NCAAB (2011/2012)

[WeakestLink]

Elon -8.5 , 2.62 bet365 , 10units ( Elon - Furman ) - points per game 67:59 ; FG% 42:38 ; 3FG% 36:30 ; rebounds per game 39:36 ; turnovers per game 16:14. Elon plays at home. They will give their best while they can and then they will make subs and continue like that. They can do that because they have long bench. Furman not so much , so this is a marathon and not a spint for Elon. They will win this one in the second half. La Salle -8.5 , 2.60 bet365 , 10units ( La Salle - Northeastern ) - points per game 73:73 ; FG% 42:44 ; 3FG% 36:34 ; rebounds per game 35:41 ; turnovers per game 12:17. Two close teams buth I think La Salle is better. they lost in close games against Pittsburgh and Villanova. northeastern defends well against teams that try to score from the paint because in the paint they have advantage over most teams. But that's only when defending. La Salle can do more than just try to penetrate defense , they can shoot well and they will need to do so if they are to win. Colorado -2.5 , 2.75 bet365 , 10units ( Colorado State - Colorado ) - points per game 71:74 ; FG% 45:47 ; 3FG% 44:38 ; rebounds per game 31:38 ; turnovers per game 12:13. This is my pick of the night. Colorado is just slightly better at everything. They can turn close games in their favour and that's the most important ability for this game. Colorado State is nothing special. They did not have any big wins so far and that's another reason that made me favour Colorado in this one. Virginia Tech -2.5 , 2.75 bet365 , 10units ( Minnesota - Virginia Tech ) - points per game 75:71 ; FG% 47:46 ; 3FG% 34:40 ; rebounds per game 36:36 ; turnovers per game 16:14. Neither of these two teams had some really tough games so far. There were a few close ones but nothing to really show what the y are capable of. Because of that the stats can be Indicator and it says Virginia Tech should win becaue they can shoot threes much better , and make fewer turnovers. San Diego State -6.5 , 2.62 bet365 , 10units ( San Diego State - Creighton ) - points per game 71:90 ; FG% 44:54 ; 3FG% 33:45 ; rebounds per game 39:38 ; turnovers per game 14:12. Creighton won against Iowa and that makes me think they are a good side. But when I saw San Diego State's results I had no doubt about who to choose. They won against Arizona and Santa Barbara in their last two games. That's simply impressive and you have to bet on them because those two wins qualify them to win big against Creighton. Craighton's 54% shooting is not real and it has to come down into 40s and what better game for that to happen. NC Wilmington -5.5 , 3.40 bet365 , 10units ( Toledo - NC Wilmington ) - points per game 80:61 ; FG% 49:42 ; 3FG% 41:28 ; rebounds per game 31:34 ; turnovers per game 13:16. Toledo to win by 20+. That's what it looks like , but ... NC Wilmington played against much tougher opponents than Toledo did and tonight it's NC wilmington who is the favourite and not Toledo if you ask me. I'm not saying a 20+ win for NC Wilmington but they are better and the schedule they had so far suggested they will win at most once. Their easiest game by far is tonight and they will prove it. USC -10.5 , 3.60 bet365 , 10units ( Riverside - USC ) - points per game 56:57 ; FG% 38:43 ; 3FG% 27:29 ; rebounds per game 35:30 ; turnovers per game 13:14. I took Riverside once and I will not bet on them for a while. They played against a poor team and still they could not close the game and not just that , they even lost it. USC is also not great , I did not watch them but surely they are stronger than Riverside. The spread is really set high on my side but I can not forgett tha Riverside's performance and the only thing that comes to mind is blowout. UAB -7.5 , 2.35 bet365 , 10units ( South Alabama - UAB ) - points per game 64:57 ; FG% 39:40 ; 3FG% 19:23 ; rebounds per game 38:36 ; turnovers per game 16:15. South Alabama not good. UAB not good. UAB better. That's all there is to this. I dont care 'what you think but if a team is shooting 19% ! for threes and played just one tough game that's good enough to me to bet against them. UAB did play a couple of tough games so I can have some understanding for their poor stats. UAB wins. St Josephs -8.5 , 2.62 bet365 , 10units ( St Josephs - Drexel ) - points per game 75:60 ; FG% 49:41 ; 3FG% 44:28 ; rebounds per game 36:37 ; turnovers per game 15:14. Drexel will have a chance in this one because their defense is great , but I think St josephs offense is just too good for Drexel to keep them under 60. I expect this one to be a close game but eventually Drexel will have to rest some players either because they get tired or because they get in foul trouble and that's when St Josephs will build up their lead. Tulsa ML , 2.90 bet365 , 10units ( Oklahoma State - Tulsa ) - points per game 72:65 ; FG% 43:44 ; 3FG% 32:35 ; rebounds per game 41:41 ; turnovers per game 12:15. Tulsa is a tough team to break. And that will decide the winner today. They will give their everything to win and Oklahoma State is not to eager to win. At least that is my impression. Just enough in Tulsa to edge it here. William&Mary ML , 4.10 bet365 , 10units ( William&Mary - Richmond ) - points per game 59:67 ; FG% 39:40 ; 3FG% 30:36 ; rebounds per game 32:33 ; turnovers per game 16:12. Somehow I have that impression that all of W&M's turnovers came in that game against St John's. They are a team with most threes attempted in NCAAB and that 30% is more points than Richmond's 36%. Don't follow me on this one , it's along shot. But after not conceding more than 69 in three straight games I have to try and go for W&M to win this one. Massachusetts -24.5 , 2.10 bet365 , 10units ( Massachusetts - Towson ) - points per game 76:50 ; FG% 42:39 ; 3FG% 30:28 ; rebounds per game 41:37 ; turnovers per game 15:23. Big difference between these two teams. Towson lost big against all the better teams they had played. They don't have quality players in offense , they are not doing well when under pressure. Massachusetts score 80-90 points against weaker teams. So a good offensive team against a team that does not attack well , clear choice to me. Kansas -23.5 , 2.35 bet365 , 10units ( Kansas - Florida Atlantic ) - points per game 73:68 ; FG% 47:42 ; 3FG% 36:37 ; rebounds per game 35:36 ; turnovers per game 13:13. Kansas played against two of the best 5 teams so far and they lost , but they did not lose by much. I think they will win at least one of two against the same opponents if they meet again in a few months. Kansas is a quality side and will have an easy game for the first time against winning against Towson by 50+in the first game of the sesaon for them. Despite the stats above Florida Atlantic can not make this a close game. New Mexico -25.5 , 2.50 bet365 , 10units ( New Mexico - Idaho State ) - points per game 74:70 ; FG% 46:43 ; 3FG% 39:31 ; rebounds per game 37:35 ; turnovers per game 16:16. Out of all three games with high spreads for tonight I'm the least confident about this one. New Mexico should be able to win big but like Texas and Cincinnati last night , they don't seem to do that for whatever reason. However , they are a good shooting team so all they need to win by 20+ here is to play some good defense for about 7-10 minutes. I believe they will have their first big win of the season tonight. Gonzaga -18.5 , 3.25 bet365 , 10units ( Gonzaga - Notre Dame ) - points per game 79:72 ; FG% 43:44 ; 3FG% 39:38 ; rebounds per game 39:36 ; turnovers per game 13:10. I thought when the season started Notre Dame would play much better than they are right now. They don't do well against similar strength teams and then especially don't do well against stronger teams. Gonzaga is stronger. Gonzaga improved their defense since the season started and after winning by 5-10 they are now capable of winning in double digits. And since ND can't cope with stronger Ds I'll bet really big Gonzaga win. Marshall -14.5 , 3.40 bet365 , 10units ( Marshall - Ohio ) - points per game 70:71 ; FG% 44:40 ; 3FG% 27:37 ; rebounds per game 43:38 ; turnovers per game 16:13. Both teams are playing good basketball. Ohio is more kind of a team I like , they focus more on defending than on attacking. They lost by 5 to Louisville in their last game. I see this one being a close game until 7-8 minutes left in the second half. Fouls and Marshalls tough defense should be able to finish off Ohio in the final minutes despite Ohio shooting well for three points so far. But I have to say I'm counting on Ohio to get into foul trouble in order for me to get this one right. Michigan State -14.5 , 3.40 bet365 , 10units ( Michigan State - Florida State ) - points per game 68:72 ; FG% 42:46 ; 3FG% 24:35 ; rebounds per game 44:41 ; turnovers per game 17:18. Continuation of Big 10 vs ACC challenge. Big 10 leads and they should be able to extend the lead tonight. At least after this game. Michigan State and Florida State are closely matched teams , but the thing about this game is, I just can not back Florida State after I watched that game against Harvard. They were awful and failed to score in the opening 10:30 minutes. North Carolina -13.5 , 3.25 bet365 , 10units ( North Carolina - Wisconsin ) - points per game 88:73 ; FG% 50:49 ; 3FG% 42:47 ; rebounds per game 42:40 ; turnovers per game 13:9. Fired up crowd , quality players. Enough for North Carolina to prove to everyone just how strong they are this season. Yes Wisconsin is 1st in their division but they were not trully tested in my opinion. North Carolina had a few tough ones. I have no doubt here , North Carolina's offense is a joy to watch and this is Wisconsin's first true test and on road and in front of a hostile crowd. Drake -1AH , 3.30 bet365 , 10units ( Boise State - Drake ) - points per game 82:68 ; FG% 47:47 ; 3FG% 40:36 ; rebounds per game 35:34 ; turnovers per game 12:17. I've seen Drake play and I like them. They can play really good basketball at times but their defense should handle Boise State as Boise State is nothing special. Drake played some tougher teams than Boise State so far and they did well , so I think based on what I saw watching them and based on Boise State's results Drake will win by 3-7 points. South Florida ML , 2.80 bet365 , 10units ( VCU - South Florida ) - points per game 63:66 ; FG% 37:46 ; 3FG% 31:37 ; rebounds per game 33:36 ; turnovers per game 14:13. VCU don't do well against pressuring defense and South Florida will give them exactly that at time in this match. The outcome of this match depends on two things. VCU's FT percentage and how many FT they will shoot. I think SF will win because of VCU's problems against press defense and that's it.

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Any where I can see the score board for Towson - Massa?

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Full time Massachusetts by 30 http://scores.espn.go.com/ncb/boxscore?gameId=313340113

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Great work again.... Watching Michigan throwing this game away!!!

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) 9/13 had it there or there about 5 minutes before the end. Then like every single team I picked just went away. Frustrating :@ at least michigan state is coming strong near the end

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Huge thanks for yesterday. I took Colorado +5 in a treble with the Bruins and Redwings as well. :notworthy

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Two losing nights are behind me and things should get back to winning ways tonight. South Dakota +8.5 , 2.80 bet365 , 10units ( Oakland - South Dakota ) - points per game 76:63 ; FG% 41:40 ; 3FG% 27:26 ; rebounds per game 39:36 ; turnovers per game 12:12. Oakland have to very good players. A center and their playmaker. They won the game against Tennessee but Oakland is not that good when they are out of play. South Dakota will not make this a close game because they are good but because Oakland don't win their games by much. Georgia Southern -8.5 , 3.75 bet365 , 10units ( Georgia Southern - Tennessee Chattanooga ) - points per game 66:64 ; FG% 46:40 ; 3FG% 36:31 ; rebounds per game 33:38 ; turnovers per game 17:16. I'm under impression GS had tougher schedule so far and that is the main reason why they don't have more wins. Two teams of the same quality , but Georgia Southern played more tough games and they had a few things to learn from those games. So I think they will have more knowledge about the game to win this one maybe inside the first half. Samford -8.5 , 3.75 bet365 , 10units ( Samford - Western Carolina ) - points per game 61:65 ; FG% 43:42 ; 3FG% 35:29 ; rebounds per game 31:32 ; turnovers per game 16:14. Samford makes all of their games close. Western Carolina either loses big or wins big. So I have to go for Samson here. Since Western Carolina doesn't have much experience in close games and Samford don't lose by much I think they can enter the final two minutes of this game having a 3-5 points lead and than extend it from the free throw line. St Peter's -8.5 , 2.50 bet365 , 10units ( St Peters - Siena ) - points per game 60:59 ; FG% 39:40 ; 3FG% 27:27 ; rebounds per game 34:33 ; turnovers per game 14:12. St Peters can only lose this one if Siena hits 40% of their threes. These are two close teams. But St Peters is better from the free throw line and they will be about the same from the field. Also I expect Siena to make more turnovers so easy points for St Peters could also add to the spread. Kent State -17.5 , 2.35 bet365 , 10units ( Kent State - Morehead State ) - points per game 69:64 ; FG% 45:40 ; 3FG% 37:41 ; rebounds per game 34:31 ; turnovers per game 16:15. Kansas State and Kent State are the two picks I'm most confident in. Kent State is not the best team in NCAAB but they are a good side. They won against West Virginia on road. Morehead State lost by 35 and to NC State by 30. I'm guessing Kent State by 18-25. IUPUI -2.5 , 2.25 bet365 , 10units ( IUPUI - South Dakota ) - points per game 68:70 ; FG% 42:41 ; 3FG% 30:31 ; rebounds per game 34:35 ; turnovers per game 11:13. Another close game that could be decided from the free throw line and IUPUI have advantage in that. They are shooting 73% , South Dakota is at 65%. South Dakota looks better but everything about these two teams on paper makes them equal. Because of FTs that cost me a lot last night I will go with IUPUI. Kansas State -18AH , 3.30 bet365 , 10units ( Kansas State -George Washington ) - points per game 79:67 ; FG% 48:46 ; 3FG% 35:49 ; rebounds per game 39:35 ; turnovers per game 15:15. Georgia Washington lost by 27 to California and I don't think Kansas State is any weaker than California. Similar situation to that of Gonzaga last night. Kansas State started the season slowly but they improved both defense and offense and now they are lloking good. Should be a 15+ win in the first half alone. Kentucky -25.5 , 2.40 bet365 , 10units ( Kentucky - St Johns ) - points per game 84:70 ; FG% 51:47 ; 3FG% 41:28 ; rebounds per game 44:33 ; turnovers per game 13:13. Kentucky and Ohio State are the best teams this year by far. Kentucky wins their game by 30 on average. I'll keep to my impressions about these two teams though. St John's is a good team , but they have two key deficiencies. They don't have enough players to have a proper rotation. And their play is based on quickly penetrating the paint after winning the ball in defense. So they will have problems with every team that has good centers and quality playmakers. As I said Kentucky is the best or the second best and they should have this one done. St Bonaventure -18.5 , 3.25 bet365 , 10units ( St Bonaventure - Arkansas State ) - points per game 68:55 ; FG% 45:39 ; 3FG% 35:39 ; rebounds per game 34:35 ; turnovers per game 16:18. St Bonaventure looks much better. They played against Virginia Tech and Cleveland State , they lost both but they made those close games. Arkansas State lost against Louisville , they scored just 27 points in that game. They also lost to missouri State by 31. So clearly they have some trouble against stronger defense teams. St Bonaventure is not that good but they are 5-10 points weaker defensively , so around 20 points win seems probable to me. Alabama -14.5 , 3.40 bet365 , 10units ( Alabama - Georgetown ) - points per game 70:82 ; FG% 44:51 ; 3FG% 28:37 ; rebounds per game 41:37 ; turnovers per game 12:11. Alabama and Georgetown are two closely matched teams. I'll give a small advantage to Alabama. They won a few tough games so far by 8+ so I believe they can do it again , especially after watching them against VCU when they won by 10 in the last few minutes. Georgetown can play good defense but I really don't like their offense. Most realistic spread here is Alabama by 4-8 , but I'll risk it.

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Lets hope for a good night for everyone tonight... Kent -9.5 Kansas -11 and following you on your St Bona! Lets hope they all turn up!

[quote]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) I am on Kent and Kansas too, but with lower additional handicaps. I hope we hit all! If we hit big thanks for you AGAIN, Weakest Link! :ok

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Worst day ever :sad My apologies to all of you

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Washington -7.5 , 2.30 bet365 , 10units ( Nevada - Washington ) - points per game 64:83 ; FG% 40:47 ; 3FG% 36:46 ; rebounds per game 38:43 ; turnovers per game 16:14. Along with Oklahoma I will put some extra money on Washington. They are better in every cattegory and if they were playing this game at home they would bea 20+ favourites. Nothing more about this one , Washington simply has more quality in starting five and in rotation. Washington by 10 at least. Oklahoma -23.5 , 2.35 bet365 , 10units ( Oklahoma - Sacramento State ) - points per game 78:66 ; FG% 43:46 ; 3FG% 38:30 ; rebounds per game 43:34 ; turnovers per game 13:12. After last night I don't feel like writting any previews. Four team lost it in final two possessions and once again turned what would be a solid profit to big loss. But I will stick to my system for a while and I want to believe better things will come in the next couple of days. Big difference in this game. Oklahoma much better in the paint and from behind the arc. They also played tougher teams so far and did ok. I strongly believe in this one and will put extra money on it in order to recover some of the loss from last night. Rider -8.5 , 2.60 bet365 , 10units ( Rider - Manhattan ) - points per game 69:65 ; FG% 43:38 ; 3FG% 39:31 ; rebounds per game 29:37 ; turnovers per game 16:18. Manahttan likes to play slower pace , lower scoring games and that is when they have a chance to do well. Rider likes a bit higher pace game where they can do better and outscore their opponents. Also it seems like Rider can play better defense against similar strength teams. Since Rider is the host today and this is conference game I will bet on them to dominate and win by 9. Georgia -2.5 , 2.30 bet365 , 10units ( Georgia - Cincinnati ) - points per game 61:65 ; FG% 38:44 ; 3FG% 30:37 ; rebounds per game 35:37 ; turnovers per game 12:14. Georgia is a solid team and can make every game a close game. Cincinnati did not do well in their last game. They made a game they were big favourites in a close game. I did not like their performance in that game and I have a good opinion about Georgia so the choice is clear to me about this one. Georgia by 5-10.

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) North Texas -24.5 , 3.25 bet365 , 10units ( North Texas - La Sierra ) - points per game 65:52 ; FG% 37:31 ; 3FG% 28:29 ; rebounds per game 38:31 ; turnovers per game 17:19. Forget about Oklahoma and Washington , here is the best bet of the day. North texas already won against slightly better team by 29 and La Sierra lost all 5 of their games and not few of them by much and they did not play any strong teams. North Texas will have a break from their tough schedule where they did OK and covered the spread in most of those games. I expected the spread to be at around 25 but this is a great chance and I will take it gladly.

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Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012)

Oklahoma -23.5 , 2.35 bet365 , 10units ( Oklahoma - Sacramento State ) - points per game 78:66 ; FG% 43:46 ; 3FG% 38:30 ; rebounds per game 43:34 ; turnovers per game 13:12.

:notworthy:notworthy

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) I expect good results today. Georgia State -20.5 , 3.25 bet365 , 10units ( Georgia State - William&Mary ) - points per game 71:59 ; FG% 43:40 ; 3FG% 32:30 ; rebounds per game 40:32 ; turnovers per game 13:15. I gave William&Mary another chance to change my opinion about them but they failed big time. Now I will leave emotions out of this , and say Georgia State by 25-30. Georgia State won quite a few games this season by 20+ and they kept their opponents under 50 points scored. William&Mary just can't cope with good defensive teams and they are up for another blowout. Miami Florida -13.5 , 3.25 bet365 , 10units ( Miami Florida - Massachusetts ) - points per game 71:59 ; FG% 43:40 ; 3FG% 32:30 ; rebounds per game 40:32 ; turnovers per game 13:15. Miami Florida had a poor second half against Purdue and that cost them the upset. They looked good in that game they just needed some composure in the second half. Massachusetts gets defeated by 20 whenever they face some tougher opponent and that is the case today. Western Carolina -11.5 , 2.90 bet365 , 10units ( Western Carolina - NC Greensboro ) - points per game 67:63 ; FG% 42:36 ; 3FG% 30:32 ; rebounds per game 33:35 ; turnovers per game 14:16. Not too much difference between these two teams , but a couple of reasons for this bet. NC Greensboro lost by 30-40 against stronger teams and lost by 15-20 against teams of similar quality or maybe even slightly worse teams than WC. WC lost by 30 against Iowa State and by 20 against Northern Iowa. But , WC improved after that defeat against IS and they kept improving with each game since. And the second reason is WC plays at home. Youngstown State -2.5 , 3.00 bet365 , 10units ( Wright State - Youngstown State ) - points per game 58:67 ; FG% 38:38 ; 3FG% 33:39 ; rebounds per game 29:36 ; turnovers per game 14:10. The same story as with Oklahoma last night. YS played tougher opponents and have better results. They are better in everything that matters for a basketball game , so the choice to me is clear. Saint Mary's -9.5 , 3.10 bet365 , 10units ( Cal Poly - Saint Mary's ) - points per game 63:77 ; FG% 43:51 ; 3FG% 35:39 ; rebounds per game 35:39 ; turnovers per game 13:13. Cal Poly lost to UNLV by 20 , Saint Mary's won against Northern Iowa by 16. That alone tells you who the favourite in this game is. Then you look at eh stats and that makes you take the highest spread there is because Saint Mary's stats are unreal. The only thing that works in Cal Poly's favour is home crowd. But still if there were odds for SM to win by 20 I would take them gladly. Western illinois -1.5 , 3.25 bet365 , 10units ( Western Illinois - South Dakota State ) - points per game 63:74 ; FG% 45:41 ; 3FG% 29:33 ; rebounds per game 34:37 ; turnovers per game 14:13. Western Illinois played just one poor game this season and that was their opening game. After that they were solid in every game. They don't win by much but they don't lose unless they are up against the best of teams. They like slower pace games where they can build their shots how they like them and they like to make their opponents work really hard if they wish to score. South Dakota State like to play a bit more quickly but in this matchup I see WI prevailing and they do have the quality to win this one by 5 points.

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Gone big on... Western Carolina -6 St Mary's -4 Double :hope:hope

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Where is the best place to see the live score board for all college basketball games?

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012)

Where is the best place to see the live score board for all college basketball games?

Livescores and conversations : http://scores.espn.go.com/ncb/scoreboard Gametrackers : http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/scoreboard streams : http://www.firstrowsports.tv/sport/basketball.html also check the official web site of a school you wish to follow

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Cheers mate!

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) I wish i hadn't started watching this WCU match. They have missed 4 free throws and generally look terrible. Basketball is tough to watch when involved in a team.

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012)

I wish i hadn't started watching this WCU match. They have missed 4 free throws and generally look terrible. Basketball is tough to watch when involved in a team.

Both teams failed to defend in the first half. But 3 pointers are raining :)

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Last four days most of the games lost were like this one. It's getting frustrating

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Yeah was tough! Looked good until the last minute. All on St Mary's -2 now! Good luck involved!

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) SM -8.5 , 3.10 bet365 , 10units ( South Mississippi : New Mexico State ) - points per game 74:78 ; FG% 43:42 ; 3FG% 38:31 ; rebounds per game 38:40 ; turnovers per game 13:14. These two teams played a week ago and SM won by 8. Here is why they should win by more today. NMS shot 44 ! free throws in that game and scored 30 points from FT line. I really doubt they can get anything near that number today. M -8.5 , 3.10 bet365 , 10units ( Manhattan : St Peters ) - points per game 66:58 ; FG% 39:39 ; 3FG% 31:28 ; rebounds per game 37:33 ; turnovers per game 18:13. St Peters played easier opponents than Manhattan did. Manhattan wins by 10+ when they are better of the two teams involved and that is the case today. Despite making quite a few turnovers Manhattan still wins their games. And today they have advantage over St Peters in every category VCU -5.5 , 3.25 bet365 , 10units ( George Washington : VCU ) - points per game 65:64 ; FG% 43:39 ; 3FG% 44:32 ; rebounds per game 36:33 ; turnovers per game 14:13. No matter what you use to compare this teams on VCU comes out as the better team. They both played some top teams so far , GW lost by 20+ , VCU lost by 8 and that loss came in the final 60 seconds. VCU looks to me as more physical team and GW should not be able to impose them on VCU and that is the only way VCU can lose this game. -123 units so far this month :cry

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) I hope you got some of your - back on Manhattan and VCU! Great shouts! :clap :beer

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Have you ever thought about lowering your point spreads. It seems you've lost quite a few by having the most extreme point spread?

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Of course I have. I'm betting like this from January 2011 and at the end of last season I did some calculations and it turns out this is the best way to bet over the season. Because with lower spread yes you will have more winning bets but you'll make smaller profit as well because when you lose you lose bigger percentage of your betting budget. I know this was a tough week to handle but the number of games lost and games won in the final seconds usually gets to about 1:1 ratio by the end of the season. So I do expect to make at least 100 units of profit in December at least. Also I did pick too many games in the first two days and that's what caused the damage. I'll add one pick in a few moments , just logged in to write a preview but I wanted to answer to your question first.

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Thanks for the reply. I love everything your doing and you really know your stuff.

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) CS +13.5 , 2.60 bet365 , 10units ( Florida State - Charleston Southern ) - points per game 69:82 ; FG% 45:45 ; 3FG% 32:39 ; rebounds per game 40:39 ; turnovers per game 18:16. My first choice for this one was FS by 25+ , but then I took a look at both teams and realised that is not likely to happen. Why ? Both these teams either win or lose their games based on two things. How many FT they allow and how many 3s they allow. I watched FS against Harvard and they do defend well under the rim but they do allow their opponents to shoot quite a few 3s and since Charleston Southern can make a lot of 3s they do attempt I have to give CS advantage in that area. FS will try to play their offense through the paint and they should shoot a few FTs tonight so they could edge that one by 10+. So the thing that will decide the margin in this game will be FS's 3 points made and I have to say I don't have a good opinion about their shooting. If I had a better start of the month I would even try and bet small stakes on CS to win.

[Stribs]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) I'm always scared betting on + point spreads. But we'll give this ago.... Charleston +17.5 and I've freestyled on my own, only because i've seen Boise come in with some good results lately, so doubled Charleston with Boise -14. This will teach me to go on my own i'm sure!

[WeakestLink]

Re: WeakestLink - NCAAB (2011/2012) Maybe I'll be following you soon ;)