Foxinexile's "Winners" - Take Two!

[foxinexile]

Hi All, Back with a few amendments and changes to my previous thread's "system" in the hope that this one can keep going for just a little longer! I was really enjoying posting selections on here, but unfortunately my method of choice to make selections was just too time-consuming to keep it going (my method was to trawl through all the day's games using the site Betdevil). Unfortunately my day-to-day duties - changing nappies, working etc - were getting in the way. Very inconvenient! So now I'm back with ... probably a very time-consuming thread!:lol We'll see! My main changes are to use Home Teams only, as the vast majority of selections on my previous thread were Homes, so it seems to make sense to select these only. I am no longer using the anticipation of one team to have a greater perceived percentage chance of winning a match than their opponents, so for this reason selections are based purely on odds and form. Last time around I ended using a flat bet staking plan; this time I'm going for a percentage of the bank, which will be set at 3%. When the bank drops below its starting point of 100pts (which it will!), the minimum bet will be 3pts. I don't see any point in reducing the stake by more than this if the bank decreases; a 3pt minimum allows (in my opinion!) plenty of bets to ascertain that the selections aren't profitable. However, if by some chance the bank increases beyond 100pts, the stakes will increase with it, always set at 3%. I'm not totally convinced on betting a percentage of a bank, but it should at least guarantee some longevity. Odds to be used are 1.6 to 2 and all professional leagues will be considered, bar the more obscure lower leagues (see, still time-consuming!), with leagues "qualifying" after 6 rounds. As the major European countries get going and if I find there are suddenly 30/40 selections at weekends, I'll consider revising which leagues to use. The whole point of the "system" is to try and identify where stronger Home teams are playing weaker Aways and therefore the selection criteria will be that the Home Team has won a minimum of 3/5 home matches and the Away Team has lost a minimum of 3/5 matches. All matches' odds will come from Bet365, and to check teams' form I will use the Soccerway website. Here's a more concise breakdown: 1. Home Team has won 3/5 Home matches; Away team has lost 3/5 Away matches. 2. Odds between 1.6 to 2. 3. Matches chosen from Bet365, form referenced using Soccerway. 4. Starting Bank is 100pts; staking is 3%, unless Bank drops below 100, in which case staking remains at 3pts until Bank reaches zero. That is all really, very simple. As with my previous thread I have no backtesting figures to present. The 100pt Bank is not real money, this is a paper trial only. :hope

[foxinexile]

Re: Foxinexile's "Winners" - Take Two! Selection for Monday 23rd July, with team bet on in bold: Valur vs Fram @ 2.00 - 20:15, Iceland Premier League (3pts staked)