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Does distance matter? An away betting model (663 bets, +10.13 points, +1.5% ROI)

JohnPR

By JohnPR
in Betting Systems & Strategy

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JohnPR

JohnPR

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model New bets[TABLE=width: 1175]

[TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bookmaker[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bet time[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Brescia[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Empoli[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.99[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:19[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Livorno[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Crotone[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.72[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:19[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Modena[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Virtus Lanciano[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.17[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:19[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Varese[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Cesena[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.37[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:19[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bradford City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dagenham & Redbridge[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.13[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:04[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]01 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eredivisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Vitesse[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Utrecht[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.88[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:22[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]01 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Eintracht Frankfurt[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Borussia Mgladbach[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.74[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:12[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Borussia Dortmund[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Hannover 96[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]12.04[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:12[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Hamburger SV[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Greuther Fürth[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]6.23[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:12[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Premier[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Chelsea[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]West Bromwich Albion[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]8.8[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:01[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Premier[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Everton[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Reading[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]10[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:01[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Premier[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Southampton[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Queens Park Rangers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.55[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:01[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bayer Leverkusen[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Stuttgart[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]6.44[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:12[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eredivisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]NAC Breda[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Heerenveen[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.96[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:22[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eredivisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Zwolle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Willem II[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.89[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:22[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]France Ligue 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Saint-Étienne[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Nice[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.22[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:07[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]France Ligue 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Toulouse[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Evian Thonon Gaillard[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.96[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:07[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]03 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eredivisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]RKC Waalwijk[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]AZ[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.44[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:22[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]03 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie A[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Sampdoria[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Parma[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.6[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:16[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]03 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]France Ligue 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Olympique Marseille[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Troyes[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]8.55[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013 @ 09:07[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Settled bets[TABLE=width: 925] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]H[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]A[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Profit[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]25 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eerste Divisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Emmen[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Excelsior[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]bet[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]cancelled[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]25 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eerste Divisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Sparta Rotterdam[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Den Bosch[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.68[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.68[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]25 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Hertha BSC[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Kaiserslautern[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.69[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]25 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]France Ligue 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Monaco[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Lens[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.16[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]25 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Premier[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]West Ham United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Tottenham Hotspur[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.22[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1.22[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]25 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie A[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Lazio[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pescara[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]15.45[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Settled bets accounts[TABLE=width: 400] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets settled today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets won today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets lost today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]3[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets cancelled today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]profit/loss today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]1.9 points[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Overall accounts[TABLE=width: 400] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets settled total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]180[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets pending[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]40[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank pending[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]40 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank balance[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]76.24 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]116.24 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]profit/loss total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]16.24 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]ROI[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]9%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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danzku

danzku

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model Looking good so far JohnPR. I am amazed at the amount of bets each day/week your system brings up. I guess the system is not so much about distance, or at least the way we see it. It is mostly about your own calculations we cannot see, distance being a part of it. Anyway the stats and back testing look good. Hope it continues the same way.

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JohnPR

JohnPR

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model

Looking good so far JohnPR. I am amazed at the amount of bets each day/week your system brings up. I guess the system is not so much about distance' date=' or at least the way we see it. It is mostly about your own calculations we cannot see, distance being a part of it. Anyway the stats and back testing look good. Hope it continues the same way.[/quote'] Thanks. You are correct that most of what is going on is buried in maths and statistics. I am using a stats package from a soccer statistics site and I do my own regressive analysis of it. I only use MS Excel and MS Access and have had to teach myself as I have gone along. I started doing linear regression with some success but seeing that the trends were clearly not linear I tried non-linear regression assuming that this was what was needed for non-linear trends and lost my success. I then discovered logistic regression and things became a whole lot better. I noticed that the stats package contained distance information so I did some analysis of it as shown at the top of this thread and found distance is a major factor affecting the result so I combined logistic regression with distance adjustments and things went extremely well. I started the European soccer season paper testing the model and by Sept 28 I could stand it no more and started live betting, and have not looked back. Hopefully by the end of the European season I will have shown how good.
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JohnPR

JohnPR

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model New bets[TABLE=width: 1175]

[TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bookmaker[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bet time[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Kaiserslautern[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bochum[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]6.98[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013 @ 10:21[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Leeds United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Millwall[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.68[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013 @ 10:06[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Blackpool[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bristol City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.46[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013 @ 10:06[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Brighton & Hove Albion[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Huddersfield Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.8[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013 @ 10:06[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Charlton Athletic[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Burnley[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.9[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013 @ 10:06[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Hull City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Birmingham City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.18[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013 @ 10:06[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Brentford[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Scunthorpe United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.54[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013 @ 10:14[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Doncaster Rovers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Hartlepool United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.99[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013 @ 10:14[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Milton Keynes Dons[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Preston North End[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.06[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013 @ 10:14[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Notts County[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Carlisle United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.23[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013 @ 10:14[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Oldham Athletic[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Sheffield United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.23[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013 @ 10:14[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Stevenage[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Colchester United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.81[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013 @ 10:14[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]USA MLS[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Vancouver[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Toronto[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.23[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013 @ 10:26[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]03 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]USA MLS[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Seattle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Montreal[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.74[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013 @ 10:26[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]03 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]1860 München[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Ingolstadt[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.8[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013 @ 10:21[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]03 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Aalen[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]St. Pauli[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.09[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013 @ 10:21[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]USA MLS[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]San Jose[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Salt Lake[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.45[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013 @ 10:26[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Settled bets[TABLE=width: 925] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]H[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]A[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Profit[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Burnley[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Huddersfield Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.69[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.69[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Leicester City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Blackburn Rovers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.44[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bournemouth[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Coventry City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.66[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.66[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Scunthorpe United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Stevenage[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.36[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Sheffield United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Leyton Orient[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.55[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Shrewsbury Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Doncaster Rovers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.73[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1.73[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Swindon Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bury[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]6.74[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.74[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]AFC Wimbledon[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Plymouth Argyle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.43[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Burton Albion[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Morecambe[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.96[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Fleetwood Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Cheltenham Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.97[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Gillingham[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Oxford United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.08[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.08[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Northampton Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bristol Rovers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.01[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Port Vale[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Exeter City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.7[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.7[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Rochdale[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Accrington Stanley[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.28[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.28[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Rotherham United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]York City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.44[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Alfreton Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Hyde[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.38[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Grimsby Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Ebbsfleet United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]8.08[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Stockport County[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Hereford United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.85[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1.85[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Tamworth[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Cambridge United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.93[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1.93[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Brescia[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Empoli[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.99[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.99[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Livorno[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Crotone[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.72[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.72[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Modena[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Virtus Lanciano[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.17[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Varese[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Cesena[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]bet[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]cancelled[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]26 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Barnet[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Southend United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.44[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Settled bets accounts[TABLE=width: 400] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets settled today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets won today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]11[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets lost today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]12[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets cancelled today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]profit/loss today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]24.37 points[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Overall accounts[TABLE=width: 400] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets settled total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]203[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets pending[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]33[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank pending[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]33 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank balance[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]107.61 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]140.61 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]profit/loss total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]40.61 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]ROI[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]20%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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JohnPR

JohnPR

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model

... Great day today. :clap
Thanks for the heads up. For psychological reasons I do not follow my bets as they are being played instead I wait until the following morning and see how I have done. It can be a long wait sometimes because I have to wait for the latest results and ratings to arrive by email I then recalculate all my graphs from scratch to make sure they are totally up to date and place any new bets. Only then do I settled my bets and produce the Punters Lounge tables. So when I received your message I logged into my betting accounts to see how things had gone. I don't suppose you know how to edit the thread title so I can update the model's performance. I notice most people do this?
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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model New bets[TABLE=width: 1175]

[TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bookmaker[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bet time[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]C-Osaka[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Niigata[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.62[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]28 Feb 2013 @ 09:46[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Hiroshima[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Urawa[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.69[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]28 Feb 2013 @ 09:46[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Sendai[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Kofu[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.31[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]28 Feb 2013 @ 09:46[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Omiya[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Shimizu[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.76[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]28 Feb 2013 @ 09:46[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Cheltenham Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]AFC Wimbledon[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.43[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]28 Feb 2013 @ 09:31[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Morecambe[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Rochdale[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.09[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]28 Feb 2013 @ 09:31[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Kidderminster Harriers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Ebbsfleet United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]8.19[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]28 Feb 2013 @ 09:36[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Mansfield Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Telford[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]10.38[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]28 Feb 2013 @ 09:36[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Woking[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Lincoln City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.78[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]28 Feb 2013 @ 09:36[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Wrexham[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Alfreton Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]7.15[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]28 Feb 2013 @ 09:36[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]03 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Kashiwa[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Kawasaki[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.69[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]28 Feb 2013 @ 09:46[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Settled bets[TABLE=width: 925] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]H[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]A[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Profit[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]27 Feb 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bradford City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dagenham & Redbridge[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.13[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Settled bets accounts[TABLE=width: 400] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets settled today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets won today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets lost today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets cancelled today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]profit/loss today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]-1 points[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Overall accounts[TABLE=width: 400] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets settled total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]204[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets pending[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]43[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank pending[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]43 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank balance[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]96.61 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]139.61 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]profit/loss total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]39.61 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]ROI[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]19.4%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (204 bets, +39.61 points, +19.4% ROI) New bets[TABLE=width: 1175]

[TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bookmaker[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bet time[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]01 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eerste Divisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Helmond Sport[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Excelsior[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.76[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]01 Mar 2013 @ 08:14[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]01 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eerste Divisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Oss[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Eindhoven[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.45[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]01 Mar 2013 @ 08:14[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]01 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eerste Divisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Sparta Rotterdam[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]De Graafschap[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.46[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]01 Mar 2013 @ 08:14[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Empoli[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Varese[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.03[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]01 Mar 2013 @ 08:10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Sassuolo[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Grosseto[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]11.45[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]01 Mar 2013 @ 08:10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Spezia[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Livorno[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.79[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]01 Mar 2013 @ 08:10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Vicenza[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bari[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]01 Mar 2013 @ 08:10[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (204 bets, +39.61 points, +19.4% ROI) Settled bets[TABLE=width: 925]

[TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]H[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]A[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Profit[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]01 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eredivisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Vitesse[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Utrecht[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.88[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]01 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eerste Divisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Helmond Sport[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Excelsior[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.76[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]01 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eerste Divisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Oss[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Eindhoven[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.45[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]01 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eerste Divisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Sparta Rotterdam[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]De Graafschap[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.46[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]01 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Eintracht Frankfurt[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Borussia Mgladbach[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.74[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.74[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Settled bets accounts[TABLE=width: 400] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets settled today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets won today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets lost today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]4[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets cancelled today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]profit/loss today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]-1.26 points[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Overall accounts[TABLE=width: 400] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets settled total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]209[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets pending[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]41[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank pending[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]41 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank balance[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]97.35 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]138.35 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]profit/loss total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]38.35 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]ROI[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]18.3%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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JohnPR

JohnPR

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (245 bets, +36.73 points, +15% ROI) Settled bets[TABLE=width: 925]

[TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]H[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]A[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Profit[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]C-Osaka[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Niigata[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.62[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Hiroshima[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Urawa[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.69[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.69[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Sendai[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Kofu[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.31[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Omiya[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Shimizu[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.76[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Kaiserslautern[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bochum[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]6.98[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Leeds United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Millwall[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.68[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Empoli[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Varese[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.03[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Sassuolo[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Grosseto[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]11.45[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]10.45[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Spezia[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Livorno[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.79[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1.79[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Borussia Dortmund[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Hannover 96[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]12.04[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Hamburger SV[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Greuther Fürth[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]6.23[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Blackpool[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bristol City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.46[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Brighton & Hove Albion[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Huddersfield Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.8[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Charlton Athletic[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Burnley[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.9[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1.9[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Hull City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Birmingham City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.18[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Brentford[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Scunthorpe United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.54[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Doncaster Rovers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Hartlepool United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.99[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Milton Keynes Dons[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Preston North End[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.06[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Notts County[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Carlisle United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.23[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Oldham Athletic[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Sheffield United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.23[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1.23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Stevenage[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Colchester United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.81[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.81[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Cheltenham Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]AFC Wimbledon[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.43[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Morecambe[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Rochdale[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.09[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Kidderminster Harriers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Ebbsfleet United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]8.19[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Mansfield Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Telford[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]10.38[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Woking[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Lincoln City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.78[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Wrexham[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Alfreton Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]7.15[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Premier[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Chelsea[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]West Bromwich Albion[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]8.8[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Premier[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Everton[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Reading[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]10[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Premier[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Southampton[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Queens Park Rangers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.55[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bayer Leverkusen[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Stuttgart[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]6.44[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eredivisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]NAC Breda[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Heerenveen[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.96[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1.96[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eredivisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Zwolle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Willem II[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.89[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]France Ligue 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Saint-Étienne[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Nice[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.22[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]France Ligue 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Toulouse[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Evian Thonon Gaillard[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.96[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]02 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]USA MLS[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Vancouver[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Toronto[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.23[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Settled bets accounts[TABLE=width: 400] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets settled today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]36[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets won today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]8[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets lost today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]28[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets cancelled today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]profit/loss today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]-1.62 points[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Overall accounts[TABLE=width: 400] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets settled total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]245[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets pending[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]7[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank pending[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]7 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank balance[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]129.73 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]136.73 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]profit/loss total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]36.73 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]ROI[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]15%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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JohnPR

JohnPR

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (204 bets, +39.61 points, +19.4% ROI) New bets[TABLE=width: 1175]

[TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bookmaker[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bet time[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eerste Divisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Emmen[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Excelsior[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.21[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 09:16[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eerste Divisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Fortuna Sittard[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Almere City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.76[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 09:16[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Burnley[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Barnsley[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.12[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 08:53[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Leicester City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Leeds United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.79[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 08:53[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Millwall[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Wolverhampton Wanderers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.67[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 08:53[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Nottingham Forest[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Ipswich Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.34[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 08:53[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Peterborough United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Charlton Athletic[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.06[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 08:53[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Watford[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Sheffield Wednesday[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.12[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 08:53[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Crawley Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Carlisle United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.96[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 09:04[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Milton Keynes Dons[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Doncaster Rovers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.14[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 09:04[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Cheltenham Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Chesterfield[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.7[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 09:08[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Alfreton Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Barrow[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.16[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 09:11[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dartford[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Stockport County[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.66[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 09:11[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Forest Green Rovers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Grimsby Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 09:11[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Southport[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Cambridge United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.03[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 09:11[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Wrexham[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Ebbsfleet United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]8.58[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 09:11[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bolton Wanderers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Blackburn Rovers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.97[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 08:53[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]06 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bristol Rovers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Exeter City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.77[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 09:08[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]06 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Macclesfield Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Lincoln City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.52[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013 @ 09:11[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Settled bets[TABLE=width: 925] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]H[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]A[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Profit[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]03 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]USA MLS[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Seattle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Montreal[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.74[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.74[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]03 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Kashiwa[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Kawasaki[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.69[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]03 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]1860 München[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Ingolstadt[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.8[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]03 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Aalen[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]St. Pauli[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.09[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.09[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]03 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eredivisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]RKC Waalwijk[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]AZ[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.44[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]03 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie A[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Sampdoria[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Parma[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.6[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]03 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]France Ligue 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Olympique Marseille[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Troyes[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]8.55[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Settled bets accounts[TABLE=width: 400] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets settled today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]7[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets won today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets lost today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets cancelled today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]profit/loss today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]1.83 points[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Overall accounts[TABLE=width: 400] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets settled total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]252[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets pending[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]20[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank pending[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]20 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank balance[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]118.56 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]138.56 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]profit/loss total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]38.56 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]ROI[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]15.3%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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thmkrr

thmkrr

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (252 bets, +38.56 points, +15.3% ROI) JOhn I like the logic behind this and understand the regression analysis behind it. Being a mathematics student this is very intreging. My question is what ar the initial win probabilities/figure then put into your Linear regression model and where do you obtain them from? You suggested you have to wait on some of the information being e-mailed and a certain sports database. Would you be able to provide more information on these details?

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TZOGAS

TZOGAS

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (252 bets, +38.56 points, +15.3% ROI) and onother question........why do you have new bets and settled bet?....in which mean that it is not for betting all?...... thanks a lot...

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JohnPR

JohnPR

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (256 bets, +42.41 points, +16.6% ROI) New bets[TABLE=width: 1175]

[TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bookmaker[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bet time[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]08 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]FSV Frankfurt[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Aalen[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.32[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013 @ 09:31[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]08 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Augsburg[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Nürnberg[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.88[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013 @ 09:10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Köln[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Paderborn[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]6.09[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013 @ 09:31[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bayern München[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Fortuna Düsseldorf[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]24.36[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013 @ 09:10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Freiburg[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Wolfsburg[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.47[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013 @ 09:10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Greuther Fürth[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Hoffenheim[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.8[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013 @ 09:10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Premier[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Reading[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Aston Villa[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.18[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013 @ 08:52[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]France Ligue 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]PSG[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Nancy[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]20.76[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013 @ 09:03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eredivisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Heracles[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]NEC[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.65[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013 @ 09:39[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]France Ligue 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Evian Thonon Gaillard[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Sochaux[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.93[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013 @ 09:03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eredivisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]AZ[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]ADO Den Haag[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]6.16[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013 @ 09:39[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]10 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie A[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Atalanta[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pescara[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]9.4[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013 @ 09:35[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]10 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Hertha BSC[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]MSV Duisburg[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]9.64[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013 @ 09:31[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]10 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Ingolstadt[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bochum[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.74[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013 @ 09:31[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]10 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie A[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Juventus[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Catania[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]11.59[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013 @ 09:35[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]10 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]France Ligue 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bordeaux[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bastia[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]8.25[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013 @ 09:03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]10 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Premier[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Liverpool[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Tottenham Hotspur[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.34[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013 @ 08:52[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]11 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Germany Bundesliga 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Eintracht Braunschweig[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Kaiserslautern[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.39[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013 @ 09:31[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Settled bets[TABLE=width: 925] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]H[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]A[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Profit[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]USA MLS[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]San Jose[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Salt Lake[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.45[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.45[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Vicenza[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bari[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.4[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eerste Divisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Emmen[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Excelsior[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.21[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]04 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eerste Divisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Fortuna Sittard[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Almere City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.76[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Settled bets accounts[TABLE=width: 400] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets settled today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]4[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets won today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets lost today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets cancelled today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]profit/loss today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]3.85 points[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Overall accounts[TABLE=width: 400] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets settled total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]256[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets pending[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]35[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank pending[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]35 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank balance[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]107.41 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]142.41 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]profit/loss total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]42.41 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]ROI[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]16.6%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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Datapunter

Datapunter

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (256 bets, +42.41 points, +16.6% ROI) I was also a little puzzled at first because you started by saying the more distance the lower the chance an away team has of winning. But then you start betting on the away team. So do i understand correctly that, first you have a prediction model that throws up say 10 matches with apparent value on the odds for the away team, then you apply a correction based on distance travelled as described here, you then end up with 5 out of the initial 10 that are left still showing value on the away team, those 5 that remain after the correction are the ones you bet on here. So the key, the edge, isn't distance travelled in itself, that is just part of the overall prediction model. Nice to see someone putting his thinking hat on and come up with a well reasoned piece of info. Maybe it can be further fine-tuned with the travel method, self-drive, bus, airplane, assuming of course the info can be obtained somehow. Another idea might be to look at the size of the stadiums, (or number of people attending) a team playing at home in a small stadium where there's usually a few thousand visitors and then away in a really big one with close to 100000 in the seats, there might be a psychological factor where the visitors get overwhelmed by the environment. (or not) Just an idea. Good luck :ok

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JohnPR

JohnPR

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (252 bets, +38.56 points, +15.3% ROI)

and onother question........why do you have new bets and settled bet?....in which mean that it is not for betting all?...... thanks a lot...
New bets are bets that I have placed with a bookmaker but the match has not been played yet. Settled bets are after the match has been played and the bookmaker has settled the bet.
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JohnPR

JohnPR

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (252 bets, +38.56 points, +15.3% ROI)

JOhn I like the logic behind this and understand the regression analysis behind it. Being a mathematics student this is very intreging. My question is what ar the initial win probabilities/figure then put into your Linear regression model and where do you obtain them from? You suggested you have to wait on some of the information being e-mailed and a certain sports database. Would you be able to provide more information on these details?
If you are a mathematics student you should have an advantage over myself. I am an engineer by profession and while my general maths knowledge is college/uni. 101 level my statistics and probability level is zero. I use a ratings/stats package from http://www.oracsports.com/ because they use Bayesian Inference to calculate their ratings. These are raw ratings so analysis of them is required but I have found this can be done with Excel. If you are not familiar with Bayesian Theory I would suggest the next time you have a few hours spare settle down with YouTube and watch the many videos they have there. Here is a simple one
but I would suggest doing searches for "Bayesian Inference", "Bayesian Theory" and "Bayesian Probability". Afterwards I am sure you will be as certain as I am that this is the way sports prediction models should be built. I calculate my value (odds) by subtracting the rating of the home team from the rating of the away team to give the 'ability gap' a minus ability gap means the away team has the advantage, a zero 'ability gap' means the two teams are equal and a positive 'ability gap' means the home team has the advantage. This become the X axis. The Y axis is the % chance of a home win, away win or a draw. So the graph will have three plots on it. The % win chance can be obtained by grouping 'ability gap' data into data bins. -10 to -5, -5 to 0, 0 to +5, +5 to +10 for example. Or if you are more adventurous use logistic regression. Excel can not do this automatically as it can with linear or polynomial regression but it can be calculated on the sheet using the info. here http://vassarstats.net/logreg1.html. The stats package also contains distance info. for all the games so I plotted this as shown at the top of this thread to give me a distance adjustment to the prices I have calculated. This has increased their accuracy. This distance adjustment can and should IMO be applied to all models that calculate prices. I hope you can understand what I have written here, if not then please ask I am willing to explain any part of my model.
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JohnPR

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (256 bets, +42.41 points, +16.6% ROI)

I was also a little puzzled at first because you started by saying the more distance the lower the chance an away team has of winning. But then you start betting on the away team. So do i understand correctly that, first you have a prediction model that throws up say 10 matches with apparent value on the odds for the away team, then you apply a correction based on distance travelled as described here, you then end up with 5 out of the initial 10 that are left still showing value on the away team, those 5 that remain after the correction are the ones you bet on here. So the key, the edge, isn't distance travelled in itself, that is just part of the overall prediction model.
Yes you are correct. I am applying the distance price corrections to my own prices calculated from a stats package, but I think that distance related price corrections should be applied to any model that calculates prices, because as you can see from the graph I posted at the top of this thread distance can make a big difference to the result of a match. I have never seen anyone applying distance based price corrections to their calculated prices and yet we are all fully aware of the noticeable disadvantage an away team has. I am more than willing to explain any part of my model in greater detail so please ask if there is anything you wish to know.
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orhane

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (256 bets, +42.41 points, +16.6% ROI) Hi very interesting stuff here. I work as a statistician at a pharmacological company and in my everyday work i am trying to apply quantitative data to various ind of modeling. if you can develop a R-square value out of your graph models than you might show how significant the changes in different variables really are. if you are aware of spss, you can transfer your data easily into various statistical models. if you like my help i can do it for you as well. and in a second thought i am now backtesting your selections for AHC +0,5 AHC +1 AHC +1,5 for the away teams.

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JohnPR

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (270 bets, +35.18 points, +13% ROI) New bets[TABLE=width: 1175]

[TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bookmaker[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bet time[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]08 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]France Ligue 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Clermont[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Arles[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.68[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]06 Mar 2013 @ 08:45[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Kashima[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Sendai[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.61[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]06 Mar 2013 @ 08:55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Tokyo[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Kashiwa[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.79[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]06 Mar 2013 @ 08:55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Iwata[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Omiya[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]06 Mar 2013 @ 08:55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Japan J League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Urawa[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Nagoya[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.64[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]06 Mar 2013 @ 08:55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]France Ligue 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Nantes[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Gazélec Ajaccio[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]9.27[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]06 Mar 2013 @ 08:45[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Leicester City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Sheffield Wednesday[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]6.35[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]06 Mar 2013 @ 08:41[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Nottingham Forest[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Wolverhampton Wanderers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.46[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]06 Mar 2013 @ 08:41[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Peterborough United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Ipswich Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.02[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]06 Mar 2013 @ 08:41[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Watford[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Blackpool[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.23[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]06 Mar 2013 @ 08:41[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]11 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]France Ligue 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Caen[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Istres[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]7.12[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]06 Mar 2013 @ 08:45[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Settled bets[TABLE=width: 925] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]H[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]A[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Profit[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Burnley[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Barnsley[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.12[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Leicester City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Leeds United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.79[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Millwall[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Wolverhampton Wanderers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.67[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.67[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Nottingham Forest[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Ipswich Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.34[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Peterborough United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Charlton Athletic[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.06[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Watford[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Sheffield Wednesday[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.12[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Crawley Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Carlisle United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.96[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Milton Keynes Dons[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Doncaster Rovers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.14[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Cheltenham Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Chesterfield[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.7[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Alfreton Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Barrow[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]bet[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]cancelled[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dartford[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Stockport County[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.66[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Forest Green Rovers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Grimsby Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Southport[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Cambridge United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.03[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Wrexham[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Ebbsfleet United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]8.58[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]05 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Championship[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bolton Wanderers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Blackburn Rovers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.97[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Settled bets accounts[TABLE=width: 400] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets settled today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]14[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets won today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets lost today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]12[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets cancelled today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]profit/loss today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]-7.23 points[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Overall accounts[TABLE=width: 400] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets settled total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]270[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets pending[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]31[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank pending[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]31 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank balance[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]104.18 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]135.18 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]profit/loss total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]35.18 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]ROI[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]13%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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thmkrr

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (252 bets, +38.56 points, +15.3% ROI)

If you are a mathematics student you should have an advantage over myself. I am an engineer by profession and while my general maths knowledge is college/uni. 101 level my statistics and probability level is zero. I use a ratings/stats package from http://www.oracsports.com/ because they use Bayesian Inference to calculate their ratings. These are raw ratings so analysis of them is required but I have found this can be done with Excel. If you are not familiar with Bayesian Theory I would suggest the next time you have a few hours spare settle down with YouTube and watch the many videos they have there. Here is a simple one
but I would suggest doing searches for "Bayesian Inference", "Bayesian Theory" and "Bayesian Probability". Afterwards I am sure you will be as certain as I am that this is the way sports prediction models should be built. I calculate my value (odds) by subtracting the rating of the home team from the rating of the away team to give the 'ability gap' a minus ability gap means the away team has the advantage, a zero 'ability gap' means the two teams are equal and a positive 'ability gap' means the home team has the advantage. This become the X axis. The Y axis is the % chance of a home win, away win or a draw. So the graph will have three plots on it. The % win chance can be obtained by grouping 'ability gap' data into data bins. -10 to -5, -5 to 0, 0 to +5, +5 to +10 for example. Or if you are more adventurous use logistic regression. Excel can not do this automatically as it can with linear or polynomial regression but it can be calculated on the sheet using the info. here http://vassarstats.net/logreg1.html. The stats package also contains distance info. for all the games so I plotted this as shown at the top of this thread to give me a distance adjustment to the prices I have calculated. This has increased their accuracy. This distance adjustment can and should IMO be applied to all models that calculate prices. I hope you can understand what I have written here, if not then please ask I am willing to explain any part of my model.
Absolutely superb. You should have some of that incorporated into your first post as it explains a lot to the new readers, may have saved on some of people's confusion also. I know Bayesian inference minutely and don't have much time spare to have a look at your databases etc. however I will certainly make a point of doing some research at the weekend. Very interested in this approach. Keep up the good work
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JohnPR

JohnPR

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (256 bets, +42.41 points, +16.6% ROI)

Hi very interesting stuff here. I work as a statistician at a pharmacological company and in my everyday work i am trying to apply quantitative data to various ind of modeling. if you can develop a R-square value out of your graph models than you might show how significant the changes in different variables really are. if you are aware of spss, you can transfer your data easily into various statistical models. if you like my help i can do it for you as well. and in a second thought i am now backtesting your selections for AHC +0,5 AHC +1 AHC +1,5 for the away teams.
I am assuming you have access to SPSS via work because when I looked at the cost of this software I almost fainted. Up to now I have been testing the effects of variables heuristically because I do not have the stats skills to do it using R (which I have tried). I change a variable and see what effect it has on past results, it can be very time consuming but it can be done with MS Excel, Access and .Net and I am familiar with these. I have been live betting my model since 28 Sep 2012 with fantastic results and would be very appreciative if you could give me some insights into any potential AH edge. I have been betting a standard model which includes all teams in a league for 17.4% ROI from 1380 bets and a virtual season model which includes all teams except newly promoted or demoted teams for 22.5% ROI from 835 bets. If the bets from 4 Feb which I have shown here show any promise I will publish my full results. If you can think of a way to determine how much distance adjustments are effecting my results please let me know and I would be happy to share any data or methods I am using.
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orhane

orhane

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (270 bets, +35.18 points, +13% ROI) This sounds very promising. You are right. I have access to SPSS based on my everyday work. It is easy to convert data from Excel to Spss format. What I need to know is the independent and dependent variables you choose and if they are weighted or not. If you are not willing to share whole of data (because of size or other things) I can work with a sample size as well. I will write you via pm and after that we can share the results in this forum if they are helpful. So to summarize it: Just give me a data set of independent and dependent variables and the type of model you want to choose. I will input them in SPSS and put out the significant effects and the differences between them. If these informations are helpful to further develop your model I will be happy to share.

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JohnPR

JohnPR

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (272 bets, +33.18 points, +12.2% ROI) New bets[TABLE=width: 1175]

[TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bookmaker[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bet time[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bournemouth[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Doncaster Rovers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.57[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]07 Mar 2013 @ 09:42[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Crawley Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Notts County[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.22[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]07 Mar 2013 @ 09:42[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Preston North End[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Stevenage[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.44[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]07 Mar 2013 @ 09:42[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Swindon Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Walsall[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.77[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]07 Mar 2013 @ 09:42[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bradford City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Aldershot Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.29[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]07 Mar 2013 @ 09:45[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Fleetwood Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Exeter City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.27[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]07 Mar 2013 @ 09:45[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Gillingham[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Plymouth Argyle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]7.01[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]07 Mar 2013 @ 09:45[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Northampton Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Accrington Stanley[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.98[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]07 Mar 2013 @ 09:45[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Port Vale[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Southend United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]07 Mar 2013 @ 09:45[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Rotherham United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dagenham & Redbridge[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.13[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]07 Mar 2013 @ 09:45[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Braintree Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Nuneaton Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]07 Mar 2013 @ 09:50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Forest Green Rovers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Barrow[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]5.76[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]07 Mar 2013 @ 09:50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Lincoln City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Southport[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.05[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]07 Mar 2013 @ 09:50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Luton Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Hereford United[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.31[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]07 Mar 2013 @ 09:50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Mansfield Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Stockport County[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]7.25[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]07 Mar 2013 @ 09:50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Tamworth[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Alfreton Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.02[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]07 Mar 2013 @ 09:50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Telford[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Macclesfield Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.21[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]07 Mar 2013 @ 09:50[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Settled bets[TABLE=width: 925] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]H[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]A[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Profit[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]06 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Division 2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Bristol Rovers[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]0[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Exeter City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2.77[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]06 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]England Conference[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Macclesfield Town[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Lincoln City[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.52[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]-1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Settled bets accounts[TABLE=width: 400] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets settled today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets won today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets lost today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets cancelled today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]profit/loss today[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]-2 points[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Overall accounts[TABLE=width: 400] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets settled total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]272[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bets pending[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]46[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank pending[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]46 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank balance[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]87.18 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]bank total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]133.18 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]profit/loss total[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]33.18 points[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightgreen]ROI[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 150, bgcolor: lightgreen]12.2%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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thmkrr

thmkrr

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (272 bets, +33.18 points, +12.2% ROI) Had a look over the website and some of your links and it is really interesting, been better than watching the football tonight. Really want to get into this way of analysing the match probabilities. Unfortunately I havent pasted enough to have PM rights but hopefully get a PM to you soon to try and learn more and take the discussion further. Im still no more knowledgable of how you analyse the ability gap figure to obtain win probabilities but you suggest this is done in the form on bins, I assume your bins are smaller than 10-5, 5-0, 0-(-5) etc as that seems like a large gap considering the range of ability gap is so small. Ultimately, you have some very sophisticated stuff going on here which I would like to learn more about.

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JohnPR

JohnPR

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (272 bets, +33.18 points, +12.2% ROI) New bets[TABLE=width: 1175]

[TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightblue]Match date[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]League[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Home team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightblue]Away team[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightblue]Price[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bookmaker[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightblue]Bet time[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]08 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eerste Divisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Den Bosch[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Veendam[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.22[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]08 Mar 2013 @ 08:52[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]08 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Dutch Eerste Divisie[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]MVV[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Helmond Sport[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]08 Mar 2013 @ 08:52[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Brescia[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Novara[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]3.72[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]08 Mar 2013 @ 08:47[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Padova[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Vicenza[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]4.71[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]08 Mar 2013 @ 08:47[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl24, width: 100, bgcolor: lightcyan]09 Mar 2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Italy Serie B[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Livorno[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 250, bgcolor: lightcyan]Reggina[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 50, bgcolor: lightcyan]6.03[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]Pinnacle[/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 175, bgcolor: lightcyan]08 Mar 2013 @ 08:47[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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JohnPR

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (272 bets, +33.18 points, +12.2% ROI)

Had a look over the website and some of your links and it is really interesting' date=' been better than watching the football tonight. Really want to get into this way of analysing the match probabilities. Unfortunately I havent pasted enough to have PM rights but hopefully get a PM to you soon to try and learn more and take the discussion further. Im still no more knowledgable of how you analyse the ability gap figure to obtain win probabilities but you suggest this is done in the form on bins, I assume your bins are smaller than 10-5, 5-0, 0-(-5) etc as that seems like a large gap considering the range of ability gap is so small. Ultimately, you have some very sophisticated stuff going on here which I would like to learn more about.[/quote'] Are you referring to the YouTube videos of Bayesian Theory? I watch these for hours and even if you can not follow the mathematics it is easy to see that this method is well suited to sports outcome prediction. I would suggest anyone reading this post to watch these videos even if you can not follow the mathematics. Here are some simpler explanations of Bayes' Theorem:
If you want to know how to calculate win probabilities (1X2 odds) from ratings I would be happy to show you how. You will need a copy of MS Excel, I use a copy of MS Office 2003 that I purchased for £15 from Ebay. And you will need historical results from the league you wish to analyse, the more past results the better. The past results need to have the rating of the two teams taking part so we can calculate the ability gap and the score of the match so we can work out the home win, draw, away win result. Do you have these things?
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thmkrr

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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (272 bets, +33.18 points, +12.2% ROI)

Are you referring to the YouTube videos of Bayesian Theory? I watch these for hours and even if you can not follow the mathematics it is easy to see that this method is well suited to sports outcome prediction. I would suggest anyone reading this post to watch these videos even if you can not follow the mathematics. Here are some simpler explanations of Bayes' Theorem:
If you want to know how to calculate win probabilities (1X2 odds) from ratings I would be happy to show you how. You will need a copy of MS Excel, I use a copy of MS Office 2003 that I purchased for £15 from Ebay. And you will need historical results from the league you wish to analyse, the more past results the better. The past results need to have the rating of the two teams taking part so we can calculate the ability gap and the score of the match so we can work out the home win, draw, away win result. Do you have these things?
Im going to have a mess around with some of the free historical data on the website you use. I dont have my own ratings system but would be interesteded in subscribing to this data. Going to have a bash at woking out the percentages with the bin idea and Ill report back. Obviously the 2000-2011 free data is not complete as it is updated after every game but it should give me a general idea. Thanks John
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