Stoke City v Wigan Athletic > Tue 29th January

[Aidymac]

[TABLE=class: couponTable, width: 617] [TR=class: row0, bgcolor: #F0F0F0] [TD=class: firstColumn]Stoke City v Wigan Athletic (19:45 GMT)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]2.1[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]3.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd, align: center]4.75[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp, align: center]97.24 %[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[SALVO7ITALY]

Re: Stoke City v Wigan Athletic > Tue 29th January Amazingly Stoke have only 5 wins at home this season with very much goes against there stereo type of being great at home. Stoke also have poor record at home against wigan with there last win coming back in 2009 Both sides in poor form in premierleague and haven't won for a while so can both side starting at a frantic pace. Stoke went first 6 games without conceeding at home but have now conceeded in every home game since so something has gone wrong here. Or maybe teams have finally figured them out. Wigan having rested there entire starting 11 in the FA Cup at the weekend they will be more than prepared for this game so I think its very likely we will see a Wigan result. Especially as Stoke had very tough game against Man City at weekend with there best 11 out. BTTS - 8 points for safe bet Over 2.5 - 7 points should also come in Wigan Win - 5 points

[ruscopico]

Re: Stoke City v Wigan Athletic > Tue 29th January

Amazingly Stoke have only 5 wins at home this season with very much goes against there stereo type of being great at home. Stoke also have poor record at home against wigan with there last win coming back in 2009 Both sides in poor form in premierleague and haven't won for a while so can both side starting at a frantic pace. Stoke went first 6 games without conceeding at home but have now conceeded in every home game since so something has gone wrong here. Or maybe teams have finally figured them out. Wigan having rested there entire starting 11 in the FA Cup at the weekend they will be more than prepared for this game so I think its very likely we will see a Wigan result. Especially as Stoke had very tough game against Man City at weekend with there best 11 out. BTTS - 8 points for safe bet Over 2.5 - 7 points should also come in Wigan Win - 5 points

Wowzers, you take some pleasing, Stoke only surrendered their unbeaten home record on the 12th Jan, they've lost the same number of games at home as Man U, conceding less goals. Granted, Stoke haven't started the year too well but their is no disgrace losing to Man City or Chelsea and Swansea are a tough nut to crack at the Liberty. Before their recent run of 3 defeats on the bounce, they were unbeaten in 10 and it may be a little premature to write them off just yet. Stoke conceded their 1st goal at home against Man City on the 15th Sep and although you are right to point out that they have conceded more in their last 5 games, only Chelsea have 'figured them out' and manage to take 3 points. That said, I'm with you on the BTTS shout. The blank that the home team recorded against Chelsea was their first at home since the 27th October, but perhaps more importantly, they have started leaking goals - conceding in their last 5 homes. I quite like Wigan, unlike Swansea who go away and shut up shop, they tend to play a fairly similar way at home and away and are always on the lookout for goals - only Man U and Arsenal have prevented them scoring in their last 8. If we do some crude analysis on the BTTS, Stoke at home are 45% for the season (including 4 of their last 5) while Wigan are 64% BTTS away (inc. 3 in their last 4). By chucking these together we get implied odds of 1.83 so the odds of 1.91 at Hills should appeal. Finally, last season this game ended up 2-2 and the reverse fixture earlier in the season finished the same way. BTTS 1.91 Hills

[Jase82]

Yes Stoke are really a very average side. Whenever they win they do it to very tight margins, so there is always a strong possibility of a draw. I think their early season form has masked the fact they aren't a particularly strong side. Wigan surprisingly have a fairly decent record here, with Stoke only winning once. I'm not sure they can win but the draw would be my choice here. Stoke have been surprisingly leaky of late, and I think Wigan are a fairly strong Premier League side still in the way they play.

[blackcrow]

Re: Stoke City v Wigan Athletic > Tue 29th January Stoke @ 2.17 pinnacle Stoke -1 (EH) @ 4.33 sportsbet Stoke have been tough to beat at home, especially against the better sides, and though they have lost to three in form sides like Swansea, Chelsea and Man City, Wigan are not the same quality as these sides. With a narrow loss to Man City in the Cup on the weekend, they can get back to concentrating on the league, and like them to lift. They have scored in 8 of their last 10 games at home, with 4 clean sheets, while Wigan have lost 6 of their last 9 games, as well as 6 of their last 9 away games. They drew at Fulham and won at Villa, with neither side in good form, but Stoke present a different proposition as their aerial strength is difficult to overcome, especially as they still have quite a few players out injured. Wigan have a decent record at Stoke but having to face them with the amount of injuries is likely to see them get edged out here, as Stoke comes out firing to get a win and back into Europa League contention

[neilovan]

Re: Stoke City v Wigan Athletic > Tue 29th January Stoke should have enough to beat Wigan here. They have only lost one game at home in the league all season. They have scored in 7 of their last 8 home games. Wigan are a very poor defensive team home and away, so it would seem likely that Stoke score. Poor defensive teams are really poor against set plays (which is a Stoke strength). Home win 2.1 various.

[Denman]

Re: Stoke City v Wigan Athletic > Tue 29th January I like the price on Stoke here who are currently available at 6/5 (2.20) with a few bookmakers. The game has been priced up as if these two teams are very well matched, which I don't think really is the case. I don't like looking at tables for proof or reasoning behind bets but Stoke are currently a full ten points ahead of Wigan in the league table and surely that tells you something. Whilst I agree Wigan play some decent football at times I still think too often they lack that clinical edge upfront (even more so without Kone for this watch) and that with their tendancy to concede bad goals and you can see why they're in the relegation zone. Stoke find themselves in the relative comfort of mid-table despite never really performing that well in my opinion. But Stoke specialist in making themselves hard to beat and it's their good defending that has been the main reason for many of their points this season. Overall Stoke can usually be relied on to be sound defensively and I think they are over-priced here as I was expecting around the evens mark or perhaps even a shade odds-on here.

[RedSaddler92]

Re: Stoke City v Wigan Athletic > Tue 29th January Stoke v Wigan Well I think we can safely announce this is going to be a very poor football match to watch. Wigan are struggling near the bottom as they always seem to do these days, having won only cup games in there last 5. Last time out they lost at home to a distinctly average Sunderland side 3-2 and previously snatched a draw against an out of form Fulham at Craven Cottage. Stoke is a notoriously hard place to not only go and play football but to go and watch football. You can't deny the success they have had under Pulis, but Saturday's game against Manchester City was the kind of example of football you see when visiting the Britannia. I see this no different. I think Stoke will probably steal this by the odd goal given Wigan's poor away record, lack of form and general lack of presence and quality. Stoke are rough and tough at home and that will see them over the line for an important home victory. Score Prediction Stoke 1-0 Wigan Stoke to win 2.20 @>Bet365

[pg_yid]

Re: Stoke City v Wigan Athletic > Tue 29th January Stoke DNB @ 1.57 (Stan James) 6/10 In the last 6 seasons mid-table sides beat relegation threatened sides 53% of the time at home; this is my starting point for my odds here- it would make odds of 1.88 on the home win. Stoke draw a lot of games at home, so this would push the win odds higher, but considering they rarely lose at home, the DNB should stay about the same, so I would make it 1.4 (taken from 1.88 HW odds). Then factor in form- poor for both sides, so doesn't change the odds. Wigan probably have the greater incentive, but Stoke don't have enough points yet and will also be motivated to win, also bear in mind they normally put in committed performances at home. Wigan also have injuries, though they do have a good record at Stoke, as has been mentioned. Bearing in mind these factors, I would keep the DNB fair price @ 1.4. Stan James are offering 1.57, which is therefore mega value according to my figures.

[Jase82]

BTTS - 8 points for safe bet Over 2.5 - 7 points should also come in Wigan Win - 5 points

Good call on the overs and both to score :clap

[blackcrow]

Re: Stoke City v Wigan Athletic > Tue 29th January

Stoke @ 2.17 :( Stoke -1 (EH) @ 4.33 :(

Gave up a 2-0 lead to draw 2-2 73-156 (-43.75)