Argument On Paradise

[GETT1NLOTS]

I had just been knocked out of the tourney that Billy set up for the PL boys when I thought I would play a cash table to pass some time before the Big Brother final. Anyway.... I have A 10 (both spades). 4 callers. The flop comes K, J, 3 (Two spades - so I am nut flushing) The pot is at $20 and a raise comes in at $10. A call at $10. The pot is now at $40. I call making the pot $50. The turn comes. I think it is a 6 or something but not a spade. The original raiser raises again another $10. Another calls at $10. The pot is now $70. I call making the pot $80. The seven of spades comes. (I have the nuts). The original raiser goes all in about another $20. He gets called again by player two. I call the $20 and reraise another $20. I get called on the side pot. Total pot is about $180. The original raiser goes bananas as I rake the pot and he says "Bullshit". I ask why and he says I had a no chance of hitting that last card. I say I have about a 20% chance considering I know 4 spades are out before the river (two in my hand and two on the table). He says that I had a 5% chance of hitting a spade. Eh? Now I'm sure this is bullshit and I told him so but...... He typed back that this is not the way you calculate the chances of hitting that last card. Well maybe it wasn't 20% as I was thinking fast as you have to - but 5%? What the fcuk? No way. Surely? Can someone..... ok .... Jezza..... enlighten me as I am sure I am right but I need it to be confirmed. PS - I know the call after the flop might have been slightly against me (odds wise) but you sometimes find it hard to lay down a nuts draw for the sake of a few percent - well I do anyway. PPS - I ended up $105 so you can all stick your tourney up your bum. :tongue2 :tongue2

[Jezza]

Re: Argument On Paradise Yep the chance of hitting a spade last card was about 20% (roughly) - you also had the chance of hitting the Q for the nut straight which is about an extra 9% so I think you had a great draw and the guy is just a sore loser :lol Jez