Jase82 Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Wilstermann V Oriente Petrolero Over 2.5 goals @ 1.9 - bet 365. Surprised to see such attractive odds available here as the Bolivian Apetura is generally pretty high scoring. Wilstermann have gone over 2.5 goals in six out of ten home fixtures, while Oriente have gone over in eight out of ten away fixtures. Willstermann also have the third worst defensive record at home, while they've still scored seventeen goals in ten home league fixtures. Oriente have the second worst defensive record away from home, while they've still managed to hit fifth teen goals in ten away league fixtures. This just looks like a game between two very open attacking sides, and 1.55 would be fairer. Which makes close to evens pretty good value IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jase82 Posted December 9, 2012 Author Share Posted December 9, 2012 1-2 .... Bet won :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Re: Bolivia Apetura > December 9th Wilstermann V Oriente Petrolero Over 2.5 goals @ 1.9 - bet 365. Surprised to see such attractive odds available here as the Bolivian Apetura is generally pretty high scoring. Wilstermann have gone over 2.5 goals in six out of ten home fixtures, while Oriente have gone over in eight out of ten away fixtures. Willstermann also have the third worst defensive record at home, while they've still scored seventeen goals in ten home league fixtures. Oriente have the second worst defensive record away from home, while they've still managed to hit fifth teen goals in ten away league fixtures. This just looks like a game between two very open attacking sides, and 1.55 would be fairer. Which makes close to evens pretty good value IMO. Nice one :ok (Is this sort of tip something you've just started Jase? I've noticed you've done a few of these. Some of the Betfair tips writers seem to do something similar, and the results seem quite good although I haven't measured them). I suppose the success of this sort of tip relies on a pattern continuing but being un-noticed by the market in general. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jase82 Posted December 10, 2012 Author Share Posted December 10, 2012 Define what you mean by, 'this sort of tip' ... Do you mean the market? Or the type of game? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Re: Bolivia Apetura > December 9th Define what you mean by' date=' 'this sort of tip' ... Do you mean the market? Or the type of game?[/quote'] I mean unders/overs tips based on recent records of both sides. e.g. "Team X has been under for 5 of the last 8, team Y has been under for 6 of the last 8, so under 2.5 @ 1.8 is good value" That sort of tip. Maybe you've been doing them for a while? Or is it a new thing? Just interested because I hadn't noticed you doing this sort of tip until recently :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jase82 Posted December 11, 2012 Author Share Posted December 11, 2012 Maybe you've been doing them for a while? Or is it a new thing? Just interested because I hadn't noticed you doing this sort of tip until recently :) I've been doing these bets for years :) I have gone through phases of putting them up in the past but I decided to share these recently. I only use basic stats as I obviously have no in depth knowledge of the leagues! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Re: Bolivia Apetura > December 9th I've been doing these bets for years :) I have gone through phases of putting them up in the past but I decided to share these recently. I only use basic stats as I obviously have no in depth knowledge of the leagues! OK - thanks :ok I'll follow with interest. (As I said before, I've noticed some Betfair tip writers do this sort of tip and they seem have at least reasonable success). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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