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NCAAB (2011/2012)


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Elon -8.5 , 2.62 bet365 , 10units ( Elon - Furman ) - points per game 67:59 ; FG% 42:38 ; 3FG% 36:30 ; rebounds per game 39:36 ; turnovers per game 16:14. Elon plays at home. They will give their best while they can and then they will make subs and continue like that. They can do that because they have long bench. Furman not so much , so this is a marathon and not a spint for Elon. They will win this one in the second half. La Salle -8.5 , 2.60 bet365 , 10units ( La Salle - Northeastern ) - points per game 73:73 ; FG% 42:44 ; 3FG% 36:34 ; rebounds per game 35:41 ; turnovers per game 12:17. Two close teams buth I think La Salle is better. they lost in close games against Pittsburgh and Villanova. northeastern defends well against teams that try to score from the paint because in the paint they have advantage over most teams. But that's only when defending. La Salle can do more than just try to penetrate defense , they can shoot well and they will need to do so if they are to win. Colorado -2.5 , 2.75 bet365 , 10units ( Colorado State - Colorado ) - points per game 71:74 ; FG% 45:47 ; 3FG% 44:38 ; rebounds per game 31:38 ; turnovers per game 12:13. This is my pick of the night. Colorado is just slightly better at everything. They can turn close games in their favour and that's the most important ability for this game. Colorado State is nothing special. They did not have any big wins so far and that's another reason that made me favour Colorado in this one. Virginia Tech -2.5 , 2.75 bet365 , 10units ( Minnesota - Virginia Tech ) - points per game 75:71 ; FG% 47:46 ; 3FG% 34:40 ; rebounds per game 36:36 ; turnovers per game 16:14. Neither of these two teams had some really tough games so far. There were a few close ones but nothing to really show what the y are capable of. Because of that the stats can be Indicator and it says Virginia Tech should win becaue they can shoot threes much better , and make fewer turnovers. San Diego State -6.5 , 2.62 bet365 , 10units ( San Diego State - Creighton ) - points per game 71:90 ; FG% 44:54 ; 3FG% 33:45 ; rebounds per game 39:38 ; turnovers per game 14:12. Creighton won against Iowa and that makes me think they are a good side. But when I saw San Diego State's results I had no doubt about who to choose. They won against Arizona and Santa Barbara in their last two games. That's simply impressive and you have to bet on them because those two wins qualify them to win big against Creighton. Craighton's 54% shooting is not real and it has to come down into 40s and what better game for that to happen. NC Wilmington -5.5 , 3.40 bet365 , 10units ( Toledo - NC Wilmington ) - points per game 80:61 ; FG% 49:42 ; 3FG% 41:28 ; rebounds per game 31:34 ; turnovers per game 13:16. Toledo to win by 20+. That's what it looks like , but ... NC Wilmington played against much tougher opponents than Toledo did and tonight it's NC wilmington who is the favourite and not Toledo if you ask me. I'm not saying a 20+ win for NC Wilmington but they are better and the schedule they had so far suggested they will win at most once. Their easiest game by far is tonight and they will prove it. USC -10.5 , 3.60 bet365 , 10units ( Riverside - USC ) - points per game 56:57 ; FG% 38:43 ; 3FG% 27:29 ; rebounds per game 35:30 ; turnovers per game 13:14. I took Riverside once and I will not bet on them for a while. They played against a poor team and still they could not close the game and not just that , they even lost it. USC is also not great , I did not watch them but surely they are stronger than Riverside. The spread is really set high on my side but I can not forgett tha Riverside's performance and the only thing that comes to mind is blowout. UAB -7.5 , 2.35 bet365 , 10units ( South Alabama - UAB ) - points per game 64:57 ; FG% 39:40 ; 3FG% 19:23 ; rebounds per game 38:36 ; turnovers per game 16:15. South Alabama not good. UAB not good. UAB better. That's all there is to this. I dont care 'what you think but if a team is shooting 19% ! for threes and played just one tough game that's good enough to me to bet against them. UAB did play a couple of tough games so I can have some understanding for their poor stats. UAB wins. St Josephs -8.5 , 2.62 bet365 , 10units ( St Josephs - Drexel ) - points per game 75:60 ; FG% 49:41 ; 3FG% 44:28 ; rebounds per game 36:37 ; turnovers per game 15:14. Drexel will have a chance in this one because their defense is great , but I think St josephs offense is just too good for Drexel to keep them under 60. I expect this one to be a close game but eventually Drexel will have to rest some players either because they get tired or because they get in foul trouble and that's when St Josephs will build up their lead. Tulsa ML , 2.90 bet365 , 10units ( Oklahoma State - Tulsa ) - points per game 72:65 ; FG% 43:44 ; 3FG% 32:35 ; rebounds per game 41:41 ; turnovers per game 12:15. Tulsa is a tough team to break. And that will decide the winner today. They will give their everything to win and Oklahoma State is not to eager to win. At least that is my impression. Just enough in Tulsa to edge it here. William&Mary ML , 4.10 bet365 , 10units ( William&Mary - Richmond ) - points per game 59:67 ; FG% 39:40 ; 3FG% 30:36 ; rebounds per game 32:33 ; turnovers per game 16:12. Somehow I have that impression that all of W&M's turnovers came in that game against St John's. They are a team with most threes attempted in NCAAB and that 30% is more points than Richmond's 36%. Don't follow me on this one , it's along shot. But after not conceding more than 69 in three straight games I have to try and go for W&M to win this one. Massachusetts -24.5 , 2.10 bet365 , 10units ( Massachusetts - Towson ) - points per game 76:50 ; FG% 42:39 ; 3FG% 30:28 ; rebounds per game 41:37 ; turnovers per game 15:23. Big difference between these two teams. Towson lost big against all the better teams they had played. They don't have quality players in offense , they are not doing well when under pressure. Massachusetts score 80-90 points against weaker teams. So a good offensive team against a team that does not attack well , clear choice to me. Kansas -23.5 , 2.35 bet365 , 10units ( Kansas - Florida Atlantic ) - points per game 73:68 ; FG% 47:42 ; 3FG% 36:37 ; rebounds per game 35:36 ; turnovers per game 13:13. Kansas played against two of the best 5 teams so far and they lost , but they did not lose by much. I think they will win at least one of two against the same opponents if they meet again in a few months. Kansas is a quality side and will have an easy game for the first time against winning against Towson by 50+in the first game of the sesaon for them. Despite the stats above Florida Atlantic can not make this a close game. New Mexico -25.5 , 2.50 bet365 , 10units ( New Mexico - Idaho State ) - points per game 74:70 ; FG% 46:43 ; 3FG% 39:31 ; rebounds per game 37:35 ; turnovers per game 16:16. Out of all three games with high spreads for tonight I'm the least confident about this one. New Mexico should be able to win big but like Texas and Cincinnati last night , they don't seem to do that for whatever reason. However , they are a good shooting team so all they need to win by 20+ here is to play some good defense for about 7-10 minutes. I believe they will have their first big win of the season tonight. Gonzaga -18.5 , 3.25 bet365 , 10units ( Gonzaga - Notre Dame ) - points per game 79:72 ; FG% 43:44 ; 3FG% 39:38 ; rebounds per game 39:36 ; turnovers per game 13:10. I thought when the season started Notre Dame would play much better than they are right now. They don't do well against similar strength teams and then especially don't do well against stronger teams. Gonzaga is stronger. Gonzaga improved their defense since the season started and after winning by 5-10 they are now capable of winning in double digits. And since ND can't cope with stronger Ds I'll bet really big Gonzaga win. Marshall -14.5 , 3.40 bet365 , 10units ( Marshall - Ohio ) - points per game 70:71 ; FG% 44:40 ; 3FG% 27:37 ; rebounds per game 43:38 ; turnovers per game 16:13. Both teams are playing good basketball. Ohio is more kind of a team I like , they focus more on defending than on attacking. They lost by 5 to Louisville in their last game. I see this one being a close game until 7-8 minutes left in the second half. Fouls and Marshalls tough defense should be able to finish off Ohio in the final minutes despite Ohio shooting well for three points so far. But I have to say I'm counting on Ohio to get into foul trouble in order for me to get this one right. Michigan State -14.5 , 3.40 bet365 , 10units ( Michigan State - Florida State ) - points per game 68:72 ; FG% 42:46 ; 3FG% 24:35 ; rebounds per game 44:41 ; turnovers per game 17:18. Continuation of Big 10 vs ACC challenge. Big 10 leads and they should be able to extend the lead tonight. At least after this game. Michigan State and Florida State are closely matched teams , but the thing about this game is, I just can not back Florida State after I watched that game against Harvard. They were awful and failed to score in the opening 10:30 minutes. North Carolina -13.5 , 3.25 bet365 , 10units ( North Carolina - Wisconsin ) - points per game 88:73 ; FG% 50:49 ; 3FG% 42:47 ; rebounds per game 42:40 ; turnovers per game 13:9. Fired up crowd , quality players. Enough for North Carolina to prove to everyone just how strong they are this season. Yes Wisconsin is 1st in their division but they were not trully tested in my opinion. North Carolina had a few tough ones. I have no doubt here , North Carolina's offense is a joy to watch and this is Wisconsin's first true test and on road and in front of a hostile crowd. Drake -1AH , 3.30 bet365 , 10units ( Boise State - Drake ) - points per game 82:68 ; FG% 47:47 ; 3FG% 40:36 ; rebounds per game 35:34 ; turnovers per game 12:17. I've seen Drake play and I like them. They can play really good basketball at times but their defense should handle Boise State as Boise State is nothing special. Drake played some tougher teams than Boise State so far and they did well , so I think based on what I saw watching them and based on Boise State's results Drake will win by 3-7 points. South Florida ML , 2.80 bet365 , 10units ( VCU - South Florida ) - points per game 63:66 ; FG% 37:46 ; 3FG% 31:37 ; rebounds per game 33:36 ; turnovers per game 14:13. VCU don't do well against pressuring defense and South Florida will give them exactly that at time in this match. The outcome of this match depends on two things. VCU's FT percentage and how many FT they will shoot. I think SF will win because of VCU's problems against press defense and that's it.

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