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slider24

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About slider24

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  • Birthday 09/28/1982
  1. Re: April 1 - April 7 Leon Challenger - Manuel Sanchez to beat Thomas Fabbiano @ 7/1 BET 365 Strength (5/10) Unbelievable odds here IMO. Obviously Fabbiano should be fave but the bookies seem to be reading way too much into Sanchez's loss to Millman on the clay last week. Firstly that tournament is a joke as the standard of tennis all week has been diabolical and secondly Sanchez unusually for a Mexican is far better on faster surfaces than on clay. Yesterday he fired down 13 aces in a pretty impressive win over the dangerous Aussie Chris Guccione and only faced a couple of break points. Fabbiano really isn't that much better or established on hard than Guccione so there's no reason why today should be a tougher task. Also Fabbiano had a tough match yesterday against a pretty limited player in Wolmarens that he was quite fortunate to win so he's not exactly playing great. These two actually played each other on grass last year and although Fabbiano won 6/2 7/6 it was actually a pretty competitive match in the end so in his home country and coming off a fine serving display yesterday then Sanchez at 7/1 is far too big. :hope
  2. Re: April 1 - April 7 WTA Monterrey - Alexandra Stevenson to beat Laura Pous-Tio @ 11/4 BET 365 Strength (5/10) Pous-Tio too short here IMO. Apart from a two week spell a couple of years ago when she did well here in Monterrey and Indian Wells she's very average on hard court and way more at home on a clay court. She lacks power on the hard stuff and could well find Stevenson's power too tough to handle. People may remember Stevenson reaching the Wimbledon semi-finals back in 1999. She's 32 now and he has fallen off the map with injuries etc but she's still capable of playing decent tennis and has played pretty well recently, pushing Monica Puig ( a far better hard court player than Pous-Tio) close a few weeks back and she did well yesterday in her match. She will hope to improve her first serve percentage but regardless, Pous-Tio had coughed up 13 break points on her own serve yesterday against a mediocre player so serve probably won't matter much today and Stevenson should get plenty of chances that in her current form she should take. :hope
  3. Re: March 18 - March 31 Sergiy Stakhovsky to beat Lukas Rosol @ 10/11 BET 365 Strength (7/10) Good price on Stakhovsky here. For me he's just the more well-rounded player, can play from the back of the court and also come to net and end points there as well. Ultimately it is this variation, his consistency, and more 'clutch' play in vital moments that IMO will win him the match here. Obviously Rosol will have periods where he will hit through the Ukranian but he was softened up by Sela yesterday and I doubt his ability to come back today and bring enough intensity to win the match in the manner he'll need to to win, because in a close matches Stakhovsky is more likely to hold his nerve. :hope
  4. Re: March 18 - March 31 Le Gosier - Gonzalo Lama to beat Matthias Bachinger @ 6/1 BET 365 Strength (5/10) Bit of a long shot I suppose but definately feel there is a possibilty of an upset. Bachinger has been high-rolling in the big events recently, not really doing much but alot of travelling, and now he comes back to down to earth to the Challenger circuit just before the clay season begins Europe. You have to wonder if after his defeat to Smyzcek in Miami whether or not he's just mentally wrote off the hard court season. Last year he didn't even play a tournament after Miami - preferring to have a couple of weeks off after to prepare for Casablanca, so it's not as if he's defending anything. The conditions are also very tough; extremely hot and humid, and windy(Lacko retired with sunstroke). These sort of elements probably suit Lama down to the ground, being a clay grinder from Chile. He's had two matches here so he's used to the surface and conditions, and he's also a very talented player. The reason he's so big of course is that he rarely plays on hard but he did take Bruges-Davi to a tie-break a year ago on the surface and he looks to be a player that wants to make his mark on all surfaces (along with compatriot Garin). Worth a shot. :hope
  5. Re: March 18 - March 31 Martin Kilzan to beat Jarrko Nieminen @ 6/4 BET 365 Strength (6/10) Fancy Klizan to get his season finally up and running here. He had a tough loss against Lu last week but at least it showed he's pretty fit and and in decent nick. If he is in good shape I think Klizan has too much for Nieminen from the back of the court, especially on these slower courts. He can spar all day and I think he'll eventually overwhelm the Finn who these days struggles to really string together good performances. He was on the cusp of a first round exit against Nalbandian in the first round, getting outplayed, and then he rallied to sneak through in three. Good result but with Fat Dave in the twilight of his career you have to wonder how much of it was him physically and mentally flagging rather than the Finn playing great tennis. I don't think Klizen will be quite as charitable and I as I said, Nieminen just struggles to maintain intensity these days so a repeat of that stoic resistance is unlikely. :hope
  6. Re: March 18 - March 31 Yeah shame he was so stiff and unprepared in the first set. He showed how much of a bull he can be when he gets warmed up. He's a big dude with limited mobility as it is so if his ankle is not right then he's too reliant on the serve.
  7. Re: March 18 - March 31 Haas strolled it really bar a mental lapse in the second set. Never backing against him again, that's for sure. Mr. Consistent.
  8. Re: March 18 - March 31 ATP Miami - Igor Sijsling to beat Tommy Haas @ 2/1 BET 365 Strength (6/10) Good price on Sijsling here. He's a player that seems to be maturing and improving all the time (bar the odd flat performance) and he'll fancy his chances of finishing off what he couldn't in Delray Beach when he had Haas on the rack but injury curtailed his progress and forced him to retire. He lost a tight match to Nieminen in Indian Wells and flaffed about a bit in Dallas but I feel he's saving a big performance for Miami and a chance to make another statement that he belongs at this level. Haas is playing well but toiled a bit in Indian Wells and doesn't have a great record here. I don't think we'll see him at his best here and I fancy Sijsling to bully his way through with his powerful all court game. :hope
  9. Re: March 18 - March 31 Christian has sent his big burly bodyguard Daniel Brands to play for him instead.
  10. Re: March 4 - March 17 Dallas Challenger - Tatsumo Ito to beat Bobby Reynolds @ 13/8 BET 365 Strength (5/10) Good time to fade Reynolds here. He's had a pretty gruelling couple of weeks in Delray Beach and Indian Wells where he won alot of close matches and was on the verge of knocking out Mardy Fish but choked a bit in the third set. He would have expended alot of energy and intensity over the last couple of weeks so we might see a little dip from him here. He's not defending any ranking points in Dallas(after losing heavily to Lacko in the first round last year) and he's schedule to play in Canada next week so he might look at this as an opportunity to rest up for that. Reynolds is a grinder though and attitude is his strong point so we won't see a blatant tank but his game relies on hussle and if he's not 100% then he's beatable, especially if Ito turns up. The Japanese lost heavily to a hot Donskoy last week but he's good player on his day, not a big server but very good off the ground and I think he's got good chance of knocking off the American. He's also not scheduled to play anywhere next week so his full focus should be on this tournament. :hope
  11. Re: March 4 - March 17 Dallas Challenger - Andre Begemann to beat Matteo Viola @ 4/1 BET 365 Strength (4/10) Definitely feel Viola is due a tank. He's had a pretty strenuous schedule in recent months, trying and in part succeeding in making an impression on the main tour. He was unlucky against Odesnik in Indian Wells qualies and he's also pencilled in to play Miami qualies next week. You have to wonder whether he might look to conserve energy here. He doesn't have any points to defend and he's not a stranger to not putting up much a fight in first round matches if he's not motivated(check out some of his results last year) and Begemann, although a mediocre journeyman, can be a pretty decent player and should enjoy the conditions here in Dallas. :hope
  12. Re: March 4 - March 17 Challenger Sarajevo - Pierre-Hughes Herbert to beat Cedric-Marcel Stebe @ 2/1 BET 365 Strength (6/10) In the battle of the triple-barrelled I think Herbert has a real chance to emerge victorious. Stebe is the better player without doubt but he's been out for around six weeks with an injury despite initially saying he would be out for only a couple of weeks - so it must have been pretty serious. He's coming back to a pretty to tough task ; facing a huge serving Frenchman in the fastest indoor court out there. Sarajevo is like an ice rink and really suits the big servers and Herbert has a big one. The rest of his game leaves a bit to be desired and he's been a bit dodgy recently but he plays better in Europe (won a futures event in France in January) and if he serves like he can he'll be very hard to break, especially with Stebe being rusty and possibly not fully fit. The Frenchman is definately value. :hope
  13. Re: March 4 - March 17 Andujar should've won that second set really. Better player and was in most of Haas's service games until the tie-break when he just capitulated. Haas is just so annoyingly consistent, you would think at his age he would throw these guys a bone once in a while!
  14. Re: March 4 - March 17 Pablo Andujar to beat Tommy Haas @ 6/1 BET 365 Strength (4/10) Smaller stakes here but feel Andujar is being underestimated a bit. He's touted as a clay courter but apart from Casablanca(which he's won two years in a row) he's actually better on hard court than the dirt. He played well here last year taking a set off Djokovic and over the last couple of years he pushed quite a few top guys pretty close in these sort of tournaments. He seems to be enjoy playing in America that's for sure. Haas is a class player despite his age and he also doesn't make a habit of losing too often in these types of matches but he was quite close to losing against Sijsling in Delray and ended up losing a tough match against Gulbis in the semi-finals so he could still be suffering a bit of a hangover from that. He's 34 as well and has had a pretty tough schedule, and although he's always been consistent I think he could be vulnerable here against a player he's expected to beat easily and especially in conditions that are an acquired taste. He lost to Granollers here last year and if Andujar plays as well as he can he's capable of pulling off the upset. :hope