BBOTD 21st March

[chris34]

7.30 Kempton Mcbirney is consistently frustrating he is well treated on his very best form but can often flatter to deceive and run a good race followed by a good one, latest effort a poor one but excusable on the fibresand. Pahente was hit with a 10lb rise for winning extremely easy on penultimate start struggled off revised mark last time out though so easy to swerve despite a 2lb ease in the weights. King Olav is dangerously well handicapped for an inform yard, but has basically been tailed off on 3 starts since lengthy period on sidelies most notably last time out which is a huge concern but is being backed in a weak market tonight and is now 24lb below his last handicap winning mark. Mister Bob was a comfortable winner of a weak maiden on fibresand at Southwell last time out still running green though so will need to improve again against hardened performers, mark of 63 perhaps not harsh but also needs to prove that fibresand isn’t his only strong point. Amana was desperately unlucky on penultimate start meeting huge trouble in running having travelled extremely well into the race, that was a 2^nd good effort of note recently and is clearly in good heart handicapper put him up 3lb, easy to excuse latest effort at Southwell and if in same form he has a chance having been dropped back 1lb. 1pt win Amana 6/1 vc

[Blazing Bailey]

Re: BBOTD 21st March Wolves 3.05 - Miss Bunter 9/2 Bet365 BOG A good little handicap this but Miss Bunter comes out on top of my speed ratings by around 6-7lb and she has been running really well in defeat on her last couple of runs. She is definitely capable to winning off this mark and whilst the wide draw (has a decent S/R according to ATR) and the jockey inexperience (12.5% career AW S/R) are a slight concern Im am hoping she might just have enough in the tank to fend off the rest of these. Main dangers are Haadeth who has only just been touched off the last twice with King Kirby on board and Invigilator who could be well treated back from a short break.