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Flat Racing Thursday - Kempton


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4.20 - Pastoral Jet - EW at 12/1 (generally available) Class 7 handicap and it might worth chancing the only unexposed horse in the field. Has been fairly well beaten in maidens, but that was running against 70s horses and now runs in a handicap of horses rated 49/50 Has tended to weaken in the finish previously but has had 11 weeks off and hopefully they've got some work into him to strengthen him up a bit As long as he doesn't fluff the start he's well drawn in stall one and the yard is on 100% on the RTF figs

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Re: Flat Racing Thursday - Kempton 5.20 - Kings Future - ew at 22/1 (VC) Not sure that this one wants 7 furlongs but it's best run to date was over tonights trip I'm picking this one solely on speed figs - it's got the best out of a pretty poor bunch and it's figs have been getting better run upon run Was savaged by the handicapper - put up 18 lbs for being beaten 3 and 6 lengths in two AW maidens.............probably means he can't win.......:loon

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Re: Flat Racing Thursday - Kempton 6.50 Kempton Lockantanks is a consistent performer on the AW but not a regular scorer with just 2 wins from 33 starts, and although ran well enough last time out probably not enough to win this competitive event off top weight on a mark that has proved beyond him plenty of times. Cool Hand Jake needs an honest gallop to chase and then for the race to fall apart in his lap and he is now becoming very frustrating to support as he often runs good races but never enough to win and handicapper also had his say with a 1lb rise for latest 3rd and cannot be supported in my opinion. Another that needs a strong pace to chase is The Which Doctor and that doesnt seem likely given there is only one front runner in this field in Sweet Secret and she is drawn wide so this could be run at a dawdle and disadvantage the strong travellers like these two. Mountrath return to form out of the blue last time out when tried with more patient tactics in a race run to suit, like ive said above question marks about whether this will be run that fast is a concern considering he can be quite keen anyhow and this is a step back up in class with a 5lb rise which might just prove enough. Sweet Secret ran best race for some time last time out ridden from the lead, but draw not been kind for prominent runner and will need to find more off a 5lb higher mark and not always the most consistent. Larkrise Star has looked a reasonable performer, and did win a Yarmouth handicap 3 starts ago off a mark of 59, bettered that over CD in a claimer, returned to handicap at Windsor but race not run to suit and failed to spark same concern here though and probably another day for him. Morrison has his string good order at the moment and runs Daffydowndilly at the bottom of the weights for this handicap. She is yet to win a race but tried a mile for the first time last time out at Brighton and ran a good race under a change of tactics held up finishing well, could make the running from her good draw and although 7lb higher on the AW all her best form has come on the surface which means she cant be discounted in this field. The one that interests me most is Al Aqabah who won last time out over CD to improve her impressive course record to 3 from 9 and only finished out of the first 3 on a couple of occasions, she is fairly lightly raced for a 6yr old and clearly still improving and appeared to win with something to spare last time out and a 3lb rise looks very lenient and would be no surprise to see her win again. 3pt win Al Aqabah 11/2 bet365 1pt win Daffydowndilly 9/1 vc

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