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Get the draw on your side !!


jtw1

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Another season and another system !!! I've been trialing this for a couple of week's on another forum where the rating's i use are posted , goonersguide.com. I've used these a couple of times in the past to no avail , but , i have a good feeling about this one and early results are encouraging . Basically i take those teams who are rated 70+ on the spreadsheet Gooner post's and whose odds given on the list are between 1.8 - 2.4 . The only other criteria is that the selected side must have not lost at least 50% of the the corresponding fixtures he quotes. Here are the figures that made me think there could be mileage in this , he selects only from the EPL , BUNDESLIGA , LA LIGA and SERIE A - 1- Using the Numbers select only those home teams rated 70+ 2- From those selctins choose only those who have home odds between 1.8 and 2.4 Starting from 26/12/09 the stats of wins/draws/loss for each season is - 09/10 season [from 26/12] - 16-8-4 10/11 season - 15-12-5 11/12 season - 18-4-7 Totals for the 3 seasons = 49-23-16 A 10pt win staked on each selection would have returned each season - 09/10 - +32.40pts 10/11 - -38.50pts 11/12 - +46.40pts If we can get the draw in our favour the figures of 72 - 16 look enticing. The way we can get that frustrating draw in our favour is by taking the odds on the home side on the Asian handicap list with 0 being the handicap. That basically means if the selection draws it is treated the same as a non-runner in racing terms and no loss is incurred ie if we bet on 3 teams in a treble and one draws while the other 2 win then we have a double up. EPL - FULHAM v WBA 3-0 icon_biggrin.gif Fulham rated 74. Odds advertised - 2.06 h2h - Fulham have won 5/6 , drawn 1/6 GBL - HANNOVER v BREMEN 3-2 icon_biggrin.gif Hannover rated 95 Odds - 2.38 h2h - Hannover have won 3/6 , drawn 1/6. EPL - EVERTON v NEWCASTLE 2-2 icon_rolleyes.gif Everton rated 110 Odds - 1.91 h2h - Everton have won 4/6 , drawn 1/6 FULHAM @ 1.5 HANNOVER @ 1.65 EVERTON @ 1.27 EPL - WEST BROM v READING 1-0 icon_biggrin.gif WEST BROM is rated 74 Odds - 1.83 h2h - West Brom have won 1/2 and drawn the other [also 2 draws in Cup comps] Asian 0 h'cap - 1.32 EPL - NEWCASTLE v NORWICH 1-0 icon_biggrin.gif NEWCASTLE rated 90 Odds - 1.79 h2h - Newcastle have won 1/2 and drawn the other. [won 2-1 in cup comp] *note the odds on the spreadsheet are just 0.01 below the preferred limit but as they are on 1.8 with bet365 i'll take them] Asian 0 h'cap - 1.35 Serie A - ATALANTA v PALERMO 1-0 icon_biggrin.gif ATALANTA rated 85 Odds - 1.85 h2h - Atalanta have won 2/6 and drawn 2/6 Asian 0 h'cap - 1.3 La Liga - LEVANTE v REAL SOCIEDAD 2-1 icon_biggrin.gif LEVANTE rated 89 Odds - 2.27 h2h - Levante have won 4/4 Asian 0 h'cap - 1.6 Weds - Bundesliga - B M'GLADBACH v HAMBURG 2-2 icon_smile.gif M'GLADBACH rated 77 Odds - 2.00 h2h - M'Gladbach have won 2 and drawn from 6 Asian 0 h'cap odds - 1.35 So far the bank has increased from 100pts to 133.17pts Here's the weekends selections and recommended bets - REAL SOCIEDAD v ATH BILBAO SOCIEDAD are rated 111 Odds - 2.4 h2h - Sociedad have won 2 and drawn 2 from 6 Asian 0 H'cap odds = 1.62 Straight win odds = 2.4 UDINESE v GENOA UDINESE are rated 120 Odds - 1.95 h2h - Udinese have won 2 and drawn 1 from 5 Asian 0 odds = 1.37 Straight win = 1.95 CAGLIARI v PESCARA CAGLIARI are rated 76 Odds - 1.80 h2h - no recent h2h Asian 0 odds = 1.26 Straight win = 1.76 OSASUNA v LEVANTE OSASUNA are rated 79 Odds - 2.1 h2h - Osasuna have won 3 and drawn 1 from 5 Asian 0 odds = 1.4 Straight win = 2.1 Bet 5 is 16pts [from last weeks bet 3] placed on Saturday's only game , REAL SOCIEDAD @ 1.62. Bet 6 is a 10pt treble UDINESE / CAGLIARI / OSASUNA all on the 0 Handicap

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