PT bet ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted April 23, 2014 Author Share Posted April 23, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Ut Majeur Aulmes 15.50 Perth 3 Pts Win @ 3.0 (BOG) French bumper winner who got off the mark over hurdles in a 2m handicap at Uttoxeter in December and improved further for the switch to chasing when going close at that venue last month. Big player. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted April 23, 2014 Author Share Posted April 23, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Ut Majeur Aulmes 15.50 Perth 3 Pts Win @ 3.0 (BOG) French bumper winner who got off the mark over hurdles in a 2m handicap at Uttoxeter in December and improved further for the switch to chasing when going close at that venue last month. Big player. 1st @ 3.0 (BOG) in rear, headway before 3 out, ridden to lead run-in, just held on, driven out Bets 229 Wins 51 Total bet 421 Total Won 448.24 Profit 27.24 Current Bank 127.24 Strike Rate 22.27% ROI 6.47% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted April 24, 2014 Author Share Posted April 24, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Tylery Wonder 18.05 Tipperary 3 Pts Win @ 3.0 (BOG) 10/1, good 3rd of 20 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, good to soft) 11 days ago. Front runner, and looks just about the pick on form. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted April 24, 2014 Author Share Posted April 24, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Tylery Wonder 18.05 Tipperary 3 Pts Win @ 3.0 (BOG) 10/1, good 3rd of 20 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, good to soft) 11 days ago. Front runner, and looks just about the pick on form. 5th led, headed 2f out where close 4th, soon under pressure, no impression and kept on same pace from 1f out Bets 230 Wins 51 Total bet 424 Total Won 448.24 Profit 24.24 Strike Rate 22.17% ROI 5.72% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted April 25, 2014 Author Share Posted April 25, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium See Clearly 16.00 Doncaster 1.5 Pts Win @ 5.0 (BOG) Not won since summer 2012, but has dropped to a good mark and didn't shape badly when sixth of 13 on reappearance at Pontefract (5f). Return to this trip will help and she has to enter calculations. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted April 25, 2014 Author Share Posted April 25, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium See Clearly 16.00 Doncaster 1.5 Pts Win @ 5.0 (BOG) Not won since summer 2012, but has dropped to a good mark and didn't shape badly when sixth of 13 on reappearance at Pontefract (5f). Return to this trip will help and she has to enter calculations. 2nd in rear, headway over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, led inside final furlong, no extra and headed towards finish Bets 231 Wins 51 Total bet 425.5 Total Won 448.24 Profit 22.74 Strike Rate 22.08% ROI 5.34% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted April 26, 2014 Author Share Posted April 26, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Zafranager 16.15 Leicester 1.5 Pts Win @ 5.0 (BOG) Over 2 years since his last win on the Flat, but he scored over hurdles in November and posted a solid effort on return to this sphere when runner-up at Doncaster (1¼m) last month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted April 26, 2014 Author Share Posted April 26, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Zafranager 16.15 Leicester 1.5 Pts Win @ 5.0 (BOG) Over 2 years since his last win on the Flat, but he scored over hurdles in November and posted a solid effort on return to this sphere when runner-up at Doncaster (1¼m) last month. 13th held up, ridden and saddle slipped over 2f out, eased over 1f out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
santos_ Posted April 27, 2014 Share Posted April 27, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Just had a read through this well done :D in profit and the 50 winners up, kutgw! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted April 27, 2014 Author Share Posted April 27, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Rose Kazan 14.45 Kempton 1 Pt Win @ 7.0 (BOG) Promising sort. Creditable 2nd of 10 in handicap (7/2) at Redcar (10f, soft) 20 days ago, conceding first run. Switches from Turf. Has good chance on form. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted April 27, 2014 Author Share Posted April 27, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Rose Kazan 14.45 Kempton 1 Pt Win @ 7.0 (BOG) Promising sort. Creditable 2nd of 10 in handicap (7/2) at Redcar (10f, soft) 20 days ago, conceding first run. Switches from Turf. Has good chance on form. 3rd tracked leaders, ridden and every chance over 1f out, kept on one pace Bets 233 Wins 51 Total bet 428 Total Won 448.24 Profit 20.24 Strike Rate 21.89% ROI 4.73% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted April 28, 2014 Author Share Posted April 28, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Have A Nice Day 17.25 Naas 1 Pt Win @ 7.0 (BOG) 9/4, didn’t need to improve to win 13 runner handicap at Dundalk (7f) in November. Switches from All Weather. Has good chance on form from 1 lb lower turf mark. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted April 28, 2014 Author Share Posted April 28, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Have A Nice Day 17.25 Naas 1 Pt Win @ 7.0 (BOG) 9/4, didn’t need to improve to win 13 runner handicap at Dundalk (7f) in November. Switches from All Weather. Has good chance on form from 1 lb lower turf mark. 4th prominent, on terms from 2f out, headed inside final furlong, kept on same pace Bets 234 Wins 51 Total bet 429 Total Won 448.24 Profit 19.24 Strike Rate 21.79% ROI 4.48% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted April 29, 2014 Author Share Posted April 29, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Shamas Song 19.20 Newcastle 3 Pts Win @ 3.0 (BOG) Half-sister to useful 2-y-o 7f winner Cape Dollar and shaped with promise at Lingfield on her debut in October. Type to make considerable improvement in 2014. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted April 29, 2014 Author Share Posted April 29, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Shamas Song 19.20 Newcastle 3 Pts Win @ 3.0 (BOG) Half-sister to useful 2-y-o 7f winner Cape Dollar and shaped with promise at Lingfield on her debut in October. Type to make considerable improvement in 2014. 2nd tracked leading pair, went 2nd well over 3f out, edged left 2f out, soon ridden, stayed on same pace inside final furlong Bets 235 Wins 51 Total bet 432 Total Won 448.24 Profit 16.24 Strike Rate 21.70% ROI 3.76% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted April 30, 2014 Author Share Posted April 30, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Choral Festival 18.25 Brighton 3 Pts Win @ 3.0 (BOG) Successful off a 7 lb higher mark over 11.6f at Windsor last summer. Signs of revival when fourth of 13 over 10f there earlier this month and dangerously well treated if she can build on that now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted April 30, 2014 Author Share Posted April 30, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Choral Festival 18.25 Brighton 3 Pts Win @ 3.0 (BOG) Successful off a 7 lb higher mark over 11.6f at Windsor last summer. Signs of revival when fourth of 13 over 10f there earlier this month and dangerously well treated if she can build on that now. 1st @ 3.0 (BOG) raced wide close up, went 2nd over 3f out, led over 2f out, ridden and ran on Bets 236 Wins 52 Total bet 435 Total Won 457.24 Profit 22.24 Strike Rate 22.03% ROI 5.11% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 1, 2014 Author Share Posted May 1, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Royal Riviera 18.15 Ffos las 1.5 pts Win @ 5.0 (BOG) Three-time hurdle winner who got off the mark over fences when fitted with a visor over C&D 5 weeks ago, travelling strongly. Obvious claims off 3 lb higher. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 1, 2014 Author Share Posted May 1, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Royal Riviera 18.15 Ffos las 1.5 pts Win @ 5.0 (BOG) Three-time hurdle winner who got off the mark over fences when fitted with a visor over C&D 5 weeks ago, travelling strongly. Obvious claims off 3 lb higher. 4th in touch, pushed along in 5th after 14th, jumped right and went 4th 3 out, stayed on same pace from 2 out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 2, 2014 Author Share Posted May 2, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Cloud Creeper 17.55 Fontwell 1.5 Pts Win @ 5.0 (BOG) Made the most of good opportunity to open hurdles account at Southwell, soon clear from 2 out. Best to put a line through opening handicap run (badly hampered) so well worth another chance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 3, 2014 Author Share Posted May 3, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Cloud Creeper 17.55 Fontwell 1.5 Pts Win @ 5.0 (BOG) Made the most of good opportunity to open hurdles account at Southwell, soon clear from 2 out. Best to put a line through opening handicap run (badly hampered) so well worth another chance. 5th held up, hit 5th, struggling 3 out, headway when hampered 2 out, no extra towards finish Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 3, 2014 Author Share Posted May 3, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Overall we stand 3 Pts ... 34.32% Strike rate 1.5 Pts ... 17.8% Strike rate 1 Pt ... 13.98% Strike rate Yield 6 of 9 months with profit. Biggest Loss -62.55% (February) Highest Yield 33.73% (September) Strike rate Lowest 8.33% (February 2014) Highest 27 % (October 2013) For April Bets 27 Wins 7 Total Bet 51 Total Won 64.5 Profit 13.5 SR 25.93% ROI 26.47% 3 Pts ... 44.4% Strike rate 1.5 Pts ... 33.3% Strike rate 1 Pt ... 0% Strike rate Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 3, 2014 Author Share Posted May 3, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Heaney 16.55 Punchestown 1 Pt Win @ 7.0 (BOG) Creditable 6th of 26 in the Irish National (20/1) at Fairyhouse (29f, good) 12 days ago, running on late. Eye-catching jockey booking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 3, 2014 Author Share Posted May 3, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Heaney 16.55 Punchestown 1 Pt Win @ 7.0 (BOG) Creditable 6th of 26 in the Irish National (20/1) at Fairyhouse (29f, good) 12 days ago, running on late. Eye-catching jockey booking. 4th tracked leaders, slight mistake 7th and 5 out, 4th 4 out, soon ridden, kept on same pace straight Bets 239 Wins 52 Total bet 439 Total Won 457.24 Profit 18.24 Strike Rate 21.76% ROI 4.15% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 4, 2014 Author Share Posted May 4, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Kassbaan 16.25 Newmarket 1 Pt Win @ 7.0 (BOG) Sales price shot up to £160,000 last year. Half-brother to 2-y-o 5f winner Oasis Town from speedy family. Plenty of appeal on paper. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 5, 2014 Author Share Posted May 5, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Kassbaan 16.25 Newmarket 1 Pt Win @ 7.0 (BOG) Sales price shot up to £160,000 last year. Half-brother to 2-y-o 5f winner Oasis Town from speedy family. Plenty of appeal on paper. 11th in touch, ridden halfway, weakened over 1f out Special Agent 17.35 ffos las 1.5 Pts Win @ 5.0 (BOG) Half-brother to 2 winners, including fairly useful hurdler Aladdins Cave (2m-2¼m winner) Dam smart 7f winner and couldn't be in better hands on debut. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 6, 2014 Author Share Posted May 6, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Karinga Dancer 18.50 Exeter 3 Pts Win @ 3.0 (BOG) Smart effort to land 17f Aintree handicap hurdle on reappearance and opened account over fences at first time of asking at Doncaster. Beaten favourtie twice since but opening mark is very fair. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 6, 2014 Author Share Posted May 6, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Special Agent 17.35 ffos las 1.5 Pts Win @ 5.0 (BOG) Half-brother to 2 winners, including fairly useful hurdler Aladdins Cave (2m-2¼m winner) Dam smart 7f winner and couldn't be in better hands on debut. 4th chased leaders to halfway, soon behind and ran green, headway under pressure over 3f out, kept on same pace final 2f, never reached leaders Karinga Dancer 18.50 Exeter 3 Pts Win @ 3.0 (BOG) Smart effort to land 17f Aintree handicap hurdle on reappearance and opened account over fences at first time of asking at Doncaster. Beaten favourtie twice since but opening mark is very fair. 1st @ 3.0 (BOG) held up in mid-division, jumped left at times, closed before 8th, led going well before 4 out, ridden and stayed on flat Bets 241 Wins 53 Total bet 445 Total Won 466.24 Profit 21.24 Strike Rate 21.99% ROI 4.77% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted May 7, 2014 Author Share Posted May 7, 2014 Re: The state of being in equilibrium Picansort 17.20 Brighton 3 Pts Win @ 3.0 (BOG) In good form on AW this winter, getting back to winning ways at Lingfield (5f) in March. Has a lower mark on turf and got to be high on any shortlist. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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