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July 9 - July 15


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Re: July 9 - July 15 Back Aleksandr Dolgopolov to win ATP Umag for a 1/10 stake at 10.00 with Stan James Three small punts on the outrights this week - as always, after all. First of all, Aleksandr Dolgopolov looks like the man who can get the job done over in Umag. He has managed to win the tournament last year, beating Marin Cilic in the process - and I am more than willing to back him at this price, even though his form is not exactly great. For the full preview click here: http://www.punterslounge.com/atp-umag-betting--the-defending-champion-looks-a-bit-overpriced- Back Olivier Rochus to win ATP Newport for a 1/10 stake at 34.00 with Bet365 Crazy punt, crazy odds. Olivier Rochus has been doing well in Newport recently, reaching the finals both in 2010 and 2011. His draw is more than acceptable, as he gets to avoid the big guns - and he can certainly beat Nishikori or Istomin in a three-set match with a little bit of luck. I do like the hard-working Belgian and this looks like a huge price to me. For the full preview click here: http://www.punterslounge.com/atp-newport-betting--olivier-rochus-can-go-quite-far-once-again Back Tommy Haas to win ATP Stuttgart for a 1/10 stake at 8.00 with Stan James Tommy Haas is always worth backing over in Germany and this is a tournament he can win. Juan Monaco is the only threat in his half of the draw in all honesty and I would not have him as a huge underdog in that match-up this time around. Haas has been playing incredible stuff recently and he is going to get all the support he might need in Stuttgart. At 8.00, this might be worth a small punt. For the full preview click here: http://www.punterslounge.com/atp-stuttgart-betting--tommy-haas-to-do-well-in-home-conditions

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Re: July 9 - July 15 I'm going to take a little break from the tennis after a pretty hectic few weeks with the French, then Queen's and Wimbledon so taking a couple of weeks off. Well off from the match bets but I am going to take some outrights for interest sakes in case anyone is looking for some small punts. Having 3 in total this week like Czech... Aleksandr Dolgopolov to win ATP Umag- 9/1 Stan James- (1/10 E/W) 1-2 1/2 With Czech with regards to the Ukrainian over in Umag this week. He's the defending champ this week so he's defending plenty of points and that might just click him into gear a bit after his recent poor form. He's already made the quarters of a masters event on clay this year, beating Tsonga in the process which shows just how talented this guy is and despite looking like a chump on the court for a few weeks, he can produce some really good performances and tends to enjoy playing on the clay. He'll actually have to play some decent players if he is to retain his title but that might just suit him and give him some confidence should he win a couple of matches and with the points he'll be defending this week, this might just be the week he returns to some form. Sam Querrey to win ATP Newport- 14/1 Stan James- (1/10 E/W) 1-2 1/2 Quite like the look of the American's draw here. The fact that this tournament is played on grass should really suit Querrey after he enjoyed a pretty good grass season over in London and that should have given him confidence. Beating Raonic especially would have done him the world of good after a pretty rough year or so with injuries but his serve was working well and the more he played, the more convincing his ground strokes became. Although he's unseeded for the tournament, his draw doesn't actually particularly taxing in truth. The fact that Isner and Raonic are in the top half heavily favours Querrey, and his draw of something like Bogomolov-Dancevic/Sela-Istomin-Nishikori really won't have Querrey worrying too much as he knows he can beat all of those guys. If he gets to the final, he's actually got a pretty good record over both Isner and Raonic so he'll fancy his chances there but with the form he has coming into the tournament, I'll back him to well on grass once again this week. Juan Monaco to win ATP Stuttgart- 4/1 Bet365- (2/10 E/W) 1-2 1/2 Surprised to see just how high the price is on Monaco here really. He's back on his beloved and familiar clay now after his third round efforts in SW19 and on clay, there's actually not too many players better than him outside the top 4 and Ferrer. The Argentinian has had a really good season up to this point, winning 2 events on the clay whilst making the semis of a masters event on the hard courts which was a fine effort by Monaco and now he's back on his best surface, he'll really be up for this week. The only player I'd perhaps be a little worried about in Monaco's half is Tommy Haas but Monaco has won the last 3 matches between the two and they were on the hard courts, so I'd have Monaco a really big favourite on the clay in all honesty despite Haas' really good recent form. Monaco is a real class act on the clay and I actually can't look past him this week.

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Re: July 9 - July 15 ATP Umag Qualifier - Marco Trungelliti to beat Adrian Menendez-Maceiras @ EVENS BET 365 Strength (6/10 I'm backing Trungellliti to edge this one simply because I'm not sure how seriously the Spaniard is taking this event. He had a good run at Wimbledon and was tipped to give Russell real match but he struggled in that match and his two matches here in qualifying so far suggest he's still not at the level he should be and maybe suffering a bit of a hangover. In his match yesterday against Bradaric ( a poor player ranked 660) he lost a set 6-1 before squeaking out the third 7-5. He was pretty lucky to win basically, and that was after a similarly tough three setter the day before. Trungelliti has improved this year, reaching the semi final of a high quality Challenger and generally playing at a high level. He's been a bit shaky recently but if he plays anywhere near his top level I think he will take out a presently lacklustre Maceiras. :hope

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Re: July 9 - July 15 Back Ivan Dodig to beat Carlos Berlocq for a 1/10 stake at 3.36 with Pinnacle Two small punts for me. Was considering backing Petzschner as well and I might back him later on unofficially, but I am going to take just these two right now. Dodig is always a force in Croatia and Berlocq had a suspicious loss recently, so anything above 3.00 is well worth taking one has to feel. He will be aggressive and might be able to out-muscle the Argentinian with the support of the home crowd. For the full preview click here: http://www.punterslounge.com/dodig-vs-berlocq-betting--ivan-dodig-can-defeat-the-consistent-argentinian-in-umag Back Michael Ryderstedt to beat Filippo Volandri for a 1/10 stake at 3.34 with Pinnacle Michael Ryderstedt is always playing well for this country and this is a great opportunity for him in all honesty. Last year, he was playing really good stuff in Bastad, running Almagro close after beating M.Gonzalez and Ramirez Hidalgo. Both guys are coming here on the back of a retirement, so they might not be fully fit, but the Swede is undoubtedly going to play his heart out in front of the home crowd. For the full preview click here: http://www.punterslounge.com/ryderstedt-vs-volandri-betting--the-local-hero-can-upset-the-italian-favourite-in-bastad

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Re: July 9 - July 15 B. Paire - P. Petzschner (+1.5 SET) 1.72@unibet (5/10) Paire - Petzschner OVER 22.5 2.1@unibet (4/10) Well, my first bet after the Wimbledon Final. Just a couple days off, and right now plenty of tennis comming up, and let's get teeth into, and have a wining bets to all ;) There's a couple of questions coming into this match, who will be better coming from grass season, this is a couple of weeks before hard season starts, so diferent players playing different tourneys grass, clay .... the main question who will be prepared to theese conditions better ?! both players had some succes in wimbledon one in singles the other in doubles. The reason why Paire is named here as a fav is that he playiong really well this year, and is consistant player, but i like Petzschner here as an underdog ... for me to see a 1.72 only him to take a one set is very strange here, he's a home player and loves to play on clay; he serves pretty well theese days, so i can expect him to come up today. The main prolem for german is his eratic play for sometimes, he reminds he little bit of Almagro.. can win vs anyone, but can lose to anybody too ... But to conclude all things i think that here a +1.5 set is a must bet for me, so i'll take it on ! GL!

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Re: July 9 - July 15 ATP Newport - John Isner - Sergei Bubka OVER 20.5 GAMES @ 4/5 BET 365 Strength (9/10) Got to say I'm absolutely astonished at this line. Isner is not that great on grass and the bookies still haven't seemed to have grasped this yet despite him continually get knocked out of Wimby early. He's got a massive serve but movement and poor return hamper his progress and if he often leaves it to the end of a set before making a move. Sergei Bubka himself has a very good serve; it's probably his best asset, and he's been in very decent form recently showing a consistency that is somewhat uncharacteristic of his career so far. Isner is defending champion here and will want to do well but he often labours in early rounds and just does enough and if Bubka continues serving like he has been then this line will definately get covered. Can see a one tie-breaker at least. :hope

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Re: July 9 - July 15 Looks solid mate.............:hope Thing with Isner is that he can play tight matches with top players because of the weapons he has, but also the same with lower-ranked guys. He's a lazy returner too. Overs or + handicap looks fine here.

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Re: July 9 - July 15 Actually taking a few today as some of the odds and favourites look misplaced to me which I can't let slide. 5 in total... Sergei Bubka (+4.5 games) to beat John Isner- 5/6 Bet365- (5/10) I'm on the same thought path as Slider with regards to Isner here but I'm taking the handicap instead of the overs just in case the American wins 6-4 6-4 as he has the tendency to do from time to time. I'd be surprised if both handicap and overs weren't fine here though as they lines are too high or low depending on which one you're looking at. Isner is extremely overrated on grass and apart from his serve, he really struggles as his movement is poor whilst his returning skills aren't great by any means and he'll struggle to really get a look in on Bubka's serve here. The Ukrainian should be fairly comfortably in his own service games with the bombs he can throw down and the lack of balls Isner will return into court and on the whole, I'd expect a pretty tight affair with not many breaks whatsoever and in that, I expect the handicap to be covered here. Izak van der Merwe (+3.5 games) to beat Gilles Muller- 4/5 Bet365- (4/10) Opposing another big server with the handicap here in the shape of Gilles Muller. It's the case again that Muller really isn't that great on return and I struggle to see him causing enough problems on van der Merwe's serve to cover the handicap. In SW19, Benneteau was all over most of his service games like a rash which really isn't a good sign as if his serve goes missing or isn't working well, he's pretty much going to struggle with most players, main tour or challenger in fact. Now the South African is no world beater by any means but the fact that he's beaten James Duckworth and Adrian Mannarino here in qualification show that he's settled in nicely to the courts here and is playing some decent stuff. He lost in the final qualifying round over in London but he does generally play some decent stuff on the grass and he should have enough about him today to keep this close and cover the handicap. Grega Zemlja to beat Rajeev Ram- 4/5 Bet365- (3/10) Would personally be having Zemlja as a bigger favourite here. He's had a really good grass season thus far, winning a challenger over in Nottingham, before reaching the second round in SW19 and taking a set of Verdasco in the process so he should be high on confidence right now. His serve was working well a couple of weeks ago and on the grass, he is extremely comfortable and has enjoyed wins over the likes of Falla and Lacko in the past, whilst taking sets off Monfils and Verdasco at Wimbledon this year which shows that he's a decent player on the surface. Rajeev Ram is still pretty much a doubles specialist IMO. He has had some decent results in a few challenger events this season but he's still not a lot more than a doubles player really. Decent serve, but hasn't really got the weapons to do much once in the rallies and that's where I'd expect Zemlja to dominate a bit. Ram won their only meeting before this one, but that was on the clay and on grass, where Zemlja is a lot more comfortable, I'd expect him to run out as winner here. Marinko Matosevic to beat Jesse Levine- 5/4 Bet365- (3/10) I'd expect a pretty tight one here but overall I'd be having Matosevic as favourite. The Aussie has had his best season on the tour this year and has reached an ATP final as well as the quarters in Munich and Eastbourne as well so he's had plenty more experience in the bigger tournaments than Levine has this season. Despite reaching the second round at Wimbledon, Levine hasn't really done much else this year and it must be said that his draw over in London was a pretty good one before David Goffin beat him comfortably in the end. Levine's serve is pretty handy, with the angles he can get with his lefty serve, but he still makes far too many errors in the rallies which let him down. Matosevic has become a far more consistent player this year on the tour whilst he possesses a decent serve as well which can get him out of a trouble a fair bit. I just don't really get why the Aussie is the underdog here, considering he has beaten the likes of Ward and Gasquet on grass this year so at odds against, I feel there's a little bit of value with the man from down under over in Boznia ;) Daniel Gimeno-Traver to beat Mikhail Kukushkin- 11/8 Bet365- (3/10) Now usually, I wouldn't be going anywhere near the Spaniard here as his consistency is as poor as they come really but I feel he might be worth a small punt here. Of late, he's finally been able to put some decent performances together as he's qualified in Madrid where he went on to beat Hanescu and then take a set of Djokovic whilst only a few weeks ago, he won a challenger event in Italy where he beat the likes of Maximo Gonzalez, Starace and then Montanes in the final which was a really good effort by the Spaniard. Now of course as you'd expect, after that fine week, he's since lost to a Brit teenager at Wimbledon and then lost to Mischa Zverev a couple of weeks ago but he's had a little rest since then so he might just be ready to go for this one. It's not as though he's playing a guy who is in form either, considering Mikhail Kukushkin has lost his last 4, including to a guy ranked outside the top 200 on clay just after the French. At Wimbledon, forgetting the singles but in the doubles, he struggled to rally with Alla Kudryavtseva which tells you all you need to know about how well he is playing right now and it was the female who usually came out on top in those rallies from the baseline. Despite his inconsistencies, Gimeno-Traver does have a fair bit of quality at his disposal and if he really wants to win this one, he probably should be able to and from what I've seen of Kukushkin of late, I've not been impressed so with everything crossed in the world, I'll side with the Spaniard for this one.

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Re: July 9 - July 15 Early one for tomorrow.......... Lukas Rosol to beat Bjorn Phau -2.5 games @ 1.8 Pinnacle (4/10) Rosol is in great form atm, some super results including beating Nadal, Dodig, Baghdatis & Berlocq recently and a tightly run 1st game against Haase. Winning breds confidence and you get cant get much more that beating Rafa at SW19 and i fully expect him to beat journeyman Phau on not his favourite surface. Rosol is serving like a demon recently and a routine straight sets win will easily cover the handicap. GL

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Re: July 9 - July 15 Back Lukas Rosol (-2.5) to beat Bjorn Phau for a 1/10 stake at 1.86 with Pinnacle Backing the Czech with the small handicap here. He had a good win over Haase in round one and this seems like a really good opportunity for him to get a few ranking points. His serving was absolutely perfect and he should be dominant in most rallies with his big hitting. Phau does not have any big weapons in his arsenal and I expect him to fall well short at the end of the day. For the full preview click here: http://www.punterslounge.com/rosol-vs-phau-betting--confident-rosol-to-beat-bjorn-phau-in-stuttgart Back Joao Souza (+4.5) to beat Tommy Robredo for a 1/10 stake at 1.90 with Pinnacle Interest stakes only once again. The big Brazilian, who is coming into the match on the back of a decent victory over Zeballos, has already beaten Robredo once last year and his big hitting can do some damage once again. The Spaniard is on a comeback tour right now and it seems that he is fully cable of struggling against these big guys these days, so the handicap should get covered here in my opinion. For the full preview click here: http://www.punterslounge.com/souza-vs-robredo-betting--the-big-brazilian-can-do-well-against-tommy-robredo

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Re: July 9 - July 15 - JARKKO NIEMINEN -1.5 GAMES v Jan Hajek (ATP Bastad, R2) @ 1.86 with 188bet (7/10) It's not often we see Jan Hajek crop up in main events these days as he tends to his work on the Challenger circuit, but he's in the second round here in Bastad. His run ends here for me though. Jarkko Nieminen is a step up in class to fellow lefty Federico Del Bonis, who Hajek beat in straight sets on Monday. Although a little out of form, Nieminen has a far better serve than Hajek and more precision off the deck. Watching Hajek on Monday did not blow me away; in fact, it was more Del Bonis' errors that got Hajek the win, rather than anything inspirational the Czech did. They've met once before, but that was in 2005 on an indoor court, so there's little relevance in Nieminen's win in Luxembourg. The Finn though is a steady player capable of breaking down someone like Hajek. He defeated Feliciano Lopez at Wimbledon before losing tamely to Brian Baker, so there is the element of the unknown with him, but Hajek is average at best. It should be easy meat for Nieminen. It's also worth noting that Hajek played another lefty. Brazilian Thomaz Bellucci, in Braunschweig last week. He was thumped 6-4, 6-0. Now, Bellucci is probably a better clay courter than Nieminen, but that result shows that when the quality of opponent rises, Hajek toils. I'd have had Nieminen a lot shorter in the match. The -1.5 game handicap, therefore, appeals massively. :hope

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Re: July 9 - July 15 And another one for today ... - DUSTIN BROWN +3.5 GAMES v Benoit Paire (ATP Stuttgart, R2) @ 1.90 with 188bet (7/10) I'm surprised that this line is so high on Dustin Brown. Benoit Paire is a worthy favourite, yet Brown has beaten him in their only meeting, which was on clay, and can be a dangerous player on any surface. The Jamaican-born German is a very unorthodox player. He's got a truncated forehand and backhand and loves attacking the net. His serve is very strong, especially as a lefty, and he's flamboyant. He's the sort of player who can get under the skin of mentally weak players and I suspect that could happen to Paire. The Frenchman is having a good year but I'm yet to be convinced that he can see out matches straightforwardly. He's a very aggresive player and does make errors, and his flair can sometimes leave him vulnerable. Against Brown, in Germany, this is a tough ask for him to do it comfortably. He'll have to play very well. Brown actually beat Paire in Rome on clay last year in three sets. That's a good indicator of the problems the German can cause him. He defeated Nikolay Davydenko in Round 1 in an epic and that will have built his confidence up. There's a strong chance he could follow up that win with a good showing here. I expected Paire to be the favourite, as he's ranked higher and is in good form. But the plus is far too big for me to ignore. :hope

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Re: July 9 - July 15 ATP Newport - Isner vs Mahut TIE BREAK IN MATCH: YES @ 4/6 (Coral:5pts) What needs to be said here, these two know eachother well from their Wimbledon matches and you'd have to think tight sets will be the order of the day. Isner a beast on serve, quite lazy and casual on return, lots of sloppy errors. Mahut wont be easy to break for him either, will surely have plenty of cheap service games with his style charging the net behind his serve and he loves grass.Isner came through Bubka in 3 sets yesterday, as expected by many on the forum it was a tighter match than the odds suggested. Mahut came through in 2 against Chuidinelli, and he should be competitive today. Surprised if there's not a breaker here, would price it no higher than 1/2 so price acceptable for me. Thinking about Jankovic-Vandeweghe aswell, mulling over which bet makes most sense.

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Re: July 9 - July 15 ATP Newport - 20.00 Sock J. - Van der Merwe I. Odds are dropping on Van der Merwe and their is a good result for. He is in good form on this surface and had playing some good matches already here. Good victory yesterday against Muller in a very long match and he serving very well. But had playing well on the other grass tournaments this season. Sock will be play in his own country, but he playing yesterday is first match on grass and he is coming from hardcourt. He is the numer 345 off the world and he don't impressed me in the times that i saw him playing. See a lot of value here in this low odd. 3/10 Van der Merwe @ 1.50 Pinnacle (Some Eurobookies have 1.55) (fair odd = 1.40)

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Re: July 9 - July 15 Back Bernard Tomic (+4) to beat Thomaz Bellucci for a 2/10 stake at 2.08 with Pinnacle Not a great couple of days for me (both handicap lines actually moved in my direction yesterday, but it did not help at all), but the danger should be over now and I am going to increase my stakes by one point for today's selections. Bernard Tomic is struggling these days, but I expect him to do well in Stuttgart for some reason. He will bounce back at some point and this can be it, as Bellucci seemed pretty average (and perhaps tired) in the first round. Kern was not able to get the job done, but Tomic should be able to compete on equal terms and the handicap line looks a bit low. For the full preview click here: http://www.punterslounge.com/tomic-vs-bellucci-betting--bernard-tomic-can-do-some-damage-in-stuttgart Back Alessandro Giannessi to beat Daniel Gimeno-Traver for a 2/10 stake at 2.24 with Pinnacle The second bet comes from Bastad. Gimeno-Traver has beaten Kukushkin and that might look nice, but, as fishy25 mentioned, Kukushkin is on a WTA level these days. Giannessi is a tough youngster that has already beaten the Spaniard twice with one win coming from 2012 and I can see him repeating that today. Gimeno-Traver might be worth it as an underdog, but not as a favourite against someone who has beaten him twice without dropping a set. For the full preview click here: http://www.punterslounge.com/giannessi-vs-gimeno-traver-betting--alessandro-giannessi-to-defeat-the-inconsistent-spaniard

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Re: July 9 - July 15

ATP Newport - 20.00 Sock J. - Van der Merwe I. Odds are dropping on Van der Merwe and their is a good result for. He is in good form on this surface and had playing some good matches already here. Good victory yesterday against Muller in a very long match and he serving very well. But had playing well on the other grass tournaments this season. Sock will be play in his own country, but he playing yesterday is first match on grass and he is coming from hardcourt. He is the numer 345 off the world and he don't impressed me in the times that i saw him playing. See a lot of value here in this low odd. 3/10 Van der Merwe @ 1.50 Pinnacle (Some Eurobookies have 1.55) (fair odd = 1.40)
0-2, WIN!
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Re: July 9 - July 15 Jelena Jankovic -4 vs Coco Vandeweghe. 1.91 @ Pinnacle (6/10) For those who want to get involved in this match but have not decided on the line, I'd suggest play handicap on JJ at -4 games. There's -3.5 also available, but with poor odds. Unders are good as well but I'm slightly worried Jankovic might get off to a slow start as she has not played for some time and generally speaking lacks form. Having said that, the match-up against Coco is very good. See, Vandeweghe is all about serve. When serve goes down, she's done. Having already played 3 matches here, she'll be a bit tired as Coco is not the fittest girl on tour. Jankovic is known for her defensive skills and will make Coco struggle today. Baseline rallies should be dominated by the Serbian. H2H is very conclusive here as JJ leads 2-0 and has lost just 7 games in two matches combined. The last one was 6-2, 6-1 in Indian Wells last year. Can't say she had much better form back then...

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Re: July 9 - July 15

Back Aleksandr Dolgopolov to win ATP Umag for a 1/10 stake at 10.00 with Stan James So what do you think now? [TABLE=class: team] [TR] [TD=class: tname-away face-enable][TABLE=class: team] [TR] [TD=class: tname-home face-enable]Fognini F. (Ita)[/TD] [TD=class: current-result]-[/TD] [TD=class: tname-away face-enable]Dolgopolov A. (Ukr)[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] odds are dropping on Fognini. [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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Re: July 9 - July 15 VANDERWHEGE VS JANKOVIC These two have met twice previously and JJ has won both convincingly. I really should be expecting JJ to dish out more of the same except that I have very serious reservations. Firstly, this is really a bad time to start backing headless favorites especially after a slam and in-between the wait for the Olympics. Jankovic has been in near dismal form for a few months now and I am not expecting anything to change in a hurry. JJ has no reason to really get worked up about trying to play well as it gives her no added advantage. Further more considering the gulf between them in ranking, JJ should be much shorter than 1/3. She also has to compete from a cold take off point - the bye doing more harm than good. Her opponent conversely has been in respectable form bar falling in the wimbledon qualifying rounds. She has also served notice of intent with a spanking over czink. I am not saying JJ cannot win; it just looks sensible to go with the home babe who has something to prove. If it looks too easy, then it probably isnt. Every stat points to a JJ win. That itself does not bode well coupled with the fact that it is now public knowledge. My verdict, abstain or take Coco to cover the handicap confidently..and I say this without stuttering lol!! If you are gutsy enough a Coco win lurks large!!! Gl all.

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Re: July 9 - July 15 LOL. Jankovic still doing what she's best at. Like they say, some things never change. Didn't think she'll have the nerve to do it against hopeless tennis player like Vandeweghe but she did. 4-2 up and then there was no interest..

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