Datapunter Posted February 22, 2006 Author Share Posted February 22, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +4.78% ) Yep i do, it'll change automatic as soon as someone puts some money on at Betfair, a very low early price makes the program think Yverdon is favourite. But i'll mark it as a bug :ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted February 23, 2006 Author Share Posted February 23, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +4.78% ) 25-02-2006 14:30 Bayern v Eintracht German Bundesliga Average at 1.23, Bayern clearly the strongest team in the Bundesliga but Eintrach Frankfurt not that bad, will go for a good price. 25-02-2006 15:00 Chelsea v Portsmouth English Premiership Average 1.15, top against bottom team, normal selection, going for an early price of 1.23/1.22. 26-02-2006 14:00 Juventus v Lecce Italian First Division Average 1.13, top against bottom team, normal selection, going for 1.19 26-02-2006 15:00 Basel v Yverdon Swiss Football League Average 1.28, lost the last match and on paper this one seems more difficult, still a top team against a low team, will have a go providing i can get a really good price, at least above 1.33 i'd say. 26-02-2006 17:30 AEK v Ionikos Greece Hellenic National League Average 1.29, touch and go this one, not an obvious win, think i'll let it go. 26-02-2006 18:00 Akratitos v Panathinaikos Greece Hellenic National League Average 1.20, top against bottom team with Akratitos appearing to be horrible at home, going for 1.26 that's it for now :hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted February 23, 2006 Author Share Posted February 23, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +4.78% ) Hmmmm, a Cup game, and Scottisch. 25-02-2006 10:15 Hearts v Partick Tennent's Scottish FA Cup Average 1.17, i'm going to wait and see what the price does, may have a bet if the price is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted February 25, 2006 Author Share Posted February 25, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +4.78% ) matched Munich 1.26 Chelsea 1.23 Panathinaikos 1.26 Juventus 1.19 No bet on Hearts, price is average and Basel doesn't look like it's going to get matched either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted February 26, 2006 Author Share Posted February 26, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +4.78% ) No bet on Basel as expected, ( they won 2-1 btw ) Bayern Munchen +2.47 Chelsea +2.185 Juventus +1.805 profit at +80.37 come on Panathinaikos :hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted February 26, 2006 Author Share Posted February 26, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +4.78% ) :clap Panathinaikos +2.47 Total staked 1586.6 Total returned 1669.436267 Yield 1.052209925 5.22% Winners 140 Losers 23 Strike Rate 86% Current bank 182.8362667 Profit/Loss +82.83626667 I just love these winning runs :lol , 18 so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted March 1, 2006 Author Share Posted March 1, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) Doesn't look like anything is happening midweek, so on to some potential weekend bets: 04-03-2006 15:00 Celtic v Aberdeen 1.22 Scottish Premier League 04-03-2006 17:00 Galatasaray v Samsunspor 1.20 Turkish Superleague 04-03-2006 19:00 Milan v Empoli 1.20 Italian First Division 05-03-2006 13:30 Ajax v Sparta 1.28 Dutch First Division 05-03-2006 17:00 Anderlecht v Lierse 1.20 Belgian First Division 05-03-2006 21:30 Sporting v Gil Vicente 1.25 Portuguese SuperLiga :tongue2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted March 2, 2006 Author Share Posted March 2, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) One more potential : 05-03-2006 13:00 Olympiacos v OFI 1.20 Hellenic National League so time to have a look... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted March 2, 2006 Author Share Posted March 2, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) 04-03-2006 15:00 Celtic v Aberdeen Scottish Premier League Average 1.22, hmmm Celtic should win this one but Aberdeen not doing that bad so the odds look a bit short... will need to get a really good price on this one before it's a bet. 04-03-2006 17:00 Galatasaray v Samsunspor Turkish Superleague Average 1.19, top against bottom team, normal selection, going for 1.24 04-03-2006 19:00 Milan v Empoli Italian First Division Average 1.17, top against bottom team, normal selection, going for 1.25 05-03-2006 13:00 Olympiacos v OFI Hellenic National League Average 1.16, top against bottom team, normal selection, going for 1.21 05-03-2006 13:30 Ajax v Sparta Dutch First Division Average 1.28, a bit borderline, going to see what the price does. 05-03-2006 17:00 Anderlecht v Lierse Belgian First Division Average 1.21, top against bottom team, normal selection, going for 1.26 05-03-2006 21:30 Sporting v Gil Vicente Portuguese SuperLiga Average 1.27, Gil Vincente not exactly bottom of the leage but still no match for Sporting Lisbon, going for a price above 1.35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted March 3, 2006 Share Posted March 3, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) DP would Sheff Utd v Crewe ave odds @ 1.34 be considered by this method looks a solid home win by all the stats I've calculated ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted March 3, 2006 Share Posted March 3, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) DP, I myself would leave the Celtic v Aberdeen match well alone. As you said the Dons are going well as they're on a 7 match unbeaten run with wins over Hibs, Hearts & Rangers and have one of the best defences in the league conceding only 30 goals. You watch, Celtic will win it 4 or 5-0 now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted March 3, 2006 Author Share Posted March 3, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) kanga Sheffield United v Crewe , i would say no, i look for matches where the average is less than 1.30 no particular reason for 1.30 it came about by experiance, and then each match is considered on its own. In this case the high average and the fact that's it not a top league match makes it unlikely for a price bias to exist and therefore there would be little or no value available. Doesn't mean you can't consider the bet on its own as being a good bet. But then you are including a personal judgment on how the teams will perform. So that's a different system. davidmphill I'm simply going to heed your advice, no bet on Celtic :ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted March 3, 2006 Share Posted March 3, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) kanga Sheffield United v Crewe , i would say no, i look for matches where the average is less than 1.30 no particular reason for 1.30 it came about by experiance, and then each match is considered on its own. In this case the high average and the fact that's it not a top league match makes it unlikely for a price bias to exist and therefore there would be little or no value available. Doesn't mean you can't consider the bet on its own as being a good bet. But then you are including a personal judgment on how the teams will perform. So that's a different system. davidmphill I'm simply going to heed your advice, no bet on Celtic :okAberdeen are trying to get the game called off sue to the dangerous road conditions in the Grampians. Bet you're glad you gave Sheff Utd a swerve! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted March 3, 2006 Share Posted March 3, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) Yep good call DP - Sheff Utd tried their best and were unlucky in snowy conditions, the Crewe goalie played a blinder - but at the end of the day the bank doesn't know or care about that :loon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted March 3, 2006 Author Share Posted March 3, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) right, having another look... Celtic average still at 1.22 and there's not a lot of difference between the bookies, Betfair currently has 1.27 thats 1.256 after 5% commission. Not a lot of value, even if the price rises somewhat. So going to stay on the cautious side. NO BET Galatasaray average 1.18 , looking for 1.23 now. Milan, descided to take an early 1.25 Olympiakos, average 1.15 , looking for 1.21 now Ajax still average 1.28, Betfair have 1.30 and usually drops in price, no bet yet. Anderlecht average 1.20, i'll take 1.26 maybe 1.25 Sporting, big stack at 1.34 waiting to be matched, early days, we'll see tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted March 4, 2006 Author Share Posted March 4, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) Milan matched early at 1.25 has now gone 1.28 after all :\ Galatasaray matched at 1.23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted March 5, 2006 Share Posted March 5, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) .... got 1.28 for Celtic, the game looked a bit tight at first, but rompted home in the end and along with Milan, Galatsaray, and Plymouth A (1.83 ) one of my own, good weekend so far.:clap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted March 5, 2006 Author Share Posted March 5, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) Olympiacos matched at 1.21 Anderlecht matched at 1.24 no bet on Ajax or Sporting, price just isn't good enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted March 5, 2006 Author Share Posted March 5, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) Milan +2.375 Galatasaray +2.185 Olympiacos +1.995 Anderlecht +2.28 Total staked 1626.6 Total returned 1718.271267 Yield 1.056357597 5.64% Winners 144 Losers 23 Strike Rate 86% Current bank 191.6712667 Profit/Loss +91.67126667 :dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ Posted March 6, 2006 Share Posted March 6, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) Well on target for a bankroll double, impressive system with sound reasoning behind it, delivers long term profit. :clap :clap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aphex Method Posted March 6, 2006 Share Posted March 6, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) Well on target for a bankroll double, impressive system with sound reasoning behind it, delivers long term profit. :clap :clap Yeah, superb stuff Datapunter, excellent yield, profit and strike rate, thanks for introducing me to such a system, I think this will be the main system I use from now on, Cheers:cheers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted March 9, 2006 Author Share Posted March 9, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) Time for some weekend potentials 11/03/2006 17:00 Fenerbahce v Konyaspor 1.24 Turkish Super League 11/03/2006 19:00 Lyon v Metz 1.28 French Ligue 1 12/03/2006 13:30 Feyenoord v Waalwijk 1.29 Dutch First Division 12/03/2006 17:30 AEK v Panionios 1.25 Hellenic National League 12/03/2006 18:00 Olympiacos v Kalamarias 1.17 Hellenic National League 12/03/2006 19:45 Benfica v Naval 1.25 Portuguese SuperLiga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neg8 Posted March 9, 2006 Share Posted March 9, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) hey hey. good luck with the selections ! is it possible to get a copy of your spreadsheet again mr datapunter ? seems i lost my old copy. /martin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted March 9, 2006 Author Share Posted March 9, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) Starter version here: http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/showthread.php?p=358240#post358240 Last update on this thread here: http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/showthread.php?p=334300#post334300 I'll probably post a complete update when the bank doubles :hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hodgey Posted March 9, 2006 Share Posted March 9, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) I'll probably post a complete update when the bank doubles :hope I just love your optimisim mate. :ok Just a shame there's none of it from you on my thread!!! :lol ;) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted March 9, 2006 Author Share Posted March 9, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) Ah Hodgey, what can i say, i call 'em as i see 'em. Sorry :$ You'll just have to run it to bet nr. 365 and take my money ;) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted March 10, 2006 Author Share Posted March 10, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) Time to have a look, 11/03/2006 17:00 Fenerbahce v Konyaspor Turkish Super League Average 1.24, Konyaspor haven't done that bad overall but have a terrible away record, i'll have a pop at 1.30 ish. 11/03/2006 19:00 Lyon v Metz French Ligue 1 Average 1.28, top against bottom team, odds appear to be too high at first glance, will have a look around for team news but unless i come across something surprising i think i'll go for 1.35ish. 12/03/2006 13:30 Feyenoord v Waalwijk Dutch First Division Average 1.28, Waalwijk hasn't done that bad this season but i can't see them beat Feyenoord at home, looking for 1.35 but i'm not that confident i'll get that matched so may be no bet. 12/03/2006 17:30 AEK v Panionios Hellenic National League Average 1.26, top against bottom team but not at the edge of the tables, AEK looks the stronger team but they have dropped quite a few points at home with some recent losses. Think i'll leave this one alone unless i can get a really really good price. 12/03/2006 18:00 Olympiacos v Kalamarias Hellenic National League Average 1.17, Kalamarias not exactly bottom of the league but still no match for Olympiacos, will go for 1.21ish 12/03/2006 19:45 Benfica v Naval Portuguese SuperLiga Average 1.25, top against bottom, not outspoken but sufficient, looking for a price above 1.30 Some big priced selections again :hope , so far Joe has only advised Olympiacos and he's keeping an eye on AEK and Fenerbahce, so make your own mind up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted March 11, 2006 Author Share Posted March 11, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) Lyon got matched early yesterday at 1.36 Fenerbahce matched at 1.28 On Sunday's matches looks like only Olympiacos will get matched, price on the other teams at Betfair is too low, but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted March 11, 2006 Author Share Posted March 11, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) Fenerbahce +2.66 Lyon +3.42 Olympiacos matched at 1.21 Profit at +97.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted March 12, 2006 Author Share Posted March 12, 2006 Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.22% ) Dropped Benfica, price has gone down instead of up. And well well, AEK is still on average 1.26 and i got matched at 1.35 :loon So 2 winners today would mean the bank doubles :hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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