Tennis - 7-13 November

[Atko]

The big event this week is in Paris, where we have the final ATP 1000 series and the last even before the Tour Finals. It's played indoors on an acryclic surface set on wood. This event can be quite a dangerous event for the punter if not researched correctly in past experiences, often a few shocks kicking around. Let's hope we're all on the right side of them :ok Good luck :hope

[Atko]

Re: Tennis - 7-13 November Plenty of matches on tomorrow, but only one that warrants serious attention from me, unless, of course, the odds throw up something in the matches involving qualifiers. - Alex Bogomolov Jnr -3 games AH (v Thomaz Bellucci in Paris) @ 1.99 with Pinnacle class C bet At the start of the year, you probably wouldn't have caught anyone backing Bogomolov Jnr against Bellucci. For me though, the American - or indeed, wannabe Russian - is definitely worth a bet in this match-up. Bogomolov Jnr has had a spectacularly consistent year. He's not won any events, but he's made R2s and R3s pretty much in every event, and is looking a more steady player than he was when he was younger. As a result, he's ranked 33 in the world and has two things to fight for. The first is a seeding at the Australian Open next year, the second a place in the Russian Davis Cup team - he reckons some good showings in this event will persuade them to pick him next year, which would mean a change in nationality. That, however, is by the by. He beat Bellucci earlier this year, albeit in three sets, but back then, the Brazilian was a little more competitive than he is right now. Since Bellucci lost an epic Davis Cup rubber 14-12 in the final set to Mikhail Youzhny, he's not won a match, last week crashing out to Jarkko Nieminen in Basel at the first hurdle. I suspect he's a man who probably wants this year to end. Both men are handy enough indoors but Bogomolov Jnr probably prefers these conditions more. Bellucci recently has struggled in such an arena, and is more au fait with the clay than the quicker surface in Bercy. I feel the American has more to play for in Paris. He also comes in better form, and has beaten his opponent before (I must stress, he didn't cover this line). That, though, is just a moot point in my eyes. He's hitting the ball well and I can see Bellucci collapsing if he falls behind. I had this line at -3.5 at 1.85, so I'd take this current offer right down to 1.80 and also look for the -3.5 until it hits my watershed.